The China Thread

Chopsticks are better for eating Asia food - sushi, noodles from a bowl, dumplings, Chinese chicken, beef or pork dishes where the pieces are cut and stir-fried etc.

Knife and fork are much better suited at normal food like steak, roast chicken, pork or lamb chops, fried eggs, pancakes,...
Fork, knife, and spoon are better even for eating Chinese food.

There, I said it!
 
The following from an X post by Jan Jekielek

What just happened in Venezuela wasn’t just about Maduro. It was a major strategic blow to communist China, says @JMichaelWaller.

Just days before Maduro was removed, Beijing declared it would not give up an inch of its gains in Latin America. Then Trump went and took away one of the CCP’s most critical assets.

Venezuela wasn’t just an ally for the CCP—it was a “linchpin” in the CCP’s global military strategy, he says.

From Caracas, Beijing envisioned projecting naval power across both oceans:
• A blue-water PLA Navy
• A future Atlantic maritime presence
• A foothold in the Caribbean
• Potential leverage over the Panama Canal and U.S. shipping routes from Houston, Galveston, and the Mississippi River Delta to the rest of the world

Venezuela also sat at the heart of China’s Belt and Road strategy: dual-use ports, airports, and facilities designed so Chinese warships could dock anywhere on Earth.

Furthermore, Venezuela holds the largest proven oil reserves in the world. Under sanctions, that oil couldn’t be sold on the open market—so China bought it at steep discounts, often paid in yuan or barter, not petrodollars.

Cheap, embargoed oil helped prop up Xi Jinping’s domestic and global agenda. Now that pipeline just collapsed.

 
I don’t understand this, there is no way China is consuming enough food for 1.4 billion people, or maybe she means that China has under 500 million people, and is fudging the food and other resource numbers?


I posted this and saw you beat me too it.

As I read it, she is saying that there is no way 1.4 (or 1.2) billion people are in the country and most of their figures are lies.

This makes sense having done business in China and knowing how Chinese bureaucracy works.



There are NOT up to 8 billion living people in this world.
A laughable and unserious belief. Truly.

Most of humanity is unbirthed
Most online accounts are ghosts/bots

Census data has been SEVERELY embellished outside the West to claim more resources, peacock, and make their people feel small and inconsequential.

CHINA:
- 100's of unexplained ghost towns
- Phone companies reported over 100M+ are no longer in service or not used at all w/o explanation.
- Claimed 500M in 1950s, then somehow "boomed" after the CCP to 1.2B by 2000 which would require every woman to have 5 surviving babies on average.
- Except there was a strict 1 child policy for almost 4 decades, which only became the 2 child policy in 2015.
- and a FAMINE.
- Stopped reporting covid deaths out of shame, then secretly built mass funeral cemeteries at an alarming rate.

INDIA:
- Most recent official census data for India shows population in tier 1 and 2 cities to be 300 Million maximum.

- If this is true, almost 900 million people live in rural Indian villages. (lol?) Does this sound correct at all? Can it be said confidently by someone with sense?

- no

the womb of the world is barren
There is hardly anybody here.

 
Of course, China lies about everything, however, I don’t see how lying about this population Figure specifically would help them

By the way, Israel lies about everything as well, they always have news report about a certain number of deaths that day in Gaza, or the West Bank, and there’s no real way to verify any of the numbers.

And you know the United States lies about numbers as well, like with all the Somali fraud for example.

I just don’t understand what China would gain by saying they have 1.4 billion people if the real number is way less like 500 million.

Wouldn’t it be really easy to verify that they have enough food for 1.4 billion people? Are they intentionally throwing out a lot of food?
 
Of course, China lies about everything, however, I don’t see how lying about this population Figure specifically would help them

By the way, Israel lies about everything as well, they always have news report about a certain number of deaths that day in Gaza, or the West Bank, and there’s no real way to verify any of the numbers.

And you know the United States lies about numbers as well, like with all the Somali fraud for example.

