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The Iran and Wider Middle East Thread

Airspace over Jordan, Syria and Iraq

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The hymn has some other connotations now - ...I looked over Jordan and what did I see...
 
US launched air strikes against Iranian proxies in Iraq and Syria.

Full text
CENTCOM Statement on U.S. Strikes in Iraq and Syria
At 4:00 p.m. (EST) Feb. 02, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces conducted airstrikes in Iraq and Syria against Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Quds Force and affiliated militia groups. U.S. military forces struck more than 85 targets, with numerous aircraft to include long-range bombers flown from United States. The airstrikes employed more than 125 precision munitions. The facilities that were struck included command and control operations centers, intelligence centers, rockets, and missiles, and unmanned aerial vehicle storages, and logistics and munition supply chain facilities of militia groups and their IRGC sponsors who facilitated attacks against U.S. and Coalition forces.


The scale of those strikes - 85 targets - looks impressive, but the low number of munitions - 125, that's not even 2 missiles/bombs per every target - and almost a week of media announcements, suggest that those strikes were, most likely, just a face-saving campaign.
 
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The scale of those strikes - 85 targets - looks impressive, but the low number of munitions - 125, that's not even 2 missiles/bombs per every target - and almost a week of media announcements, suggest that those strikes were, most likely, just a face-saving campaign.
Seems like the satanic elites understand the USA cannot afford a full-scale war, doesn't have the support for a full-scale war, and doesn't have the military build-up for a full-scale war.

I wonder how they plan to remedy this. Maybe arm all the illegal aliens and send them over in exchange for citizenship.
 
They already have their mercs in place, ISIS and other jihadis, but also the foreign semi-regular legionnaire mercs that have been fighting in Yemen and Libya, people from Sudan, Egypt, Colombia, Panama etc. Alongside them, you also have high-paid NATO mercs fighting under UAE or Saudi flag:


 
I'd say it's fair to call it the Kurdish Problem. They are a people who are being separated from each other with the goal of assimilating them into Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Iran, such that the eventually disappear. They seem to have a pretty strong ethnic self identity, and they don't want this. As the post above shows, there are separatist groups in all of these four countries fighting at some level for some kind of Kurdish unity, although they can be very fractious in their approach to this goal.

I was surprised when I looked up Kurdish history, and found their historic roots only go back about 500 years. They don't have a national identity going back to the bronze age as many other peoples in that area do. However, even if they are a young ethnic group, they seem to have a strong self identity, and there is a long list of conflicts in which they are or have been involved. I think maybe they have genetic and cultural roots going back much farther, even if the specific Kurdish identity is newer.

I think there is an argument that they deserve to exist as a people and as nation, as many claim for the Palestinians or the Jews. At this time I don't see much of a chance they will ever achieve this, so it's likely to be an ongoing problem for decades at least.

The story is similar for Baluchistan, in that they are a people without a nation, scattered across three modern nation states. They also have a history of insurgency, and will most likely never have their own nation state.
The Kurds have been a people for a long time and have a lot of history as you rightly point out but they never really had their own country so why should they get their own country now? Should every single ethnic group always have its own country?
 
The Kurds have been a people for a long time and have a lot of history as you rightly point out but they never really had their own country so why should they get their own country now? Should every single ethnic group always have its own country?

Yes, in an ideal world but we don't live in an ideal world so certain people take charge for good reason and sometimes not.

The babies and power hungry scumbags are in charge now and that's why the world sucks, not just Australia.
 
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The Kurds have been a people for a long time and have a lot of history as you rightly point out but they never really had their own country so why should they get their own country now? Should every single ethnic group always have its own country?

The Kurds are a nomadic rural people that started out in western Iran, kind of the local equivalent of nomadic people like the Roma gypsies or the Rohingya. They have taken over large parts of eastern Turkey and northern Syria after the ZOG-funded masonic genocide and ethnic cleansing of Armenians and Arab Christians who formed the majority in these areas, a genocide which the Kurds have carried over along with the Young Turks:

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Armenian and Arab Christian populations in and around Turkey, before and after.


The Kurds have been used as a ZOG tool in a classic divide and rule colonial move, they have been antagonistic to the locals in every country they are in: Turkey, Iraq, Iran and Syria. They have a strong demography, and lots of immigrants and NGO-backed political presence in places like Sweden and Germany where they are portrayed as a victim people along the same template as the Uyghurs, Rohingya, all oppressed people that just happen to live in countries high up the ZOG enemy list.
 
US launched air strikes against Iranian proxies in Iraq and Syria.

