The Wider Middle East Thread

-1. Do not insult.
The Saudis like many other developing world countries now view the US as a setting power. The younger generation of Saudis travel and do business in China, they see the difference between cities like Shenzen, Shanghai or Beijing and western cities like London, Paris or NYC which are in social and physical decline. China has become their main trading partner, by far, and the gap will widen as China fills new niches like autos or passenger jets. As well, there is a long history of trade between east and west Asia that goes back to the Middle Ages, which is being revived. Saudi Arabia has made the teaching of Mandarin mandatory in their school system.

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Going forward, China is the world's largest importer of oil, and the largest exporter of manufactured goods by a wide margin.

China will first come into the Middle East through trade, investments and currency moves. Down the road, you might see more direct military involvement of China (and Russia) in the region, starting with weapon purchases. The transition won't be instantaneous, but it will take place this decade. At some point down the road, China will start asserting itself on the global monetary scene by pegging its currency to gold and revealing the extent of its gold reserves, which might be greater than 30,000T, 5 to 10 times larger than US gold reserves, which are claimed to be around 8,000T but have never been audited.




Only if they carry over their oil from Arabia by rickshaw... the cost of shipping oil via tankers from the Persian Gulf to Hong Kong is around $4/barrel, you're off by a factor of 10 here.

The Abraham Accords are dead in the water. Saudi, UAE are joining BRICS, and this, according to you, never happened:



For you to use the Abraham Accords as a valid talking point shows incredible lack of awareness (or bias) wrt the tectonic shifts in western Asia.

Below and above is the end stage of about all of Coop's takes, aka totally off the mark and in hindsight embarrassing to read. It's legit cringeworthy spitting through the little man's previous posting sprees, one wall of dressed up and made up on the fly BS after the other. This historically illiterate, geopolitically myopic, emotionally invested and high on e-daddy's slopnarratives' thirdworldist just can't stop BSmaxxing, having sifted through the sludge I don't legit think there has been a single of his forecasts that has been mildly accurate and the little man's posts ergo anno 2025 have the relevance of a flatulent stray dog's wet farts.

These misinformation peddling stooges just love it when they find a few ignorant and soft heads to drill their disinfo slop into hence why you gotta keep them on a short lease. Eternal ridicule as we relive the 'tectonic shifts', 'dead Abraham Accords' and 'Saudi/UAE throwing its weight with BRICS', 'Saudi considers the US a setting power' and a string of other retarded and mostly made up feel-good takes that have finally crystallized, yet only in the exact opposite way. The Gaza War is over and Hamas out and done, the Axis of (non-) Resistance a footnote in history, Iran clipped and defanged, the US position in the Middle East more entrenched than ever, turdworldist solidarity a proven myth, and BRICS an afterthought. Lil Coop as always clueless and high on his own supply, La Aguila Negra, per usual, right on everything.

MBS just signed the US-Saudi defense framework mentioned a few posts above. 48 F35 + 300 Abrams tank deal inked, Saudi designated a major non NATO ally, MBS set to invest another 1 trillion USD in the US economy, Abraham Accords entry on the horizon, petrodollar looking solid as hell.

 
MBS just signed the US-Saudi defense framework mentioned a few posts above. 48 F35 + 300 Abrams tank deal inked, Saudi designated a major non NATO ally, MBS set to invest another 1 trillion USD in the US economy, Abraham Accords entry on the horizon, petrodollar looking solid as hell.

The difference between MBS and Trump is that MBS will likely be on the stage for decades to come, while Trump has a couple of more years to go. MBS can play the long game, Trump can't. It's easy to pledge a long term investment of 1000 zillion trillion dollars now in order to stroke Trump's ego. Let me know how much has actually been invested in three years time.

Although the Israel/US-alliance has never been stronger on the ground, for the first time in history the "special relationship" is under scrutiny and debate. And the long term effects of this has yet to play out. Zionism is a totalitarian ideology that cannot tolerate dissent or debate. We are now seeing the beginning stages in an attempt by the Zionists to take over full control of social media and the internet, and to completely silence anyone that protests and asks questions. This of course includes silencing many prominent "America First"-profiles, since "America First" isn't "Israel First".

Who knows how it will all play out.
 