I just don’t understand what China would gain by saying they have 1.4 billion people if the real number is way less like 500 million.

Wouldn’t it be really easy to verify that they have enough food for 1.4 billion people? Are they intentionally throwing out a lot of food?
If they show their population decline then their population may not like that. The CCP isn't with out it's own internal politics and requirements to keep its people supportive of their regime.
 
OK after a little googling, I think I understand a little better. Each of the geographic areas in China gets money from the central government based off of population..

They lie so much that they build actual ghost cities, to show that they have enough population dwellings to support over 1 billion people total. However, a lot of these structures and homes remain empty, but they had to build them to keep the fraud money flowing.

Basically, it’s exactly like the Somali fraud or Indian fraud or jew fraud in the United States



Estimated 65 million Chinese homes remain empty
 
OK after a little googling, I think I understand a little better. Each of the geographic areas in China gets money from the central government based off of population..

They lie so much that they build actual ghost cities, to show that they have enough population dwellings to support over 1 billion people total. However, a lot of these structures and homes remain empty, but they had to build them to keep the fraud money flowing.

Basically, it’s exactly like the Somali fraud or Indian fraud or jew fraud in the United States



Estimated 65 million Chinese homes remain empty

It's kind of like that situation where every region knows every other region is lying and no one wants to call anyone out. Because if they fall you fall.
 
^This is pretty dumb, approaching the "birds are not real" meme. You can't fudge a most basic stat of population size by over 250%. They could get away with 5%-10% at the most, and even that is doubtful. For one, if their population was as low as half a billion, they would not have had their one child policy.

If anything this shows how gullible people are wrt China.
 
^This is pretty dumb, approaching the "birds are not real" meme. You can't fudge a most basic stat of population size by over 250%. They could get away with 5%-10% at the most, and even that is doubtful. For one, if their population was as low as half a billion, they would not have had their one child policy.

If anything this shows how gullible people are wrt China.
It's not been my experience in dealing with the Chinese, which I have done in business, that they are a high trust society. Especially when there is incentive to bump these numbers up (just like California wanting to include illegals in the census for congressional apportionment)

I don't know that their population is .5b vs the 1.2 or 1.4 or 1.6 billion but I know not to trust the numbers that the politburo reports.

Mathematically the went from 550 million in 1950 to 1.2b in 2000 you'd need each woman to produce 5.7 kids. We know that didn't happen with the one child policy.

My grad school director talked about living on the top story of an empty skyrise in China. I tend to believe the china demographic skepticism is merited.

Quick Google search

By Age Group (Examples from 2023)
Ages 0-4: 109.28 males per 100 females.
Ages 5-9: 111.72 males per 100 females.
Ages 10-14: 114.39 males per 100 females.

Key Factors
Son Preference & One-Child Policy: Traditional preference for sons, combined with the former one-child policy, led to a skewed sex ratio at birth, with significantly more boys being born than girls (e.g., 111.3 male births per 100 female births in 2020).

"Missing Women": This imbalance has resulted in millions more men than women, creating a demographic challenge, particularly for marriageable-age men, notes the University of Michigan .
 
It's not been my experience in dealing with the Chinese, which I have done in business, that they are a high trust society. Especially when there is incentive to bump these numbers up (just like California wanting to include illegals in the census for congressional apportionment)

I don't know that their population is .5b vs the 1.2 or 1.4 or 1.6 billion but I know not to trust the numbers that the politburo reports.

Mathematically the went from 550 million in 1950 to 1.2b in 2000 you'd need each woman to produce 5.7 kids. We know that didn't happen with the one child policy.

That time period spans over two generations. Chinese farmers married young. For the population to just over double in 50 years, their women in the 1950s needed to have 5,7 children and grandchildren, a fairly modest proposition.
 
That time period spans over two generations. Chinese farmers married young. For the population to just over double in 50 years, their women in the 1950s needed to have 5,7 children and grandchildren, a fairly modest proposition.
They have had effectively 50 years of the 1 child policy. 1979 to 2015.

