The Iran and Wider Middle East Thread

GoodShepherd said:
One thing the Greeks have is the best aircraft military in all of Europe which is a huge advantage, I recently saw a video of their military doing a parade and their soldiers were chanting f*** Turkey while they marched.

I will DM you the link, in short the prophesy said 1/3 of all turks will be killed, another 1/3 will flee Turkey and the other 1/3 will convert to Orthodox Christianity and Turkey will no longer exist, they said the Russians will be the ones to bring this destruction on Turkey
Click to expand...
Can I have the link as well?
 
It_Is_My_Time said:
Imagine Israel having to be nice to their neighbors and our roads getting fixed so they no longer tear up our suspension systems.

Click to expand...


To be fair, if Trump accepted this deal, his detractors would accuse him of only caring about money.

On the flip side, the longer this "Cold War", drags out, the more ammunition we have against Israel and their obscene levels of influence in America, Congress, AIPAC and thus.

Trump's within his best interests to bark loud a dog, because, believe it or not, with the amount of Israeli influence in American institutions, Trumps faction is weak for as long as they don't call for the military to end this farce.

According to Sun Tzu's Art of Warfare, when you are weak pretend to be strong.

In reality, Trump both doesn't want war, he's the first anti-war president in decades if not longer, and he knows his base would never accept it after he promised peace, and ran on being able to accomplish peace.

Any theoretical war would be so politically expensive and and difficult in terms of what resources he could bring to bear that it would look a lot like Vietnam.

Countless on the ground military victories followed by an immediate withdrawal due to politics and information warfare.

Except that, unlike Vietnam, Israel had no redeeming factors or large numbers of genuinely good people, or culture of following rules and being good to one another.

I digress.
 
Giordano Bruno said:
To be fair, if Trump accepted this deal, his detractors would accuse him of only caring about money.

On the flip side, the longer this "Cold War", drags out, the more ammunition we have against Israel and their obscene levels of influence in America, Congress, AIPAC and thus.

Trump's within his best interests to bark loud a dog, because, believe it or not, with the amount of Israeli influence in American institutions, Trumps faction is weak for as long as they don't call for the military to end this farce.

According to Sun Tzu's Art of Warfare, when you are weak pretend to be strong.

In reality, Trump both doesn't want war, he's the first anti-war president in decades if not longer, and he knows his base would never accept it after he promised peace, and ran on being able to accomplish peace.

Any theoretical war would be so politically expensive and and difficult in terms of what resources he could bring to bear that it would look a lot like Vietnam.

Countless on the ground military victories followed by an immediate withdrawal due to politics and information warfare.

Except that, unlike Vietnam, Israel had no redeeming factors or large numbers of genuinely good people, or culture of following rules and being good to one another.

I digress.
Click to expand...
We will see, we have just under 3 years and 9 months to find out what happens.
 

Donald Trump fired national security adviser Mike Waltz for 'plotting with Israel's leader to bomb Iran'​

President Donald Trump sacked his national security adviser Mike Waltz because he was plotting with Israel's leader to attack Iran, it was claimed last night.

Waltz, 51, was thought to have been fired because he accidentally added a journalist to a Signal chat about plans to attack Yemen's Houthi terrorist group, causing global embarrassment for the Trump administration.

But last night the Washington Post reported the real reason for Trump's ire was that Waltz huddled with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during the latter's White House visit in February and 'appeared to share the Israeli leader's conviction that the time was ripe to strike Iran,' according to a source.

Trump was angered that Waltz 'engaged in intense coordination with Netanyahu about military options against Iran ahead of an Oval Office meeting between the Israeli leader and Trump.'

The source said: 'Waltz wanted to take US policy in a direction Trump wasn't comfortable with because the US hadn't attempted a diplomatic solution.

It got back to Trump and the president wasn't happy with it. You can't do that. You work for the president of your country, not the president of another country.'

Waltz, a former Green Beret, was sacked from his position as head of the National Security Council (NSC) on Friday and will now become ambassador to the United Nations, a 'massive downgrade move to save face', according to one Trump insider.

A spokesman for Waltz did not respond to a request for comment nor did the White House.

White House Communications Director Steven Cheung said: 'The President sets the agenda and it's up to his administration to implement those policies and everyone was rowing in the same direction which is why he had the most successful first 100 days in history.'

Waltz has been temporarily replaced as head of the NSC by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a Trump loyalist.

A Trump insider said Waltz's 'days were numbered' after he accidentally included the editor of The Atlantic in a Signal chat coordinating military bombings in Yemen, a scandal that became known as 'Signalgate.'
Click to expand...
www.dailymail.co.uk

Trump fired adviser for 'plotting with Israel's leader to bomb Iran'

Mr Waltz, 51, was thought to have been fired because he accidentally added a journalist to a group chat about plans to attack Yemen's Houthi terrorist group.
www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk
 
expectation said:
I shared my suspicions in the Israel-Hamas War Lounge but since this covers Russia as well and has its own can of worms, here is more appropriate.