Several US bombing runs in Somalia last week. This time unrelated to Puntland, but in the South of the country. Al Qaida linked al Shabaab has started a new offensive against AMISOM/ Somalian government and is gaining ground.





In other news due to budget slashing by DOGE many of the Somalian army/government institutions units dependent on US money will soon not be able to maintain themselves hence disappear/change sides.


There is a US special forces raid going on in Puntland, Somalia. High IS casualties reported. US forces are supported by drones and helicopters. Not the first time this happens but last time was over a year ago. At the same time AFRICOM continues their bombing campaign on Al Qaida/al Shabaab and IS in support of the central government, in 2025 so far at least 100 air and drone strikes have been reported. This number is by far the highest number of US strikes measured by year ever.





 
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The increased Emirati support worked, the SAF offensive ran out of steam. Sudan is lowkey back in the news due to the siege on El Fasher deteriorating. The RSF is pushing, the Emiratis want the city to fall. El Fasher is the last SAF holdout in Darfur and has been under siege for over 2 years. Famine and disease are rife, allegedly over a million people are trapped. The RSF execute anyone trying to enter or flee El Fasher, Africa style war crimes are the norm. The issue is gaining traction in the international community/ the UN, there is a push for a ceasefire.

Overall the war has reached an impasse and the SAF is not able to military defeat the RSF, which means the solution is diplomatic. Both parties don't seem willing to compromise hence a de facto breakaway Darfuri Republic looks likely. This Darfuri state will be led by the Beggara Arabs (famous for their slave trading) dominant in Darfur and Kordofan as opposed to the Nile Arabs in Khartoum. As a UAE proxy the Darfuri statelet will also stand in opposition to the MB/ Islamist dominated Sudani junta in Khartoum, likewise the RSF project will give the UAE a strong card against creeping Turkish and Iranian influence in Khartoum. Aside from Emirati influence the RSF also has a decent support structure within Africa due to support from countries like Kenya, South Sudan, Uganda, Chad, Libya etc









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El Fasher fell a couple of months ago and the UAE backed RSF immediately started Africa-style reprisals on the local population. In the days after the capture dozens of videos were posted by and of RSF members committing atrocities, ranging from beheadings to mass executions, deliberately running prisoners over to hunting fleeing people in the desert safari style. Numbers are arbitrary yet British intelligence now puts the number of deaths at 60 000, with more missing.



 
March 2025 Syrian SDF - al Sharaa peacedeal is under heavy pressure. SDF was supposed to disarm and integrate into Syrian state structures under this deal, and in a 12 month timeframe. No progress since then, heavy distrust between Jolani's jihadists and the secular Kurdish pseudo-commies of the SDF. Al Sharaa already lost Suweida after Israeli intervention, Turks are becoming very impatient and want the SDF either gone or disarmed. Heavy Turkish military build up along SDF controlled areas continues, al Sharaa sending columns from his area. For now these are posturing and threats yet Erdogan will move if he feels there is a window of opportunity

US has for now sided with al Sharaa basically rugpulling their former bestie the SDF. Not sure where Washington stands right now, US envoy Tom Barrack is close to al Sharaa/Turkey yet other people in the Administration seem less close. Without US military, intelligence and diplomatic support the SDF doesn't stand a chance against the Turks.



 
Which raises the question: where does Israel stand right now? Certainly not with al-Sharaa. Israel can't be too happy with Trump siding with them. Must be why DC Zionists have been in a frenzy attacking Jolani and Qatar.


The Trump Administration stands for a centralized Syrian state integrated into the global community and with a increasingly self sufficient military, hence the current Trump- al Sharaa lovestory. The Trump Administration views al Sharaa's past as problematic but surmountable and is there are talks on a US base south of Damascus. The Trump Administration is trying to convince Netanyahu on entering a detente with al Sharaa.

Netanyahu is against this. Israel wants to keep Syria divided, decentralized and lacking any serious military punch hence its support for the Druze, the Kurds and potentially soon the coastal Alawites/Christians. Syria is supposed to become a Somalia 2.0, a place where feudal lords are in eternal warfare and the country is carved up under ever shifting lines yet never able to muster itself and rise again. Obviously this is fanned by outside actors. Netanyahu has no interest whatsoever in signing a peacedeal with the Syrians and becoming relatively good neighbours.

