Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread

There are civilian facilities on the grounds of US military bases, both at home and abroad, including schools.

That Iranian girl school wasn't opened "yesterday". It was known, and should have been taken into account when planing the strikes - tomahawk missiles have a CEP (Circular Error Probable, call it a margin of error) of up to 10m, so none of them should have been launched at coordinates located closer than that, from the school. Unless wrong intel was given.

Many of these girls were from Iranian navy families, that's why the school was targeted.

One school targeted is a mistake, but a half dozen, along with a dozen plus hospitals, is a pattern.

As well as Ember pointed out above, Trump and Hegseth claiming that Iran bombed that school is pretty damning when it is established beyond any doubt that it was hit with two Tomahawk attacks.
 
Yes, you can never know if anyone on the Israeli or American side is nuts enoug to use a nuke. It does seem unlikey to me too. For one reason, you can get more or less the same effect with thermobaric and incendiary weapons and for some reason normies don't find that nearly as troubling. Whenever I hear someone go on and on about Hiroshima and Nagasaki while never having even heard of the firebombing of Tokyo, I know I'm talking to a normie who buys the mainstream narative about WW2 hook, line, and sinker.


Actually Tactical Nukes B61-12s are useful against Underground Bunkers - which the Iran has a ton of to plan against Air Superiority of the US.

The Pentagon had documented plans for it.

 


Iran hit the main power station in Tel Aviv, which IIRC supplies around 1/5th of the country's electricity.

Israel cannot stop the better missiles in Iran's arsenal. Iran is keeping up the pressure, firing a few missiles on Israel on key targets. Israel is expending a lot of their interceptor stock on these attacks.

Perhaps the plan for Iran here is to drain the Israeli interceptor stock so that they become vulnerable even to their older lower tech missile stock.
 
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The Iranian Navy has suffered at least 9 losses of their large ships - and it looks like they will be abandoning their larger vessels in favor of their smaller 300 missile boats and drone fleet to enforce the Hormuz blockade.

 
Israeli drivers shelter under a bridge during strikes.



Very wild video.
Safety related question....is it really safe to shelter under a huge overpass or bridge when aereal bombings occur ?
Wouldn't you be at much greater risk if the overpass or bridge is hit and then falls on top of you, killing you or burying you underneath?
 
Safety related question....is it really safe to shelter under a huge overpass or bridge when aereal bombings occur ?
Wouldn't you be at much greater risk if the overpass or bridge is hit and then falls on top of you, killing you or burying you underneath?
My guess is that It's way safer than out in the open. Especially when it is cluster bombs being dropped. Iran would have to be targeting the bridge with specific missile types for any real chance of a collapse.
 
Oil prices crashing down. Maybe there is a deal in the making right now. Simon Dixon thinks that China has approved a deal to make both sides happy and that is why the oil markets are now crashing down.
 


"The difficulties in winning this war are numerous. The US-Israel coalition's capacity is beginning to fatigue, with a reduction of up to 65% in attacks, as I reported yesterday.

I also reported that CENTCOM seems to be inflating numbers to create a perception of victory, but the truth is that in both Israel and the White House, the plan has shifted to how to end the war without it looking like a defeat.

I don't see the slightest sign of fatigue in Iran yet. They still operate more than 30 ships, their submarine fleet, and over 300 missile boats, not to mention a large part of their air force. And, ten days into the war, Iran continues to launch missiles strategically. Very few THAAD radars remain in the region.

It seems nobody learned anything from the Russian difficulties in Ukraine. No matter how many missiles or bombs are dropped on Iran, it hasn't shown signs of causing fatigue to the regime. Iran still holds the strait, and contrary to what many predicted, they opened fire on American assets in neighboring countries so violently that it intimidated any initiative from those neighbors to respond, even though the US maintained attacks from those territories as bait for Iran.

The big issue in all of this is that during negotiations, they were close to a deal with Iran and the construction of a path forward.It is not simple to win a war against Iran. The way forward is to build bridges, as was done with Turkey decades ago, laying new tracks step by step. I confess that this has become more complicated today.

The war strengthens Iran's relationship with its proxies, making any future work much more difficult, including efforts aimed at the security of other countries."

 
I think it's very likely that even if the US and Izrael say they want to stop, Iran will just keep going this time.
It's at that very dangerous stage that nukes remain the only option.
 

Are there more on the ground sources to confirm this? If so, I would say that this is a positive development as it could bring about a quickening cease fire before more innocents are killed. I'm no fan of Iran and it's use of violence to deal with internal political dissenters, but if forced to choose a side between the lesser of two evils, I would choose muzzy Iran over globohomo jewry any day of the week.

Hopefully the jews being without electricity and water for a few weeks will make them shut the f*ck up and humble themselves before God and the world. I'm so tired of hearing these zionist shills like Hegseth and Trump whine like little bitches about "Muh, Iran!" I could care less about my personal financial situation with regards to all of this, I'll gladly pay a few shekles for some radio silence from all these war profiteering ass clowns.
 
I think it's very likely that even if the US and Izrael say they want to stop, Iran will just keep going this time.
It's at that very dangerous stage that nukes remain the only option.

Maybe they should just have a "grand finale" firework display leveling a few more Israeli bases and infrastructure for a day or two before calling an end to this round.
 
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