The Russian-Ukrainian War of 2022 (News and battle updates only)

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Ukrainian incursions into Russia - August 6, 2024.
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"The situation in the Russian borderland as of 20:00 /Moscow time/ August 6, 2024

▪️ The situation in the Kursk region remains tense: at the moment, the main battles are still taking place in the Sudzha and Korenevo districts, where, judging by the latest footage, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have managed to advance.
▪️ Moving from the Sverdlikovo direction, units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Stryker armored personnel carriers were able to reach the Rylsk-Sudzha highway, along which they attempted to advance in the direction of the village of Zeleny Shlyakh. However, on the section of the highway to the east of the village of Nizhnii Klin, the enemy armored group was ambushed, and the equipment itself was later finished off by Russian drones.

▪️ At the same time, clashes continue on the section of the 38K-004 highway near the Sudzha checkpoint, as well as in the area of the village of Gordeyevka. However, due to the lack of objective footage, it is difficult to establish the exact configuration of the front in these areas.
▪️ Ukrainian media are actively distributing videos of captured Russian servicemen in the area of the Hlyboke Tract, from where Ukrainian troops had tried to advance towards Kurilovka. Also, a photo of a burnt Russian Ka-52 helicopter appeared on the Internet.

▪️ The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to strike with artillery and drones throughout the Kursk region. According to the latest data, three people were killed in the region, at least 18 were injured, including children.
▪️ Russian troops are also firing at enemy positions and concentrations - one of the strikes hit a Ukrainian Buk-M1 air defense system, which was destroyed by a missile strike north of the village of Senne in the Sumy region.
▪️ From a media point of view, the enemy received the necessary footage of both: captured Russian servicemen and the advancement of an armored group up to 6 km from the border - even if the evidence is footage of their own destroyed armored personnel carriers. However, this will be more than enough to interrupt negative informations, such as the loss of control over New York.
▪️ It is not worth to expect a quick end to the attacks: fierce battles will continue in the Kursk region, and it is also impossible to rule out the activation of enemy troops in other areas. Moreover, the enemy’s actions reveal a plan of an offensive in the most “thin” places with the aim of forcing the RF Armed Forces to transfer forces from other directions."
 
Toretsk - 06.08.2024
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"The situation in the Oleksandro-Kalynove direction by the end of August 6, 2024

▪️ Footage of the raising of the Russian flag over a school in the northwestern part of New York appeared on the Internet. This means that the battle for the city is in its final stage.

▪️ In recent weeks, the Russian Armed Forces have achieved great success in this area, having managed to break through the Ukrainian lines of defense and occupy the commanding heights. In light of the rapid advance of Russian stormtroopers, there is a chance to encircle the enemy forces in the city center and the "pocket" to the east.
▪️ Judging by the configuration of the front line, the Phenol and machine-building plants have also come under the control of Russian troops, which means the capture of the residential sector as well.
▪️ If the configuration of the front line is correct, then the Armed Forces of Ukraine might leave the city due to the threat of being trapped in a "cauldron". In this case, the assault detachments of the Russian Armed Forces will clearly continue their offensive in the direction of the villages of Leonidivka, Shcherbynivka and Petrivka to further encircle Toretsk from the west, which will significantly complicate the position of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the city and in the whole Oleksandro-Kalynove direction."
 
Ukrainian incursions into Russia - August 7, 2024.
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"The situation in the Russian borderland as of 13:00 /Moscow time/ August 7, 2024

▪️ Throughout the night and morning, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continued to expand their zone of control in part of the Kursk region. According to the latest information, since the beginning of the offensive, Ukrainian units have occupied several rural settlements in the region.
▪️ In the northwestern sector, the enemy, monivg along the Rylsk-Sudzha highway, reached the outskirts of Leonidovo. In this sector units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine came under fire from Russian troops and suffered losses in manpower and equipment.
A selection of videos of strikes on invading Ukrainian troops in the border areas of the Kursk region.

However, the enemy managed to advance more than three kilometers in the Nikolaevo-Dariino - Dariino - Nizhnii Klin line, establishing control over Obukhovka, Pokrovsky, Tolsty Lug and Liubimovka.
▪️ In the southeastern sector, the enemy captured the Sudzha gas metering station, through which gas is transited to Europe through the territory of the so-called Ukraine. The facility itself is located in close proximity to the checkpoint of the same name. According to incoming information, units of the Russian Armed Forces were able to dislodge Ukrainian troops from Goncharovka, a western suburb of Sudzha. However, the enemy retains control over the rest of the 38K-004 highway.
▪️ The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to strike throughout the Kursk region - Sudzha remains under the heaviest fire. According to official data, five people have been killed in two days, at least 24 have been injured, including six children.
▪️ According to footage published by the enemy, yesterday a Ukrainian FPV drone hit a Russian Mi-28 helicopter in the tail boom, which was the first such documented incident. The aircraft suffered damage to the tail rotor and landed, the crew is alive.
▪️ The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continues to concentrate forces in the Yunakivka rural community in the Sumy region. Concentrations of Ukrainian units are recorded in Yunakivka itself, as well as in the village of Kyyanytsya, located to the southwest.
▪️ At the same time, in another part of the Sumy region, a concentration of enemy forces is observed in the forests near the village of Pryvillya to the east of Hlukhiv. From here units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can advance both along the highway through the Krupets checkpoint and from the side of the Krasny Peredovik farm.
▪️ At the moment, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is forming two groups, and if the first is partially introduced into the territory of the Kursk region, the other has not yet begun to move. Rylsk may become a common target for both groups - Ukrainian formations from the Sudzha district were able to advance somewhat towards it overnight, and the E38 highway leads to it from the Pryvillya direction."
 