The third player is the HTS led government, which is aware of the cracks and is trying to play other camps. Al Sharaa seems to be open to at least a temporary ceasefire yet the Israeli occupation of Syrian soil around Mount Hermon is a problem. Al Sharaa has the support of Turkey and Qatar, and is moving on Moscow. Al Sharaa was in Moscow one month before he travelled to DC bytheway. First progress: last month a Israeli-Russian-Syrian deal was struck on the return of Russian peacekeepers on the Syrian-Israeli border, Netanyahu trusts Putin and the Russians are supposed to create a bufferzone between the IDF and jihadist elements.

The latter is a problem for Netanyahu, there are constant skirmishes on the Southern border/ Quneitra between the IDF and jihadists, the Sunnis are disorganized and prone to impulsive violence, unlike tight organizations like Hezbollah. This makes them difficult to deal with. Last week the IDF again threatened to bomb Damascus yet again if al Sharaa wouldn't get his men under control, IDF patrols had run into a jihadist ambush in Southern Syria, the Russians are being brought in to bring this under control.



 
Next up is Minneapolis, right?

RIGHT!?!?
The Somali diaspora in Minneapolis is one of al Shabaab's main collective donors, a lot of those siphoned off taxdollars get sent to al Shabaab liaisions. Al Shabaab is aligned with al al Qaida bytheway. As for the US raid, it was successful. 40 KIA. New head of IS in Somalia as family in the UK though.



 
^This is all about securing plans for Greater Israel. The US troops in eastern Syria are about building a land bridge to the Kurdish-held areas in northern Syria where Israel has military bases.
 
Trump now has an excuse for further forever war in the Middle East, if he uses it.


The perpetrator was with the STG, aka the Syrian security forces. STG is HTS + a large number of other (foreign) jihadists rebranded, there are over 100 000 of those 'former' jihadists incorporated in the Syrian military. US and STG forces were on a joint anti IS mission in the Syrian desert when this one of these individuals detonated a suicide vest. Infiltrating militaries to gain proximity to Western forces is time-tested, there have been over 100 green on blue attacks in Afghanistan alone.

 
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The new ME dynamics are shaping up as forecasted, the Qatar+Turkey axis is skillfully working behind the scenes to maximise influence vis a vis Israel, in stark opposition to the borderline autistic ayatollahs in Tehran who had managed to surpass Israel as most hated entity in the ME by a wide margin and who had the entire ME burst out in Schadenfreude as Iran's 'Axis of (non-) Resistance' + nuclear program got rolled up in record time.

The Israelis are looking for allies, leverage and strategic depth to balance out Turkey's military dominance. In that Israel has been successful with the Greeks and Cypriots and have cosied up with these two historic enemies of Turkey. In the military sphere the Israelis are going to share drone technology, PULS systems and air defence assets with the Greeks, officially announced in this year's 25 billion USD defence plan meant to establish 'a Greek Dome' by 2027.

Cyprus' AD umbrella has been reinforced with the placement of several Israeli Barak MX AD batteries, Erdo started barking immediately. Nevertheless one should expect offensive Israeli weaponry to follow soon, and Erdo might actually react in an over the top way. Man's currently standing at 4 invasions and leveling dozens of Kurdish majority cities, still rookie numbers compared to Bibi though. The Israeli are trying to create a powerful deterrent against the Turks by creating a ring of hostile and military powerful state(lets) around Turkey and weaponizing Cyprus against Turkey is a big move.

Northern Cyprus has been illegally occupied by the Turks since 1974 and only Turkey recognizes Northern Cyprus. All of the North's Greek population was ethnically cleansed and many perished in one of the many anti-Greek Turkish pogroms.

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There is movement on a Israel+Cyprus+Greece axis, shared adversary is obviously Turkey. Due to the demise of Assad and the wider strategic defeat of Iran the Turkey-Israel rivalry is coming towards the surface, especially the Syrian power vacuum is hot. Ergo why Bibi is making avances on two of Ankara's historical enemies, Greece and Cyprus. A summit was held on December 23, in which rhetoric was used clearly aimed at containing Turkish expansionism. Bibi later raised those stakes saying Israel would not tolerate the resurgence of the Ottoman Empire.

