Yes, this is exactly what I'd expect. The actual paid and well-trained army won't do the fighting. They will be the ones killing Americans, threatening families, and kidnapping men off the streets to send them to the frontlines. Just like in Ukraine. The professional soldiers are only there to protect the regime, meanwhile the plebs are the bomb-fodder for the frontlines.
Americans will say, "I have muh guns" but 99% will be too scared to use them, and anyone who tries to fight will have his house blown apart as an example.
They will also increase the draft age up to 60, just like in Ukraine. Like I said
on RVF about the Ukrainian War, "Ukraine is the future of the West."