Here's an article discussing why their population is overinflated.

China’s Population-Control Disaster by Yi Fuxian - Project Syndicate https://www.project-syndicate.org/c...ulation-control-policies-by-yi-fuxian-2023-08
 
I like how the lady that started this theory didn't believe in it when she wrote her own profile on her website.

Lady is hustling your crowd good for engagement bucks.

Funny enough, she made the claim that Xi had a stroke while I was watching him live giving a speech early last year.

You guys are too funny.


IMG_3079.jpegIMG_3080.jpeg
 
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I like how the lady that started this theory didn't believe in it when she wrote her own profile on her website. She is hustling your crowd good for engagement.

Funny enough, she made the claim that Xi had a stroke while I was watching him several hours later early last year.

You guys are too funny.


View attachment 26895View attachment 26896
Have you ever interacted with the Chinese in business? Are you suggesting that they don't keep 2 sets of books?

Why do you trust CCP data whole cloth and don't apply the same skepticism we do to anything the US says?
 
Have you ever interacted with the Chinese in business? Are you suggesting that they don't keep 2 sets of books?

Why do you trust CCP data whole cloth and don't apply the same skepticism we do to anything the US says?

Because I moved to Hong Kong and have been in and out of China for the past decade. So I've interacted with them plenty, recently and not a decade+ ago like a good amount of the posters here that base their stories.

10 years ago, I held similar views as you.
 
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OK after a little googling, I think I understand a little better. Each of the geographic areas in China gets money from the central government based off of population..

Do you think that the provinces can lie to their central government about something as basic as the size of their population by a factor of 250%??


They have had effectively 50 years of the 1 child policy. 1979 to 2015.

Here's an article discussing why their population is overinflated. China’s Population-Control Disaster by Yi Fuxian - Project Syndicate https://www.project-syndicate.org/c...ulation-control-policies-by-yi-fuxian-2023-08

The fertility rate in China before 1980 was over 5.0, that alone could account for their population almost doubling between 1950 and 1980.

Your guy here, Yi Fuxian, does seem like a serious researcher. His estimate of the Chinese population today is 1.28 billion, which is a reasonable number, about 9% higher than official estimates. On the other hand, the statement by that Falun Gong lady above of China's population being around 500 million is complete bunk.

Yi Fuxian, a researcher at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, argues that China's population is significantly smaller and declining faster than official figures, estimating it was around 1.28 billion in 2020, not the reported 1.41 billion,
 
Because I moved to Hong Kong and have been in and out of China for the past decade. So I've interacted with them plenty, recently and not a decade+ ago like a good amount of the posters here that base their stories.

10 years ago, I held similar views as you.
Fair. Maybe lifting there in Hong Kong it's different and your milage varies.

My good friend (1/2 Taiwanese) actually pulled his manufacturing and facilities out of China after growing issues between his plant and the government. Rampant corruption/poor quality etc

When I was a supply chain manager ordering manufactured equipment from Chinese suppliers we were often ripped off with bunk products, or maybe 1 in 3 batches of material was actually reflecting the details required in the specs.

Knowing that a company we have set up over there had 2 sets of books (1 for us and 1 for them) also led to tons of audit questions and issues as an American company (all be it private) trying to follow da accounting rules the company was under...
Do you think that the provinces can lie to their central government about something as basic as the size of their population by a factor of 250%??




The fertility rate in China before 1980 was over 5.0, that alone could account for their population almost doubling between 1950 and 1980.

Your guy here, Yi Fuxian, does seem like a serious researcher. His estimate of the Chinese population today is 1.28 billion, which is a reasonable number, about 9% higher than official estimates. On the other hand, the statement by that Falun Gong lady above of China's population being around 500 million is complete bunk.
I don't think 250 percent and I'm not buying the 500 million number. My point was simply that I don't believe the CCP data and I know they aren't transparent.

Believing that while not believing our own government is a bit ironic no?
 
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