Big events to watch are the 1. US- Turkey F35 deal, which is still moving forward and would cancel Israel's current aerial superiority/domination in the region and the 2. SDF integration ultimatum, Kurdish SDF bigwigs have in recent months made appeals to Netanyahu as the danger of a shared Syrian-Turkish operation grows. Deadline is due fast and there still hasn't been reached an agreement with DC behind the scenes pushing for federalization and integration.







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There is movement on a Israel+Cyprus+Greece axis, shared adversary is obviously Turkey. Due to the demise of Assad and the wider strategic defeat of Iran the Turkey-Israel rivalry is coming towards the surface, especially the Syrian power vacuum is hot. Ergo why Bibi is making avances on two of Ankara's historical enemies, Greece and Cyprus. A summit was held on December 23, in which rhetoric was used clearly aimed at containing Turkish expansionism. Bibi later raised those stakes saying Israel would not tolerate the resurgence of the Ottoman Empire.

Big events to watch are the 1. US- Turkey F35 deal, which is still moving forward and would cancel Israel's current aerial superiority/domination in the region and the 2. SDF integration ultimatum, Kurdish SDF bigwigs have in recent months made appeals to Netanyahu as the danger of a shared Syrian-Turkish operation grows. Deadline is due fast and there still hasn't been reached an agreement with DC behind the scenes pushing for federalization and integration.







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This is an incredibly naive take. More precisely, it is a zionist take, waging war by way of deception. The above sources are Israeli-funded. Israel is colonizing Cyprus and this alliance against Turkey is just a cover for that, allowing the fox to get into the Cyprus henhouse.

Cyprus is basically where Palestine was 100 years ago, under British military control over the Greek side of the island, with the London, Paris and Frankfurt banksters being the ultimate rulers of the island, which is a major banking center. I presume most local politicians and media are bought out. The Greek Orthodox patriots are being fooled about the identity of their main enemy, Turkey having been a longtime foe, because the main threat on what remains of Greek Cyprus today is more formidable and deceptive. The only party that has sounded the alarm about the Israeli invasion of their island are local leftists :



 
Repeated insults
It's official, few days ago the 'Greece-Cyprus-Israel Joint Action Plan' and the 'Greece–Israel Defense Cooperation Program for 2026' were signed in Nicosia. The program includes exercises, joint training of Special Operations Forces, and staff meetings. This re-aligment is just one of the many developments in the Western Mediterranean, Arabian Peninsula and Horn of Africa, the Turkey-Israel rivalry is coming to the surface in all mentioned areas.

Meanwhile Coop's moved on from simply being a goofball who's always wrong to legit schizo-posting, man's got absolutely no shame and just keeps on coming back after getting dunked on time and time again. His latest post is so hallucinant it's not worthy of anyone's time and effort, da Greek tourists 'n shiett bro. In general westoid emotionally invested mullah-maxxing thirdworldists seem to be spiraling hard into the geopolitical equivalent of Q-tardery. Should have just internalized yours truly's takes on Israel, Iran, it's AoR and Russia+ China's non-commitment on Tehran - in the case of Moscow it was actually more like barely cloaked sabotage. Would have saved you the current embarrassment, this is not a good look.

In the last two years Israel has established itself as the regional hegemon, only threatened in its orbit by the Turks further up North. Judging by recent developments in the Aegean though this conflict will likely move beyond Syria. Tel Aviv has furthermore created strategic autonomy vs the US, many Israeli moves in the region are nowadays done without much US cooperation and approval. Israel is developing an alliance system similar to yet disconnected from Washington, and in the next decade Tel Aviv will pursue greater military autonomy through building out its own arms industry.

Especially Israeli diplomacy deserves a special mention, regional states are lining up to become buddies with Tel Aviv, which in stark contrast to whacky 'predictions' of diplomatic isolation+ the entire Muslim world ganging up made before. The UAE- Israel relationship is BFF tier, countries like Jordan, Morocco, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Egypt etc have good to proper relations with Israel, and Tel Aviv is busy building up a system of patronage through exploiting existing faultlines in fractured countries like Sudan, Libya, Iraq, Yemen, Syria and Somalia - aka basically hedging on one of the warring parties as to create strong leverage.

