The Iran and Wider Middle East Thread



Camp David..... Last Sunday!

All about getting our interests defended and hardened.

IDF were "unilateral" but we knew approx timeline. Mon, Tue, Wed, Thur, prep our interests. Friday Boom.

20,000 patriots previously redirected from Ukraine to Israel. No USA skirt for Israel.

Change regime best outcome.

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Now that the gloves have come off we're finally about to see the fruits of the IR-RU cooperation in action, aka the much fabled Iranian acquisition of Su35s and S400s. Which according to Westoid lowbrow Twitter echochambers have been delivered 171 times during the last 6 month alone, per usual without presenting a single shred of evidence to back it up.

The S400s and Su35s words should be on anyone's lips right now. S400. Su35. Where are they, why did Russia intentionally sabotage the deliveries and how does this play into the current total Israeli air domination over Iran?

240 airstrikes so far on Iranian territory and not a single Israeli jet or incoming missile seems to get engaged. All Putin had to was deliver. Embarrassing.

Maybe Russia hasn't given them those supplies to show the ones who it's backing who the true aggressors are.

I guess we'll find out soon enough.
 
20 000 patriots ? - We're not making even a thousand per year.

From ABC News
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told ABC News' Martha Raddatz that his defense minister told him Friday the U.S. was sending anti-drone weapons promised to Ukraine to the Middle East instead.

Zelenskyy said the U.S. would divert "20,000 missiles" earmarked for Ukraine in an agreement with the Biden administration to the Middle East, where it appears the U.S. would use them for its own force protection,

“Without the help of the United States, we will have more losses,” Zelenskyy told Raddatz in Kyiv last week.
 
From ABC News
Zelenskyy said the U.S. would divert "20,000 missiles" earmarked for Ukraine in an agreement with the Biden administration to the Middle East, where it appears the U.S. would use them for its own force protection,

Missiles in general, not Patriot interceptors in particular. This could be anything and everything from a stinger to PAAC-4.
 

Damn, I could have written that.

All now hangs or falls with the recently announced True Promise 3 retaliation. If they mess it up again, it will be legit over and the IR will probably implode from within somewhere down the line due to the Ayatollahs having lost all legitimacy both at home and abroad. It's been quite the 18 months.

Imo the turning point was the assassination of Raisi, which the Iranians immediately swept under the rug and till this day label an 'accident'. Mossad did it, and got away with it. Khamenei even replaced dead Raisi with the weak Reformist soycuck Pezeshkian. It's been one steep rollercoaster downhill since, and seeing so much weakness the Israelis knew what the real dynamics were, and simply kept hammering until we reached today. To borrow Korobochka's lexicon, it's a deathspiral par excellence.

The first wave of True Promise 3 is 800 missiles and drones towards Israel. Israel's multi layered air defence system is currently engaging them over Jordanian and Syrian territory. The Saudi, Qatari, British, American and Jordan AF are engaging the incoming targets as well.

It's 5 to 12. The Iranians better hit something/someone real and important this time, the margin for even more geo-strategic blunders has become non-existent.

 
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Damn, I could have written that.

All now hangs or falls with the recently announced True Promise 3 retaliation. If they mess it up again, it will be legit over and the IR will probably implode from within somewhere down the line due to the Ayatollahs having lost all legitimacy both at home and abroad. It's been quite the 18 months.

Imo the turning point was the assassination of Raisi, which the Iranians immediately swept under the rug and till this day label an 'accident'. Mossad did it, and got away with it. Khamenei even replaced dead Raisi with the weak Reformist soycuck Pezeshkian. It's been one steep rollercoaster downhill since, and seeing so much weakness the Israelis knew what the real dynamics were, and simply kept hammering until we reached today. To borrow Korobochka's lexicon, it's a deathspiral par excellence.

The first wave of True Promise 3 is 800 missiles and drones towards Israel. Israel's multi layered air defence system is currently engaging them over Jordanian and Syrian territory. The Saudi, Qatari, British, American and Jordan AF are engaging the incoming targets as well.

It's 5 to 12. The Iranians better hit something/someone real and important this time, the margin for even more geo-strategic blunders has become non-existent.


The Iranian drone wave mentioned in the tweet was much smaller than reported, only 100-150 Shaheeds, all were intercepted over Syrian and Jordanian airspace.

Meanwhile a new round of Israeli strikes has begun. Targets in Tabriz, Navak and Shiraz are struck.



Israeli has released the first footage of strikes on Iranian AD systems, mobile radar systems and ballistic missile launchers. Some of these attacks were carried out by Mossad operatives on Iranian soil.







Picture of an Israeli precision strike on an Iranian commander, the missile penetrated the wall and went straight into the bedroom.

 
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