Ukrainian incursions into Russia - August 7, 2024.
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"The situation in the Russian borderland as of 18:00 /Moscow time/ August 7, 2024

▪️ Over past hours, the situation in the Kursk region deteriorated.
▪️ In the northwestern sector, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have expanded their zone of control. The villages of Leonidovo and Liubimovka have been occupied. At the same time, Russian troops attempted a counterattack in the direction of the nearby Zelenyi Shlyakh farm, but failed to liberate the settlement.
▪️ One of the Ukrainian armored groups, consisting of several units of equipment, conducted reconnaissance in force along the Rylsk-Sudzha highway, reaching the outskirts of Korenevo, which is located approximately 30 km southeast of Rylsk. At the moment, Russian troops are delivering strikes against Ukrainian units and fighting on the highway, trying to prevent the enemy from occupying the town.
▪️ In the southeastern sector, the Armed Forces of Ukraine entered the western suburbs of Sudzha. The center of the settlement itself, located in a lowland, is in the "gray zone". Russian troops retain control over the eastern part of the city, located on a hill.
▪️ At the same time, Ukrainian formations advanced in the south of Sudzha: in this area, they occupied the settlements of Gornal, Guevo and Kurilovka. Russian UAV operators conduct reconnaissance of the area and issue target designation for the destruction of identified enemy positions by fire, while ground forces, border guards and units of the Russian National Guard counterattack.
▪️ On the second day of the Ukrainian strike in the Kursk region, the situation remains difficult: the enemy's long preparation for the strike has borne fruit. The enemy's engineering equipment is being sent to the parts of Russian territory occupied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to equip defensive positions. But capturing and holding territories are two completely different tasks, so time will put everything in its place.
▪️ Nevertheless, the media victory of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - there is a video with captured Russian servicemen, and evidence of a successful advance deep into Russian territory - against the backdrop of their large-scale failures in the Donetsk People's Republic is temporary."
 
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Ukrainian incursions into Russia - August 7, 2024.
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"The situation in the Russian borderland by the end of August 7, 2024

▪️ In the Kursk region, the situation in the Sudzha and Korenevo districts continues to be quite difficult. In the evening, the regional authorities announced the introduction of a state of emergency in the region. The evacuation of the population is also continuing in several settlements.
▪️ However, judging by the latest information, it was partially possible to stop the raids of the enemy's reconnaissance groups and prevent their further broad advancement.

▪️ In the northwestern sector, Russian troops repelled an enemy attack on the Rylsk-Sudzha highway near the settlement of Korenevo. The Armed Forces of Ukraine retreated to their original positions with losses.
▪️ To the south of Koronevo, units of the Russian Armed Forces are engaged in intense fighting along the Loknya-Nikolsky-Viktorovka-Kruglenkoye line. Apparently, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to break through to Malaya Loknya, from where they will be able to move along the highway in the direction of Lgov. The Russian Armed Forces have already begun to equip additional lines of defense, and the planned evacuation of the settlement in case of an enemy breakthrough.
▪️ In the southeastern sector, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have occupied the western half of Sudzha. At the moment, the line of combat contact runs along the dam area - it is a lowland through which a fairly small Sudzha River flows. This area is defended by local militia units, who have been tasked with preventing Ukrainian units from penetrating into the eastern part of the city. The next line of Russian defense runs along the railway tracks.
▪️ The civilian population fled from the destroyed city throughout the day. By evening, enemy sabotage and reconnaissance group activity was already recorded at the eastern exit, the roads around the settlement were under enemy fire control, and small arms battles began in the city.

▪️ At the same time, footage is being distributed in the Russian segment of the Internet that allegedly confirms the absence of Ukrainian troops in Sudzha. One of them is a "latest" Izvestia report, however, it was first published this morning, and could have been filmed even earlier. Why make such inept anti-crisis reports? Who came up with it in the era of OSINT - we can only guess. Unfortunately, in reality, this only causes irritation.
▪️ On the section of the highway northeast of Sudzha, a Ukrainian drone attacked a car in which war correspondent Yevgeny Poddubny was riding: he was evacuated to a local hospital in serious condition, but war correspondent Alexander Kots confirmed that Poddubny was conscious and alive.

▪️ By evening, footage appeared on the Internet of Russian prisoners of war being escorted to the Ukrainian side through the Sudzha checkpoint. It is highly likely that many of them are conscripts who took part in the fight.

