Whats your point spread?The polling (both general and primaries) is a psyop....don't fall for it. They want Trump as the nominee because they can beat him and on the off chance they don't, they know how to play him like a fiddle.
DeSantis may not win tonight (gun to head I think he will, but it's far from certain) but the polling in Iowa is nowhere close to accurate. Trump and his de facto allies (until the primary is over) in the MSM are already starting to spread excuses about the weather and Vivek hurting him.
We are literally gonna see what happens soon.
Do you think DeSantis is going to come in second and get 30 percent?
Or 3rd with 25 or less?
What if it looks something like:
Trump 45
Haley 35
DeSantis 20
Vivek 10....
I'd say there's not a path then. Haley isn't going anywhere as she's the new favorite for donors.
Now I'd he comes in second with 30 percent...maybe he can hang around.