Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread

Nobody is flushing money like this through Iran. Some people say Russia and China will flush money like this through Iran, but this is quite unrealistic.

Without the support levels flushed through Ukraine, Iran will fare poorly against Western attacks. This is indeed an existential struggle for the Islamic regime.
Russia and China keep their actions secret, unlike the West, which cannot resist announcing everything to the world.
 
Check the community notes. This isn't anything to do with Iran/Israel.

There's so much bickering in this thread. I'm trying to get some updates from you guys who usually have your ears to the ground but you're all fighting with each other over nonsense.

Nice to hear from you Bibi, took you long enough.
 
The Red Sea theater is quiet. Houthis made some threats, but haven't taken any actions, not even against Israel, so far.
The Houthis are waiting to see if the Gulf States declare war on Iran. If they do, the Houthis have announced they will side with Iran, which means the possibility of major shipping problems through the Red Sea. Previously, the US Navy showed itself to be completely ineffective at stopping this.

Actually, escorting ships through the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz is logistically impossible for the US Navy as they do not have enough destroyers. This has been pointed out by Sal at 'What's Going on With Shipping'. It would also make the US Navy easier targets, being right next to Iran and Yemen.



Another thing to consider is that if the Houthis start attacking shipping right now, the US may decide, together with the Saudi Military, to invade Yemen and destroy them. This as some sort of face-saving exercise / consolation prize. Once the Gulf States have committed to war with Iran, it becomes much less likely.
 
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Why didn't you post a prediction of a US-Iranian war? My first guess is that you weren't expecting it at all.
Really? After last years war it was pretty obvious. Imagine it or not but this forum despite my sympathy towards it is a pretty insignificant part of my life. I don't come on here like a child to a sand box and share my every single thought because I'm not an ego maniac. If I were I'd be posting 10x as much. This is why the assumption that everything important has to exist on the forum or it doesn't exist at all makes me chuckle. It reminds me of an old George's sketch:
 
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Fontana and radisson blue hotel in Bahrain attacked. Rumored US ambassador and soldiers were there. No info on casualties.




Edit: Qatar condemned today an attack by Iran against various buildings in Bahrain, where Qatari Navy personnel were present. According to the statement, they were part of a joint naval command of the armies of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states.
 
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According the WSJ UAE is mulling freezing Iranian assets as a means of reprisal against repeated Iranian attacks. The financial and reputational toll of this war on the Emiratis is gigantic, just yesterday the Al Fujairah oil facility came under attack, fires are still burning.

No country has received more incoming projectiles than the UAE.



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Really? After last years war it was pretty obvious. Imagine it or not but this forum despite my sympathy towards it is a pretty insignificant part of my life. I don't come on here like a child to a sand box and share my every single thought because I'm not an ego maniac. If I were I'd be posting 10x as much. This is why the assumption that everything important has to exist on the forum or it doesn't exist at all makes me chuckle. It reminds me of an old George's sketch:


George Carlin was a clown and part of the club. "and you ain't part of it"
 
I89The US degradation of Iran's missile and drone infrastructure is continuing unabated, Iranian ballistic missiles launches are 86 percent down since Day 1, drone launches are down about 73 percent.

There is currently a not much talked about strategic air campaign going on involving all of the US' long distance heavy bomber types, they are primarily targeting Tehran's missile and drone infrastructure which was dug deep into the mountaneous areas of Western Iran. Yesterday, amongst others, a specifically active drone complex in Shiraz Province was destroyed.

As forecasted the Iranians militarily don't stand a chance, though Tehran did keep up pace for a good 3-4 days. Likewise as forecasted the only ace card they ever really had is a full blockade of the Strait of Hormuz




Updated statistics. The downward trajectory in Iranian missile and drone launches is continuing. Margin of error is included. Ballistic missile launches are down 90 percent since Day 1.



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According to the Qatari Energy Minister, Saad al-Kaabi, the war could stop Gulf energy exports 'within days', triggering a global economy shock, and pushing oil to $150 a barrel.




US private satellite imaging company, Planet Labs, has put a 96-hour delay on images of destruction in the Gulf States. Images taken of Iran, of course, will not have this delay.





Military publication, 'The War Zone', writes that the US has not achieved total air superiority over Iran.

 
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Rybar summary for March 5.



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Me when I see normies waking up:

Proud The Karate Kid GIF
 
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