▪️ Despite the active transfer of reinforcements, the build-up of the cover group and the involvement of reserves, the main problem of the Russian Armed Forces, which is the large number of Ukrainian troops, has not yet been solved. The military potential of the enemy, and the reserves of military equipment in this direction have not been exhausted. The second echelon of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is preparing to enter the battle: a high concentration of forces is noted in other sectors of the Kursk direction.
▪️ Given the pulled-up engineering equipment, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will attempt to consolidate in the captured settlements. It is, of course, too early to call what is happening a decisive battle for the Russian borderland or a turning point in the SMO, but the amount of forces and resources pulled to the Russian borders demonstrates that this time it is unlikely to end like the previous raids on Kozinka. Apparently, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine seriously counts on some kind of strategic success.
▪️ We would like to separately note the heroism of the Russian Border Service personnel, who were the first to take the fight. There are still reports of successful (and unsuccessful) evacuations of encircled outposts: the full picture will probably only become clear in a week. But unfortunately, the losses of the Russian Border Service are unacceptably high - unseen since the wars of the last century."
 
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Ukrainian incursions into Russia - August 8, 2024.
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"The situation in the Russian borderland as of 14:00 /Moscow time/ August 8, 2024

▪️ During the night of August 7-8, the Armed Forces of Ukraine pulled up reserves and began to equip defensive positions, simultaneously increasing the onslaught and trying to advance forward in the Korenevo and Sudzha districts.
▪️ The current efforts of the Russian group of troops are not enough to eliminate the consequences of the breakthrough. The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine openly admits that the offensive in the Kursk region is not the work of the "legendary" RDK, LSR and other outcasts, but a full-fledged operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to "strengthen negotiating positions". On the Ukrainian side, the 82nd and 80th Air Assault Brigades are currently advancing, supported by the 22nd and 61st Mechanized Brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In addition, the 5th Assault Brigade, the 150th Mechanized Brigade, the 151st Battalion of the Territorial Defence, and even the 24th Mechanized Brigade are also participating in the events to a limited extent.
▪️ In the northwestern sector, in the Korenevo district, the enemy continued to build on the success achieved the day before. Mobile armored groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have once again reached the outskirts of Korenevo. Despite reports of the complete loss of the settlement, Russian troops repelled the attack and pushed the Armed Forces of Ukraine back to the Novoivanovka line.
▪️ The fighting began in the settlement of Snagost: given its geographical location, it is quite possible that the fighting will expand to the south with a simultaneous strike by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on Uspenovka and Gordeevka.
▪️ In the southeastern sector, the situation in Sudzha District remains difficult. The town itself is almost completely under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, however there are still isolated pockets of resistance in the center - and, most likely, we are talking mainly about local militias. Russian forces control the roundabout to the east of the city, but the Ukrainian formations are transferring equipment to Sudzha.
▪️ The Armed Forces of Ukraine have also managed to enter and gain a foothold in Mirnyi.
▪️ Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups operating through the fields from the side of Kazachya Loknya - which, apparently, is completely under enemy control, as are the villages of Bogdanovka and Knyazhii - are trying to encircle the groups of the Russian Armed Forces, and are moving through the fields in the direction of Martynovka.
▪️ To the north, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have reached Anastasevka. If this information is confirmed, it could be a consequence of an unimpeded breakthrough along the Lgov-Sudzha road. The fate of the villages located to the west of the road is unknown, the area is covered by the "fog of war".
▪️ Judging by the emerging lines, for now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are betting on breaking through unprepared lines, bypassing Russian positions and cutting off Russian groups that are trying to stabilize the situation.
▪️ At the same time, the enemy continues to pull in reinforcements and engineering equipment, turning captured settlements into fortified areas. No one is standing on ceremony with the civilian population: the Ukrainians do not need them, so civilians (regardless of gender and age) are “finished off” on the spot. From this we can draw a simple conclusion: occupation itself is not the goal. The goal is to create a point of tension and a fortified area that will be a “thorn” and a “reputational loss” for the Russian Federation for the longest possible period of time. And for this - in the opinion of the Kiev regime - the end justifies the means.
▪️ The threat of an offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Glushkovo district in the Tetkino direction remains."
 
Ukrainian incursions into Russia - August 8, 2024.
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"The situation in the Russian borderland as of 17:00 /Moscow time/ August 8, 2024

