The Iran and Wider Middle East Thread

Perhaps the living part of their officer corps was on a little R&R sesh in Bangcock?

Would not be surprising. Many 'devout Muslims', sometimes decked out in traditional robes and wearing headcaps, casually linger around the Bangkok Sois which are known for their tranny prostitutes. Male butsex is a rather widespread phenomenon in the Middle East anyway, and Khomeini was a trailblazer when it came to tranny rights. Iran legalized sex reassignment surgeries in the late 80s already and the fatwa regarding the case of Maryam Molkara is quite famous as Khomeini sided with him and considered the man a full woman.

Before tranny mania hit the West Iran was one of the global centers of sex reassignment surgery, together with places like Thailand. These surgeries are in part state funded too, and have in recent years become a pipeline to 'get rid of the gays' (punishable by death under shariah law) by 'turning them into women' (no clear legal jurisprudence, ergo why Khomeini could side with the tranny, other Shia theological bigwigs disagree).

 
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Would not be surprising. Many 'devout Muslims', sometimes decked out in traditional robes and wearing headcaps, casually linger around the Bangkok Sois which are known for their tranny prostitutes. Male butsex is a rather widespread phenomenon in the Middle East anyway, and Khomeini was a trailblazer when it came to tranny rights. Iran legalized sex reassignment surgeries in the late 80s already and the fatwa regarding the case of Maryam Molkara is quite famous as Khomeini sided with him and considered the man a full woman.

I was going to put up the jew emoji, but then realized that Muslims are pretty far away from being jews.

That said, sexual reassignment, surgery, and faggots in general is a pretty jewish occurrence
 
Iranian strikes seem be mostly done for the sake of showing they aren't just rolling over. It doesn't really seem like they have the technical skill/competence to pull off the sort of more precise damage that Israelis have been inflicting with their strikes.

 
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Iranian strikes seem be mostly done for the sake of showing they aren't just rolling over. It doesn't really seem like they have the technical skill/competence to pull off the sort of more precise damage that Israelis have been inflicting with their strikes.


Iranians are handicapped by internal division, seniority preferences in leadership, complacent attitudes and in general slow and overtly cautious decision making processes - which might be both a cultural thing or simply ingrained in their Boomerheavy C&C. Iranian counterintelligence is poor and their main deterrence oriented pet projects crumbled like a three day old cake on first contact. On top of that they are hamstrung by the Israeli surprise attack, most of the IRGC top military brass is currently getting clawed out of the rubble, and a significant amount of their assets and communication structures have been compromised.

However, the Iranian ballistic missile program is fine. TP2 has shown that an Iranian missile wave can breach, overwhelm and evaporate Israeli military installations. The problem is that the Iranians are low risk, predictable, and shy away from confrontation. Ergo the Iranians already showed their modus operandi and tactics months ago, hence wasted a free shot on a bunch of damaged hangars (US was informed about TP2 anyway). And because the Iranian leadership never switches things up, everybody in Israel saw TP3 coming from miles out and acted towards it.

It is clear that the balance of power is in Israel's favor, and looking at both trajectory and timeline it isn't farfetched to say that unless dynamics change Khamenei could end up like Nasrallah, and the IR go the way of the Syrian Arab Republic.

Iran does however have its own Samson Option Lite, which is closing the Strait of Hormuz and/or striking hydrocarbon infrastructure in the Persian Gulf. It's a hail Mary and last resort gamble which could potentially backfire, but ballooning and causing highly volatile oil prices might also create enough instability and international uproar for the US+ Gulf Allies to tell the Israelis to call the op off.

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Iranian strikes seem be mostly done for the sake of showing they aren't just rolling over. It doesn't really seem like they have the technical skill/competence to pull off the short of more precise damage that Israelis have been inflicting with their strikes.



Hitting targets like Tel Aviv is in and of itself a milestone that no one else was able to achieve.

Ultimately the main Israeli goal is regime change in Iran and regional domination, so the psychological element is huge. If Iran's leadership shows that it can dish out hits, they will be able to absorb a lot of punishment, even if their infrastructure is demolished. Iran can be bombed, but it cannot be conquered. It can be rebuilt later by China provided they politically survive the bombing onslaught.

They will also need to score some wins against the Israeli air force, that would be a big blow for Israel, whose military supremacy is based on their mosad subterfuges and their air domination. In theory, Israel could lose 100 jets and still be OK, but in practice losing even a dozen planes would be a big blow to their psyche and to their military prestige. Iran claims to have shot an F-35 and captured a pilot, but so far no proof, so that is looking less likely right now.
 
Damage after a missile hit in a residential area in Tel Aviv. Current death toll of the Iranian strikes stands at 3.



IDF released footage of seven airstrikes on ballistic missile launchers



Footage of a Iranian missile wave, most get intercepted, 2-3 get through



Israel struck many targets over the past 12 hours, one of those is Tehran's main airport Mehrabad



Satellite imagery of a destroyed Iranian radarsite

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Israel is continuously attacking sites used for Iranians nuclear program. In Fardow, there is supposedly minor damage to some of the underground facilities

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Iran turned off the internet about a day ago. Today Musk indicated he is going to activate Starlink over Iran

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Iranian officials have stated that Operation True Promise 3 is still ongoing, and doesn't have a set timetable. They also promised to fire 2000 ballistic missiles at Israel, in today's waves about 200 were fired.



 
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Damage after a missile hit in a residential area in Tel Aviv. Current death toll of the Iranian strikes stands at 3.

This is the current Hasbara talking point.

"OMG look at evil Iran that bombed peaceful Jewish citizens in the peaceful Jewish state that only wants peace for all. Please USA you must send us your youth, we are fighting for us all."
 
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