Here is why I believe those weapons depot bombs are actually Low Yield Nuclear attacks from NATO.

Pay attention to the sound at around 0:35. It has a distinct shotgun sound. BTW, the fact that this is recorded and a confirmed nuclear blast and tells me that there is a limit to how EMP impacts recording so it is possible to record nuclear blasts though difficult.



Now compare that to the recent Southern Lebanon blast.


The visuals (Giant Mushroom Cloud, Orange Glow, Shockwaves, Flash) and sound (Shotgun blast) matches.

We also know that NATO/US has the soft power/media to be able to convince the public otherwise, and it looks like they're consistently picking weapons depot as the mockingbird keyword.

Here is one on Tver recently.


Here is a video of Hezbollah destroying a weapons cache. Where is the Mushroom Cloud?



This person tweeted about a white paper titled "The Third Nuclear Age: How I learned to start worrying about the clean bomb". He highlights a text "Clean fission weapons release magnitudes less radiation than previous fission-based weapons but still more radiation than FGNW. Further, clean fission weapons are already present and embraced by other nations as operational, warfighting weapons."

I can't verify this whitepaper on google since it is blocked for me but what this tells me is there has been advances in low yield nuclear that makes "weapons depot" mushroom clouds perhaps nuclear. Have we seen any Nuclear bomb advances since the 70s? Probably tight-lip and this forces us to rethink our assumptions such as EMP impact and radiation signals unless we have a trusted expert do a audit/re-discovery of this.



Based on these data points -
  • How NATO is using it and Russia is reacting to it now makes sense according to game theory doctrine
    • Why would NATO continue a war at an industrial, demographics, real economy disadvantage unless they believe they have another ace up their sleeve?
    • Russia updates their Nuclear Response Doctrine
    • China testing their ICBM after a decade of being dormant
  • Visual Evidence is starting to come together but knowledge is limited on how low yield nukes truly work inside and out since there is a gap on public information on low yield nukes since the 70s.
  • Media is definitely trying hard to play cover blaming mushroom cloud explosions on weapons depot. Just based on this premise and what we know what to look for in the previous point means every weapon depot explosion inflicted on Russia and the Middle East are suspect nuclear.
Click to expand...


Unfortunately the thread on low yield and hardly detectable nukes is no more. Most discussion is downstream from cirnosad/Korobochka's work on Twitter, man is currently MIA again. Talk about the usage of low yield nuclear weapons gained traction on social media since the 2020 Beirut Port blast, an upward trajectory that will likely continue in the years to come ergo it needs its own thread.

Yesterday a massive blast occurred in Port Sudan. Official run up and timeline: the day before the SAF bombed an Emirati cargo plane stationed in Nyala Airport. Alleged cargo: Chinese made kamikaze drones. Result: plane destroyed, and allegedly 18 Emirati deaths. Ever since the SAF recaptured Khartoum the Emiratis have redoubled their efforts in supporting the RSF, using supply lines through Uganda, Kenya, Haftar held Libya, Chad and more.

The SAF obviously don't have the intel and logistical capacities to target UAE assets hundreds of kilometers from the frontline. This was a foreign operation, most likely Egypt and possibly Turkey are involved.

The Emirati evidently took it personal and less than 24 hours after their guys got bombed to smithereens the de facto capital of the SAF, Port Sudan, got bombed by some very serious ordnance. For a few seconds day became night and the mushroom cloud was visible from tens of miles out. The Port Sudan airport is heavily damaged and the city is without electricity. Carriers were either UAE operated Chinese Sunflower 200 kamikaze drones, or Emirati jets operating from Bosaso, Puntland. Won't get into the low yield nuke discussion because it's all speculation and probably untrue anyway (secondary explosions are visible).

Iran has in recent months greatly stepped up its support of the SAF, and the Israelis took notice. There are frequent cargo flights from Iran to Port Sudan. A return to a MB aligned pro Iran government (as in the days of al Bashir) in Sudan is not in Israel's benefit hence they will soon low key increase support for the RSF either through the Emiratis or on their own.

A recent op-ed published in The Jerusalem Post, co-authored by Emirati political strategist Amjad Taha and Dubai-based Israeli businessman Eitan Neishlon
IMG_20250505_175631_587.jpg



Footage of the blast at Osman Digna Airbase



Emirati cargo plane destroyed by the SAF



Current map of control

Gp4SRWsWEAA6n1w.jpeg
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top