▪️ Despite the attempts of the Russian group to stop the advance of Ukrainian mobile groups, the scale of the crisis is expanding: unfortunately, the tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with an emphasis on high-speed dashes, bypassing fortified areas and maximum expansion of the breakthrough zone without consolidation, in their simplicity, surpasses the capabilities of the Russian troops to counterattack.
▪️ In the northwestern sector, in the Korenevo district, the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not give up attempts to occupy the administrative center.
Simultaneous battles were fought at the entrance to Korenevo, and attempts were also made to occupy Olgovka with Kremyanoe.
▪️ It is necessary for the Armed Forces of Ukraine advancing in this area, to both tie down the Russian Armed Forces in battle and break through to the Rylsk-Lgov highway in order to expand the scale of the operational crisis and stretch the Russian troops.
▪️ In the southeastern sector, in the Sudzha district, the conditional control zone of the enemy has expanded to 30 km along the Sudzha-Dyakonovo road. The pockets of Russian resistance are cut off and bypassed along the bypass roads.
▪️ After occupying Kazachya Loknya in the north, as well as Mirnyi and Bondarevka in the south, the the Armed Forces of Ukraine entered Martynovka and tied down the troops there in battle. After this, the settlement of Kruglik was taken.
▪️ At the same time, the mobile group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine moved further along the highway, reaching Bolshoe Soldatskoe and engaging in battle in the settlement. There are reports that battles with enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups are taking place further along the highway - 15 km south of Lgov, fierce battles are taking place in the surrounding settlements.
▪️ In the conditions of active use of enemy electronic warfare, the "fog of war" still reigns in certain areas, so it is premature to talk about the complete defeat of Russian strongholds that the enemy has simply bypassed.
▪️ At the same time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already begun digging in at the captured lines, introducing a second echelon into battle. The capture of Sudzha has become an inspiring factor for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which they are now using to offset losses and demonstrate that the game is worth the candle.
▪️ The biggest problem in organizing defenses in the Kursk tactical direction remains the dispersion of Russian units and the lack of a sufficient number of troops, which are now allegedly being withdrawn from other directions. At the same time, Russian information resources, which are racing to write the names of brigades and divisions that are about to arrive, are adding chaos to the information space."
 
Pokrovsk - 08.08.2024
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"The situation in the Pokrovsk direction as of 17:00 /Moscow time/ August 8, 2024

▪️ Despite the difficult situation in the Kursk direction, the "Center" group of the Russian Armed Forces continues the successful liberation of the Donetsk People's Republic, advancing in the Myrnohrad and Pokrovsk direction.
▪️ In the north, Russian troops moved the front line to the west, driving the enemy out from the outskirts of Lysychne. In the neighboring Ivanivka, clashes are taking place on the northwestern outskirts of the settlement, and according to preliminary reports, the Armed Forces of Ukraine may have completely retreated from the village.
▪️ To the south, the assault detachments of the Russian Armed Forces liberated Serhiivka: this fact is confirmed by recorded video materials.
In Serhiivka, liberated today. There are also reports about the near completion of the clearing of Zhelanne and serious advancement in Ivanivka.

It also became known about the capture of a scarce, American-made M88A2 Hercules armored recovery vehicle, encountered for the first time in the Pokrovsk direction. Judging by the photos that have appeared online, it has suffered almost no damage and will probably be delivered to the Russian rear.
▪️ There are also reports from Zhelanne about the advancement of the assault detachments of the Russian Armed Forces within the boundaries of the settlement and consolidation on the territory of an agricultural enterprise in the east of the village. According to preliminary reports, Zhelanne may have completely come under the control of the Russian Armed Forces and its territory is currently being cleared.
▪️ At the same time, fighting is taking place on the approaches to Komyshivka and Novozhelanne, the capture of which will surround the enemy positions on the opposite bank of the Vovcha River, in the area of the villages of Mezhove and Skuchne, in a "pocket", if the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not leave their positions."
 
Ukrainian incursions into Russia - August 8, 2024.
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"The situation in the Russian borderland by the end of August 8, 2024

▪️ By the evening, the Russian group of troops began to clear the breakthrough zone and eliminate its consequences. This task is assigned, first of all, to special forces units, as well as special operations groups. In addition, there have already been reports of the transfer of units of the "Africa Corps" - most likely, we are talking about assault detachments from the Krasnodar Territory. The main efforts were still concentrated in the Korenevo and Sudzha districts.
▪️ Due to the fog of war, the lack of objective footage, as well as the "soldier radio", the situation became fully clear only by the end of the day: rapid advances of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the expansion of their zone of control in certain areas of the Kursk territory are explained by the work of Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups. Reconnaissance detachments of the Armed Forces of Ukraine engaged Russian checkpoints and bypassed them, entering as many empty settlements as possible. Due to confusion and communication problems, the scale of the enemy's advance was exaggerated, which played into his hands and sowed panic.
▪️ In the northwestern sector, in the Korenevo district, attempts to occupy the administrative center in fact turned into attempts to clear out Russian strongholds and enter Korenevo. After they were repelled, the main forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this direction dispersed in the area of the breakthrough site.
▪️ Footage of Ukrainian groups in Novoivanovka and Liubimovka was published on the Internet - these are the closest settlements to Korenevo, which are under the conditional control of the enemy.
▪️ In Snagost, Russian troops began a counterattack, trying to squeeze out Ukrainian groups from this area.
▪️ In the southeastern sector, in the Sudzha district, after the build-up of the Russian group in Bolshoe Soldatovskoe, the highway was cleared.
▪️ In the morning, Ukrainian mobile reconnaissance groups bypassed eastern Sudzha and went further along the highway, however by the evening, Russian forces engaged them in a battle in Martynovka, simultaneously clearing the forest zone and the surrounding villages.
▪️ In eastern Sudzha, judging by fragmentary information, there remains a focal presence of Russian troops and local militias. At the same time, the work of the Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups is also noted there - their task is not to capture and control the administrative center, but to sow panic and achieve a media effect.
▪️ The Armed Forces of Ukraine maintain stable control over Goncharovka and western part of Sudzha. Footage of houses being looted and loot being removed appeared on the Internet.
Our drone films the looters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who enter every room of private houses and take everything in a row in Goncharovka, the suburb of Sudzha.

