I have no emotional investment as I view politicians transaction-ally as everyone should. So if Trump is the nominee I won't vote and that's fine. Actually to be more precise, I have little emotional investment in RDS winning. Trust in God's ultimate plan does that.
Regarding Desantis, if he wins Iowa it's a whole new game. You say, 'the polls, he can't'. Thing is, if you look at past Iowa polling this early out it is entirely non predictive of the winner. Desantis has all the necessary endorsements including the governor and Bob Vander Plaats of the Family Leader which is influential in the state that is 2/3 Evangelical. Whoever Bob endorses has always won. Desantis has a huge ground game double the size of Ted Cruz who won in 16 and he already has 40k caucus votes banked (way ahead of Ted Cruz). Trump, Haley and Vivek all effectively have no ground game. I would be surprised if Desantis doesn't win Iowa and would add if he doesn't win Iowa it's over for him IMO. In fact, I would say he needs to win Iowa by at least 5 points...more would be better.
Looking at NH there's similar dynamics at play for Desantis. Effective ground game, likely governor endorsement forthcoming and most of the GOP in NH has already backed him. Playing this out, NH would come after an Iowa RDS win which would give momentum. Mainly because there's like 60% of the vote that when polled say Trump, but it's a soft yes. They're not committed, but think he's inevitable. Once that shroud of inevitability has been pierced it changes everything. Going forward, RDS has won the first two and now they go to SC where, again, there's similar advantages for RDS already in play (most of Tim Scott's support moved over to RDS already which actually surprised me....but that's according to 'the Hill' which is MSM so who knows).
If Desantis takes the first 3 which are the ones he's been focusing on for the last 6 months Trump's in real trouble. At that point he would have to debate as RDS would keep calling him out on it and his losing the first 3 contests removes his only reason for not debating - nobody has a chance against me so there's no need. But if he does debate he'll get crushed\exposed and at almost 80 years old he just can't keep up (we'll all be there). So you see why Trump has been pleading with RNC to stop all future debates and basically coronate him. His worst nightmare is teh above scenario. His last hope would be Super Tuesday.
What I'll take pleasure in if RDS should do the above is seeing the fall of the pollsters and all the phony grifting conservative class who for 6 months constantly waived these worthless polls around. That I will enjoy. I'll also have a bit of Schadenfreude with the fall of a Godless self worshiping false god. Also, after every loss he will claim it was all rigged proving the point of what kind of man he is.
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