Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread
- Thread starter LaAguilaNegra
- Start date
Proxies hosting American bases are not safe anymore.
It's nothing more than a long-shot play for regime change. If they can kill Khamenai, there's an outside chance the entire government will fall. If not, it will at least be weaker and more chaotic for a time. And such weakness might open up new opportunities for the U.S./Israel to undermine Iran going forward.
You have to understand how these people think. They are hyper-aggressive and completely amoral - basically psychopaths (these are the only type of personalities who rise to the top of the pile and thrive in that cutthroat environment). They do not think about these sort of things in terms of right or wrong, or worry about collateral damage to innocent people. The entire calculus is simply based on power: if they have the ability to weaken or destroy their enemy by force, and feel like they can get away with doing so without losing too much, they will take it.
If they can use almost no cost technology to hit our bases, it is really getting bad.
Burn emefer, burn.
What are the casualties? I'm assuming it just be serious if things are getting really bad.
It doesn't matter if they can destroy our bases and push us further out using this low technology. It is a win for them.
Having a moral high ground in this war is as important as having effective weapons.
Do you think the aytalloah being killed (if it did happen) is a win somehow as well? Did the Iranians allow it to happen as some sort of ploy - some sort of rope and dope maneuver to get Israel and US to exhaust themselves before they go for a counterblow? Or is there another plan they have in store?
Take these claims with a grain of salt.
Just because Iranians announced they attacked something, it doesn't mean the attack was successful.
For example, the alleged attack on a sealift vessel still haven't been confirmed by anyone and it's been hours since they made that claim.
Same for Haifa - haven't seen any footage confirming attacks on the port. So far.
What do I think? I think no one on here knows 100% what is going on and we are just trying to piece things together.
One guy on twitter...
Simon Dixon
Has been predicting that it is all an inside job. That Iranian moderates have worked out a deal with the west that they can put on a show, take out the hardliners, but not have a complete full pro-west govt. installed that will satisfy China with oil sales and satisfy Israel with less threat. Maybe that is all that we are seeing, is just this theatre and it is all planned ahead.
He is basing this off the market moves, as he is a market expert.
My money would be on effective weapons. I don't think moral high ground has ever won a war. Just look at Israel.
If what this guy says is true it would appear Iran was already in a pretty weak position if there are these insiders that are looking to make deals with the west. It seems to fly in the narrative about how they are a nation of 79 million warriors that could easily resist Israel and the US that you had been pushing.
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For the ultimate troll job, Trump should invoke article 5.
Because this war is as much political as physical. Unlike Israhell Iran doesn't hold the whole world by the balls so can't afford to behave blatantly arrogant.
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