▪️ The Armed Forces of Ukraine have begun engineering work, building a fortified area on the so-called "Surovikin line". Most likely, at night, the enemy will make attempts to drag the engineering equipment even further and begin equipping another line, from which it will be more difficult to move out
the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
▪️ The combat potential of the Ukrainian group in the Kursk direction is far from exhausted: the introduction of the second and third echelons is expected in the near future. At the same time, no one has cancelled the threat for other areas of the Kursk direction."
 
Ukrainian drone raid
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"Massive Ukrainian drone raid. August 9, 2024

▪️ While fighting continues in the Kursk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine carried out a combined UAV raid on the border and rear regions of Russia. This is the second such attack in the last week - the previous one took place on August 3.
▪️ In the Belgorod region, the target of the attack ware the settlements of Stary and Novy Oskol, damage to residential buildings and industrial enterprises was recorded.
▪️ In the Kursk region, air defense forces were observed in the skies over Kurchatov, at which the enemy has been launching missiles for four days now, as well as in the Rylsk region. In the latter, unfortunately, a convoy with personnel of the Russian Armed Forces came under attack, there are losses.
▪️ Several drones were shot down in the skies over the Oryol, Voronezh and Bryansk regions, there were no casualties or consequences on the ground.
▪️ In the Lipetsk region, Ukrainian drones attacked the Lipetsk-2 airfield in the administrative center of the region. One of the drones hit an ammunition depot, residents of nearby villages were briefly evacuated, nine people were injured. According to preliminary data, the planes managed to escape before the attack.
▪️ The enemy also once again carried out a combined raid on the Crimean Peninsula. Three drones were shot down and five unmanned boats were sunk while approaching Sevastopol, and another drone was intercepted near Orlivka, and air defense systems destroyed a Neptune anti-ship missile over the Black Sea. In total, five drones were shot down and seven unmanned boats were sunk in the region.
Destruction of Ukrainian unmanned boats in the Black Sea this morning. Drones were heading towards Sevastopol.

▪️ As in previous cases, video materials quickly appeared on the Internet that help the enemy evaluate the effectiveness of the strikes - this again raises the question that the current measures to combat this phenomenon are not enough. However a local resident who filmed the results of the strike in the Rylsk district was detained under the article on espionage."
 
Kherson - 09.08.2024
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"The situation in the Kherson direction as of 11:00 /Moscow time/ August 9, 2024

▪️ For the second time in a week, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attempted to land troops in the west of the Kherson region. If on August 6, a similar attempt was recorded on the Tendra Spit, then this morning the emphasis was on the Kinburn Peninsula.
▪️ At two o'clock in the morning, Ukrainian drones, under the cover of Ukrainian electronic warfare, began to work on Russian positions in Pokrovske. In total, up to four boats and two Baba Yaga drones of the enemy took part in the raid.
▪️ The goal of the operation was to seize the building of the seaport and provide a bridgehead for further landing of troops. One of the boats managed to approach the shore and land: during the landing, several members of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were blown up by mines, while the rest entered into a small-arms battle with Russian servicemen. By 7 a.m., the threat from the enemy was eliminated: one of the boats with the landing force was destroyed, and the rest retreated. Russian troops began to inspect the seaport area.
Today, the enemy's combined unit from the GUR attempted to land on the Kinburn Spit in the Kherson region, using two boats with landing forces and two fire support boats. During the landing, several people were blown up by minefields, the rest were killed by small arms fire. Having suffered losses, the enemy requested evacuation in the form of two boats, which were eventually destroyed by an ATGM crew. Earlier, on August 6, the enemy made a similar attempt to land on the Tendrovskaya Spit, but, having suffered losses, was forced to retreat.


The remnants of the Ukrainian special forces with their weapons, who once again sailed today to the Kinburn Spit in the Kherson region.

▪️ Plans to capture the Kinburn Peninsula have not changed since 2022: it is one of the desired targets of the Ukrainian command, and if a bridgehead is captured there, they could move by land to the central regions of the Kherson region and affect Russian communication lines.
▪️ Such a landing could have been avoided in principle if there had been a sufficient number of FPV drone operators and reconnaissance equipment in the area. Unfortunately, in conditions when all the attention was focused on Krynki and the Dnieper island zone, a clear shortage of forces and resources began to be felt on the Kinburn Peninsula that would have allowed the landing to be disrupted already at the stage of its approach to the coast. With the proper emphasis, the situation with the landing - albeit suicidal - could have been avoided in principle by destroying the landing in the waters.
▪️ Against the backdrop of the Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk direction, the enemy command will try to create tension points in several areas at once. In addition to the notorious media effect, this will also be used by the Kiev regime to demonstrate its offensive capabilities in order to achieve expanded military support from sponsors."
 