Below is a map posted by one of Erdogan's personal advisor, also keep in mind that in Turkish media narratives on Greek militarization of the Aegean islands is spun up as to incite strong national sentiments and a possible casus belli further down the road. This is in addition to an already existing conflict about EEZs and the currently unresolved status of the Turkish backed invasion originated Northern Cyprus breakaway republic.



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Few weeks ago former British Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson broke the story on the pending Trump Administration's plans to recognize the breakaway state of Somaliland. Few weeks later US Representative Scott Perry introduced a bill that indeed aims to recognize Somaliland as an independent country



Somaliland is officially part of Somalia but has been self governing since 1991. Somaliland is strategically located near the Bab el Mandeb and opposite is Yemen. Somaliland has good relations with the USA, Israel, Ethiopia and a bunch of other less important countries. Somaliland has slowly increased in geostrategic relevance. In 2016, at the height of the Yemen War, the UAE started investing large sums of money into Somaliland to contain Ansarallah. In 2018 the Emirates opened a deep water air and naval base in the city of Berbera. In 2024 Ansarallah's focus has shifted from the Saudis/Emiratis to Israel, hence at the invitation of the UAE Israel itself will construct a military base near Somaliland too

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Israel has recognized Somaliland, first state in the world to do so. This is a rather big development in the Horn of Africa, expect the UAE and Ethiopia to follow suit. Somaliland has been a Emirati launchpad for further incursions into Africa for over a decade, Hargeisa and Berbera are vital in the Emirati supply chain to arm and supply a number of UAE banked groups, most notably the Messara RSF/janjaweed.

In Israel's case focus will be on securing the Bab el Mandeb, balancing out Turkey and creating a deterrent vis a vis Ansarallah/the Houthis. During the last 2.5 years Israelis were unable to roll up Ansarallah Assad/Hezb/Hamas/IRGC style due to the distance ergo had to live with a relatively well armed hostile entity near one of the world's main maritime chokepoints. With Somaliland in the picture this liability will be met with a deterrent, Israeli military assets and across the Gulf will hamper Houthi shenanigans in a possible next round.

The recognition of Somaliland also deals a heavy blow to Turkey, Turks have greatly expanded their footprint in Africa over the last 10-15 years. Somalia is one of those places, Turks are heavily invested in Somalia and have a military base in the country (TURKSOM).

Expect a more aggressive Israeli shift towards backing separatist republics in places like Sudan, Libya, Yemen, Syria, Iraq as well, especially the UAE backed Hirak/ Southern Yemeni independence movement is high on the list to receive a similar Israeli stamp of recognition rather sooner than later.



 
I must be forgetting to take my redpills because all I can say to that news is "based."

Yes, I know they receive unlimited American aid. Yes, I know we're goyim all the way down to them.

But you can't help but admire their chutzpah.
 


"We have to bomb, overthrow, go to war against, bribe, destabilize, be enemies of, and otherwise waste $Trillions on the countries in green, so that the little country in red can r*pe, k*ll, steal land & commit gen0c*de safely without fear of repercussion.

And what do we get out of it? Poorer, w/millions of foreigners who hate us from those countries imported into our lands—which makes us even poorer some more—and ruins our social cohesion, our identity, our faith, and our overall peace & prosperity.

Why do we indulge this batshit crazy insanity? We could be living the peak futuristic utopian dream in a glorious, homogenous civilization of plenty—but instead we're broke AF and crumbling to pieces in every corner of the country, beset by chaos, corruption and crime, being ruled over by gangsters, thieves & ped*philes.

And we're supposed to smile, pretend everything is all right, and say the words: "They're our greatest ally."
 
In the last two years Israel has established itself as the regional hegemon, only threatened in its orbit by the Turks further up North. Judging by recent developments in the Aegean though this conflict will likely move beyond Syria. Tel Aviv has furthermore created strategic autonomy vs the US, many Israeli moves in the region are nowadays done without much US cooperation and approval. Israel is developing an alliance system similar to yet disconnected from Washington, and in the next decade Tel Aviv will pursue greater military autonomy through building out its own arms industry.

Well, that certainly is an interesting development.

This, however, depends on whether the Israelis are capable of maintaining relationships that are not entirely parasitical and one-sided in nature, and if they can refrain from constantly screwing over the other party.

Considering the Israeli nature and culture - those are pretty big "Ifs".
 
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