This guy's takes on SE Asia has been meh so take it with a grain of salt
Regional History
Last edited:
The Indo-Pacific Geopolitics Thread
- Thread starter LaAguilaNegra
- Start date
This guy's takes on SE Asia has been meh so take it with a grain of salt
Regional History
This is entirely on the erratic Hun Sen, who has initiated a string of escalating provocations and today got caught with his pants down flying recon drones over Thai territory with the aim of striking Thai border areas with heavy artillery and MLRS.
The Thai- Cambodian border dispute is longstanding yet today's escalation smells like a cover. The timeline and dynamics don't make sense. Ergo the Cambodian government is intentionally reactivating the front, but with ulterior motives. The Cambodians, for what it's worth, are dwarved by the Thai on each and any metric available. Most likely the current Cambodian chimp out is merely a stern warning and not meant to be the stepping stone to something bigger.
According to a personal friend and long term Thailand resident who spoke about this a month ago, this is related to a Thai crackdown on the Hun crime family's illicit assets and networks in Thailand. Below is an excerpt from the TG link he sent, today's Cambodian temper tantrum is simply the latest in a long list of escalations meant to make the Thai government back off and leave the Hun family's shady dealings alone
According to Mr. Sam Rainsy, the reason behind the actions by the Cambodian Warlord is that Thailand Government is crackdowning on CCP-affiliated Triads and Chinese Mafias, which, according to him, enrich and benefit the Cambodian leadership
Be aware that the Cambodians might very well have tacit Chinese support, keep an eye on the pro CCP media and their tone and narrative in the coming days.
The Thai- Cambodian border dispute is longstanding yet today's escalation smells like a cover. The timeline and dynamics don't make sense. Ergo the Cambodian government is intentionally reactivating the front, but with ulterior motives. The Cambodians, for what it's worth, are dwarved by the Thai on each and any metric available. Most likely the current Cambodian chimp out is merely a stern warning and not meant to be the stepping stone to something bigger.
According to a personal friend and long term Thailand resident who spoke about this a month ago, this is related to a Thai crackdown on the Hun crime family's illicit assets and networks in Thailand. Below is an excerpt from the TG link he sent, today's Cambodian temper tantrum is simply the latest in a long list of escalations meant to make the Thai government back off and leave the Hun family's shady dealings alone
According to Mr. Sam Rainsy, the reason behind the actions by the Cambodian Warlord is that Thailand Government is crackdowning on CCP-affiliated Triads and Chinese Mafias, which, according to him, enrich and benefit the Cambodian leadership
Be aware that the Cambodians might very well have tacit Chinese support, keep an eye on the pro CCP media and their tone and narrative in the coming days.
Last edited:
The US has lifted sanctions on a significant number of Myanmar junta tied individuals. Talk is that this is the prelude to a US move aimed at swooping into Myanmar by engineering peacetalks between the junta and some of the bigger rebel movements, which will then result into US leverage and a subsequent US-Myanmar minerals deal. The Myanmar junta is currently close to China and Russia.
The US is especially interested in the raw earth's found in the KIA held territory in Northern Myanmar. Below is a map of current areas of control, the junta is still losing ground albeit at a lower pace. In the North a few ethnic Han Chinese rebel groups entered into an agreement with the junta under China's mediation, in the rest of the country the civil war rages on.
The US is especially interested in the raw earth's found in the KIA held territory in Northern Myanmar. Below is a map of current areas of control, the junta is still losing ground albeit at a lower pace. In the North a few ethnic Han Chinese rebel groups entered into an agreement with the junta under China's mediation, in the rest of the country the civil war rages on.
During the 2025 AUKMIN event UK Defence Minister John Healey stated that in the case of a Chinese aggression on Taiwan the UK+ Australia would intervene. This statement comes after the US has been going around its allies to get clear public stance on Taiwan.