Kursk - 09.08.2024
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"The situation in the Russian borderland as of 13:00 /Moscow time/ August 9, 2024

▪️ Throughout the night and morning, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continued to dig in in the occupied part of the Kursk region, while simultaneously transferring forces to the area for further attempts to advance deeper into Russian territory.
▪️ In the Korenevo district, the Armed Forces of Ukraine did not attempt a breakthrough: there were no battles near Korenevo as of the morning, but explosions continued to be heard near the settlement.
▪️ Russian troops counterattacked in the direction of Malaya Loknya. At the moment, clashes continue, air and artillery strikes are being carried out on identified enemy positions.
▪️ In the Sudzha district, an enemy sabotage and reconnaissance group entered the village of Russkoe Porechnoe, to the northeast of Sudzha, small arms fire and indirect fire were reported in the vicinity of the settlement.
▪️ The presence of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is recorded in Goncharovka, a western suburb of Sudzha. In Sudzha itself, as of this morning, the presence of Ukrainian troops was not detected.
▪️ To the south of Sudzha, the main clashes took place in Plekhovo on the left bank of the small Psel River. In the area of the settlement, there are exchanges of fire with mobile groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and a Ukrainian tank is firing at the village itself.
▪️ At the same time, the exact configuration of the front is in places hidden by the "fog of war" due to both a shortage of objective footage and pressing problems with communication.
▪️ The Russian command continues to transfer forces to the Korenevo and Sudzha districts - observers confirm a noticeably increased presence of troops in the area, where several days ago there were none at all.
▪️ At night, the Armed Forces of Ukraine struck a Russian column in the Oktyabrskoe area, east of Rylsk, with a HIMARS MLRS. Later, FSB officers quickly identified and detained a 48-year-old local resident who deliberately filmed the results of the strike and passed them on to Ukrainian media.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a missile attack on Rylsk in the Kursk region, as a result of the arrival, equipment is on fire.

▪️ At the same time, the Russian Armed Forces have also increased the intensity of strikes on the border areas of the Sumy region, where a significant concentration of Ukrainian troops remains. According to local authorities of the so-called Ukraine, in the last two days alone, the Russian Aerospace Forces have dropped over a hundred glide bombs on the region.
▪️ At the moment, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are digging in on the captured lines, and the Russian troops arriving in the area will have to drive them out of there. It is too early to draw conclusions about the stabilization of the situation - the fighting in the Kursk region continues, the enemy is introducing new forces and so far has the ability to strike in another section of the state border.
▪️ The situation in the region was recognized by the Russian Emergencies Ministry as a federal emergency, and the elimination of its consequences will be mainly financed from the federal budget."
 
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Kursk - 12.08.2024
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"The situation in the Russian borderland as of 13:00 /Moscow time/ August 12, 2024

▪️ In the Kursk direction, the enemy continues to make attempts to build on the successes of the previous days. Despite the transfer of additional units of the Russian Armed Forces, it has not yet been possible to finally stabilize the front line. The enemy is saturating the area with mobile sabotage groups in armored vehicles, which are infiltrating the frontline villages along the entire line of contact.

Korenevo district
▪️ Fighting is underway on the approaches to Korenevo, the enemy continues to try to gain a foothold on its outskirts. At the same time, there is no information about Ukrainian troops entering the settlement itself.
▪️ In Kremyanoe, fighters of the Akhmat Forces, together with the 810th Marine Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces, cleared the area adjacent to the settlement. The footage published online shows the moment of searching of an armored vehicle near the bodies of liquidated Ukrainian soldiers. The enemy lost several more armored vehicles on the approaches.
▪️ At the Zhuravli-Semenovka line, mobile groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to gradually penetrate further north in the direction of the road to Kromskie Byki. Near Otradnoe, another Ukrainian tank was destroyed, an enemy position was covered in the forest belt near Semenovka, and a column of Ukrainian armored vehicles was hit by drones near Zhuravli.


Sudzha district
▪️ The situation in Sudzha has worsened. Footage has appeared indicating the presence of the enemy on the town's ring road. Despite the claims that the video was allegedly filmed on the first day of the Ukrainian offensive, given the ongoing battles for Martynovka, where another enemy attack was repelled, the Armed Forces of Ukraine would not have been able to advance there without control over most of Sudzha.
▪️ However, at least a focal presence of Russian troops and volunteers remains in the city. The situation in the Mirnyi area, which is a suburb of Sudzha, as well as near Mikhailovka, remains unclear. There is currently no information about the enemy's control over these settlements.