Full text



The scale of those strikes - 85 targets - looks impressive, but the low number of munitions - 125, that's not even 2 missiles/bombs per every target - and almost a week of media announcements, suggest that those strikes were, most likely, just a face-saving campaign.


These strikes are the logical continuation of the Biden Administration's course in Yemen and the Levant. It's a controlled response meant to somehow send a message to Iran but at the same time prevent escalation.

Additional information:

1. The Middle East Spectator reports at least 39 deaths as a result from the strikes. The Popular Mobilization Forces (of which Kataib Hezbollah is a part) reports 16 of their members killed. These are mostly rank and file militants, all the high ups/IRGC had left for Iran days ago.

2. Prior to the strikes there have been 5 days of sending messages back and forth between the US and the Iranians through a third party (the Swiss). Everytime something got 'leaked' both parties emphasized they are not looking for an all out war. The US made it known that they will not tolerate any escalatory reprisals for today's strikes - outside the usual fragile status quo of course, which is minor rocket attacks on US installations. The Iranians made it known that they will not tolerate any strikes on Iranian territory.

3. There are persistent rumours that the Jordanian Airforce participated in the strikes even though the Jordans have by now denied this. If it were to be true the initial Kataib Hezbollah attack indeed targeted US troops on Jordanian soil (Tower 22).

The Iraqis however have concluded that Jordan indeed participated in the strikes and have stopped oil exports to Jordan as a result.
IMG_20240204_185106_748.jpg


4. The Iraqi government has filed a complaint with the US, with Iraqi PM al Sudani calling the strikes a 'new aggression against Iraq’s sovereignty', and that the presence of the US-led military coalition in the region 'has become a reason for threatening security and stability in Iraq and a justification for involving Iraq in regional and international conflicts.'

5. The Iraqi government was informed shortly beforehand of the pending strikes. It bears importance that Kataib Hezbollah and other Iranian backed militias have in part been absorbed by the Iraqi military after the Popular Mobilization Forces/ Hashd al Shaabi defeated ISIS. Ergo the US strikes yesterday technically targeted forces that are either part of the Iraqi military or operate in close proximity.

Location of the strikes.
GFY-SrgWoAEE90t.jpeg
 
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Al Omar oilfield+base in Deir Ezzor was targeted with a suicide drone by one of the IRGC proxies. Early in the morning SOHR reported that there might be US casualties. It turned out the deceased are SDF militia members.



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One of Asaib al Haq's leaders was assassinated in Maysan. AAH is another IRGC linked Iraqi Shia militia, and also part of the PMF

 
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I think the "Behshad" - an Iranian merchant vessel repurposed for intelligence gathering - is ripe for the taking. It's sailing up and down the Bab-el-Mandeb and wherever it sails, Houthi's attacks follow.

We could use the last anti-Houthi UN resolution as an excuse to board it, and since it's registered as a civilian vessel it wouldn't count as an attack on the Iranian Navy.
Looks like Iranians thought the same thing and are warning US against attacking their spy ships: "Behshad" and "Saviz".
 
The great points through these discussions need more responses!

Strategically speaking, I think the U.S. wants OUT of the Middle East, hence why the aforementioned points like this
They already have their mercs in place, ISIS and other jihadis, but also the foreign semi-regular legionnaire mercs that have been fighting in Yemen and Libya, people from Sudan, Egypt, Colombia, Panama etc. Alongside them, you also have high-paid NATO mercs fighting under UAE or Saudi flag:


and this
These strikes are the logical continuation of the Biden Administration's course in Yemen and the Levant. It's a controlled response meant to somehow send a message to Iran but at the same time prevent escalation.

Additional information:

1. The Middle East Spectator reports at least 39 deaths as a result from the strikes. The Popular Mobilization Forces (of which Kataib Hezbollah is a part) reports 16 of their members killed. These are mostly rank and file militants, all the high ups/IRGC had left for Iran days ago.

2. Prior to the strikes there have been 5 days of sending messages back and forth between the US and the Iranians through a third party (the Swiss). Everytime something got 'leaked' both parties emphasized they are not looking for an all out war. The US made it known that they will not tolerate any escalatory reprisals for today's strikes - outside the usual fragile status quo of course, which is minor rocket attacks on US installations. The Iranians made it known that they will not tolerate any strikes on Iranian territory.

3. There are persistent rumours that the Jordanian Airforce participated in the strikes even though the Jordans have by now denied this. If it were to be true the initial Kataib Hezbollah attack indeed targeted US troops on Jordanian soil (Tower 22).