Belaya district
▪️ As for the Belaya district, judging by the objective footage, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have penetrated the state border, although not on the same scale as reported earlier on the Internet.
▪️ While the enemy has tied down Russian units on the Borki-Spalnoe-Kamyshnoe line - according to some reports, the Russian Armed Forces had to retreat from these villages - a Ukrainian BTR-4E was noted in the village of Giri, moving in the direction of Belaya. How many units of equipment the enemy used in the area is still unknown, however, local authorities announced the evacuation of the population from the area. Such a decision would hardly be dictated by the presence of a single armored vehicle of the enemy."
 
Kharkov - 12.08.2024
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"The situation in the Kharkov direction as of 15:00 /Moscow time/ August 12, 2024

▪️ In addition to unleashing battles on the territory of the Kursk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are once again trying to break through to the Belgorod region.
▪️ Several infantry groups, supported by a tank and an APC, entered into battle with Russian border guards at the Kolotilovka checkpoint, but were forced to retreat, suffering significant losses. According to reports from the field, the border was not broken through. Russian reserves have been pulled into the clash zone, preparing for another, this time more serious, attack from the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
▪️ The checkpoint building recently burned down completely as a result of a Ukrainian drone strikes. Since 2022, it was here that prisoners and bodies of the dead were exchanged with the Ukrainian side. Now the work of the checkpoint has been suspended for an indefinite period.
▪️ The day before, the enemy tried to break through to the village of Bezymeno in the Grayvoron district in a similar way. After suffering losses, the Armed Forces of Ukraine retreated.
▪️ An evacuation of the population has been announced in the Krasnoyarsk district. At the entrance to the village of Krasnaya Yaruga, posts will be set up, where representatives of the self-defense forces, law enforcement agencies and the administration will be on duty. They are responsible for informing the population about the situation and the location of temporary stay points.
▪️ At the same time, fighting continues on the territory of the so-called Ukraine, in other areas of the Kharkov front.
▪️ The situation in Lukashivka and Sotnitsky Kazachok is not yet clear. According to preliminary reports, Russian troops have entered the settlements and brought rocket artillery into the residential areas and gained the ability to fire MLRS at longer range, destroying command posts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine deep in the Kharkov region.
▪️ In the Hlyboke, Zelene and Starytsya areas, the enemy is not conducting counter-offensive actions, but is actively striking FPV drones at positions of the Russian Armed Forces on the front line, and is also trying to hinder the work of evacuation teams in the near rear.
▪️ In Vovchansk, Russian troops are holding positions on the territory of the Aggregate Plant, despite the attempts to use remotely operated platforms by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, to remotely detonate buildings.
▪️ At the same time, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have transferred fresh reserves to the city, and to the Tykhe area. Russian soldiers are strengthening their positions."
 
Kursk - 12.08.2024
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"The situation in the Russian borderland by the end of August 12, 2024

▪️ In the Kursk direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue their attempts to penetrate deep into Russian territory. At the same time, more and more footage is appearing on the Internet demonstrating the successful defeat of armored vehicles and personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by Russian troops.

Korenevo district
▪️ In the vicinity of Snagost, where the enemy had previously launched attacks on the positions of the Russian Armed Forces, the situation is still hidden by the "fog of war". The situation in the neighboring Krasnooktyabrskiy has also not become clear, however there have been no reports of enemy units entering the settlement.
▪️ In the Korenevo and Tolpino area, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched another attack with the support of armored vehicles in order to break through the defense of Russian troops in this area. The enemy's advance was successfully repelled by Russian units, and the Ukrainian formations, apparently, rolled back to their original positions.
▪️ Russian troops have cleared the Kremyanoe area, where the presence of Ukrainian units was previously recorded. During the battles, the enemy lost at least one Roshel Senator armored vehicle, abandoned by its crew south of the settlement. It is worth noting that in this case, the forward detachment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was ambushed by Russian troops and, lacking support, was defeated.

Sudzha district
▪️ In Sudzha, the situation remains stably tense. Today, videos from the enemy side appeared on the Internet demonstrating the presence of Ukrainian troops in the central areas of Sudzha, as well as in the Martynovka area - and, according to reports from the field, the presence of the enemy was confirmed in Sudzha during the day. However, it is premature to declare that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have full control over Sudzha based solely on enemy's footage, since at least some of the videos were recorded several days ago. At the moment, there is no official information from the Russian authorities or objective footage from the Russian Armed Forces.

Belaya district
▪️ Russian units are fighting in Plekhovo; there have been no reports of the settlement coming under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
▪️ At the same time, it is known that the enemy has occupied Spalnoe, through which Ukrainian mobile groups subsequently entered deep into Russian territory. In the morning, Ukrainian equipment was spotted in the Giri area. Judging by the footage, the enemy entered from the southwest from Kamyshnoe. The size of the armored group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that broke through to the settlement was larger than initially assumed. However, for the enemy, the attack on Giri resulted in the most significant one-time loss of personnel and equipment recorded during the enemy's offensive in the Kursk region - at least seven BTR-4E were lost, one of which was taken by the Russian Armed Forces as a trophy, and an unspecified number of Ukrainian soldiers was eliminated."
 