The Iraqis however have concluded that Jordan indeed participated in the strikes and have stopped oil exports to Jordan as a result.
IMG_20240204_185106_748.jpg


4. The Iraqi government has filed a complaint with the US, with Iraqi PM al Sudani calling the strikes a 'new aggression against Iraq’s sovereignty', and that the presence of the US-led military coalition in the region 'has become a reason for threatening security and stability in Iraq and a justification for involving Iraq in regional and international conflicts.'

5. The Iraqi government was informed shortly beforehand of the pending strikes. It bears importance that Kataib Hezbollah and other Iranian backed militias have in part been absorbed by the Iraqi military after the Popular Mobilization Forces/ Hashd al Shaabi defeated ISIS. Ergo the US strikes yesterday technically targeted forces that are either part of the Iraqi military or operate in close proximity.

Location of the strikes.
GFY-SrgWoAEE90t.jpeg
also this are true:
Looks like Iranians thought the same thing and are warning US against attacking their spy ships: "Behshad" and "Saviz".

The question is, which threat actor will the U.S. nominate to oversee as a Regional Watchdog after the EXIT?

He said it the best:
Yes, in an ideal world but we don't live in an ideal world so certain people take charge for good reason and sometimes not.

The babies and power hungry scumbags are in charge now and that's why the world sucks, not just Australia.

P.S. U.S. has nearly a trillion-dollar military budget and whole a lot more private funds. Just the Air Force’s logistical systems, services and personnel alone are enough to withstand any sort of large deployments.
 
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Drone strike against Kataib Hezbollah's leadership in Baghdad.


Full text
USCENTCOM Conducts Strike Killing Kata’ib Hezbollah Senior Leader
At 9:30 p.m. February 7, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces conducted a unilateral strike in Iraq in response to the attacks on U.S. service members, killing a Kata’ib Hezbollah commander responsible for directly planning and participating in attacks on U.S. forces in the region.
There are no indications of collateral damage or civilian casualties at this time.
The United States will continue to take necessary action to protect our people. We will not hesitate to hold responsible all those who threaten our forces’ safety.
 
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Rumours on the possible US withdrawal from Syria and Iraq are getting stronger.

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A quick look at the UAE and their ambitions in the region. They have become a regional power in the time span of 10-15 years. The UAE are active in Yemen controlling much of Hadramawt and Socotra through proxies and forward bases, they are the main propellent of the RSF in Sudan, they have signed onto the Abraham Accords and host a variety of US bases whilst simultaneously latching onto BRICS and the UAE is similarly working in Egypt, Somalia, Eritrea and previously Syria (where they have by now ceased activities & funding).

images - 2024-02-11T090355.868.jpeg


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Puntland will lease another island to the UAE



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Egypt is in talks with the UAE to lead Ras el Hikma to the Emiratis. Ras el Hikma is located near the Libyan border



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Likewise al Shabaab targeted the UAE military in Mogadishu today killing its top commander and others.



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Also in the last three days there have been two Israeli strikes on IRGC targets in Syria.

 
Big explosion at one of Iran's main pipelines.


Gas pipelines are usually burried at least 4 feet underground, Iran could have different standards, but still it's not a small scale sabotage - someone had to dig/drill in and set up explosives. I'm more inclined to suspect Israel (and their desire to raise the stakes), than America - Biden's handlers wouldn't escalate that far (based on their lukewarm responses to previous aggrevations) and striking a major pipeline culd bring a proportional Iranian attack on our (or Saudi) energy infrastructure.
 
A quick look at the UAE and their ambitions in the region. They have become a regional power in the time span of 10-15 years. The UAE are active in Yemen controlling much of Hadramawt and Socotra through proxies and forward bases, they are the main propellent of the RSF in Sudan, they have signed onto the Abraham Accords and host a variety of US bases whilst simultaneously latching onto BRICS and the UAE is similarly working in Egypt, Somalia, Eritrea and previously Syria (where they have by now ceased activities & funding).

images - 2024-02-11T090355.868.jpeg


--

Puntland will lease another island to the UAE



--

Egypt is in talks with the UAE to lead Ras el Hikma to the Emiratis. Ras el Hikma is located near the Libyan border



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Likewise al Shabaab targeted the UAE military in Mogadishu today killing its top commander and others.


I'm not convinced those bases will have an actuall Emirati presence - maybe some officers nominally in charge, but I think most of the personnel will be foreign contractors. Emiratis may have all the money to buy whatever mil spec toys they want, but they are not known for their military prowess.
I think that UAE will serve as a shell that covers actuall US military presence and provides access to Africa for US operators.
 
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