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Great explanation of the tactics used by the Russians in Kursk right now:


Full text:

AW:
The only thing I'd want to add to Mikael's excellent analysis here is that the Russians are actually fighting a much more conventional area defense than we've seen in the very static fighting in the Donbass.⬇️

They're not trying to stop Ukrainian drives at the screen line like we saw in the Hundred Days, they're instead diverting them into engagement areas between their front line of screening troops and the main defensive line 5-10km to the rear and destroying them there. Ergo why we've seen Ukrainian units just go on these long runs in the last couple days - way past where the front line should be - and then get wiped out in what look like complex ambushes. That's... actually just how you do a very normal area defense.

Why have the Russians changed tactics? Two reasons. First, in Kursk they - paradoxically - have space to fight. The Donbass is a cramped theater where real estate is at an absolute premium. They're either backing up into the sea, key lines of communication, or critical urban areas there. There's actual operational space in rural Kursk.* Second and relatedly, the "forward" defense we're used to seeing in the Donbass will not inflict crippling casualties on an attacker quickly for the simple reason that attacks often fail in the "cone of fire" in no man's land or even behind the attacker's front line, allowing defeated units to easily withdraw. In a conventional defense the attacker is defeated in a kill zone behind the screen line and it is far easier to annihilate an attacking force. Ergo why we're now seeing huge AFU equipment losses, with entire Ukrainian companies burning out behind the ostensible Russian "front."

Having found themselves in battle with the AFU's strategic reserves, the Russians now very much intend to use the Battle of Sudzha-Korenevo to destroy as much of those reserves as possible. Even if that means scaring some war mappers on the internet.

* I remind the reader that, de jure, there's no difference between Kursk (or any other part of pre-2014 Russia) and the Novorossiyan oblasts in the eyes of the Russian government right now.

(shown - exactly such an engagement earlier today with an attacking Ukrainian unit south of Sudzha)





MV:
ANALYSIS: MAPPING IN FOG OF WAR, AUG 12th 2024
It's much harder to be sure of frontlines during maneuver warfare and directly after a breakthrough, than during static attritional warfare. At the Kursk front we see it daily. I'll try to explain how to be as sure as possible. A disclaimer, the maps and signs on them are only approximate examples.

Normally we have an established frontline and changes are reported from both sides. If the side that loses territory admits it, it's often seen as the truth, because nobody usually admits defeat without cause. If the attacker claims territory you usually want some kind of corroborated evidence as a geolocated video or photo.

It is different when the warfare is fluid during maneuver warfare. First of all you can't rely on either side to give correct information. If neither side is very superior to the other side, as in the Russo-Ukrainian war, breakthroughs will be blocked after a while and the frontline will be stabilised again.

An attacker wants both to reach as far as possible and secure captured territory as much as possible. You do this by utilising both offensive and defensive troops. The offensive units thrust as deep as possible into enemy territory and create havoc behind enemy lines.
Defensive units move slowly and fortify secured territory.

When the defender reacts much of the territory filled with the attackers forward units probably will be reclaimed by the defender. This stimulates both sides to give reports of the war that make them look good in the long term.

The attacker doesn't want to claim too much initially, since they might lose much of the forward area later on. If this happens, it will seem like the defender conducts a successful counteroffensive, retaking much territory.

The defender on the other hand might initially exaggerate the attackers reach, so they can claim a quick retaking of territory. In Kursk the usually reliable Ukrainian Deepstate UA has claimed very little territory controlled by UkrAF. Russian Rybar on the other hand admits much larger losses of territory than most neutral mappers claim.

If we look on map 1, the blue is an example of admitted secured Ukrainian territory. The purple is an approximation of how far Ukrainian forward units reached. Many Russians were fast to admit this as Ukrainian gains. The new stabilised frontline will probably be established closer to the yellow line, near initial Ukrainian claims.

This makes it hard to rely on either side for good information during the initial period. The main remaining source to rely on are geolocations. But this will also take some time until you get enough information to draw a good picture, or map.

Initially such a map might show fantastic advances by the attackers. There will be geolocations in a large area of attacking/Ukrainian units (blue X on map 2) or Russian attacks on such Ukrainian units (red dots). This gives the impression of Ukrainian control everywhere, but in reality it only shows that there are Ukrainian units there.

Closer to the border Ukrainian control is more reliable. We also see some places with geolocated Russian presence. Then we know that those places are not in Ukrainian hands. Later on we get more and more geolocations. The more Russian units geolocated, either by showing their presence (red X on map 3) or being attacked by UkrAF (blue dots) makes it easier and easier to finally see a new frontline.

The same is of course true for Ukrainian units, but the other way around. If they disappear from part of the map, we can be pretty sure that they have left that territory.

A big question mark right now is the yellow area in the North. Russian units are south of it, but many Russian videos of attacks on Ukrainian units in this area have been seen. In the western part Ukrainian units seem to have disappeared, but in the NE Ukrainian units still remain. Those are currently probably not an attacking spearhead as some claim, but remains of a former spearhead.
 
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