Prices, Inflation, Deflation, Interest Rates & The Federal Reserve

In Japan:

Convenience stores sell:
- prosciutto/cured ham for 180 Yen
- these savory rice ball things with seeds, red beans, etc for 160 Yen
Ramen shops commonly serve awesome meals for 900 Yen
Average meals for 500-600 Yen

These are prices in downtown Tokyo, not some cheaper rural place. It's amazing how much better their food is, from the ingredients to the care for the preparation. The beef there simply looks different, and you can tell it is just better. And it's so incredibly cheap.

At a ~155 Yen to USD rate, it's silly.


I saw this quote and realized how accurate it was. Rough. Your assets need to really grow just to stay afloat.

Same here, I bought my house in '06 couldn't afford to buy it now.

When I was touring with my favorite band in England in late '22 a Monster Energy was 1.5 pounds at Sainsbury's. I was paying 2.5 -3 dollars in the Washington DC area. Cocktails at the arenas and pubs in Leeds, Nottingham and London were so cheap I was stunned. On my American tour with the band I paid over $14 for a shot of Vodka at Ball Arena in Denver. In Nottingham it was 5 pounds or so if memory serves. Things were alot cheaper in the UK. You guys in the UK get ripped off on energy, in America we get ripped off on everything else.

A beer and a burger at any airport in the US is $50 not including tip. In England the prices included 'tip' and were still cheaper than the US by alot. At Hard Rock Cafe in DC for the inauguration I heard a woman send a run of the mill glass of wine back because it was $18! "I can buy a bottle for that" she said.

Restaurants in America are closing locations all over the place. People can't and won't pay these prices.
 
If DOGE manages to cut $1 trillion from the US budget, we do we think this will do for controlling inflation?

I think they really need to cut $2 trillion, and otherwise manage taxes and spending to balance the budget. The current national debt is huge at $36.5 trillion, but if it stops growing, and even starts to decline by $50 billion a year or something like that, I think interest rates would drop.

I'm not going to hold my breath, but I think slashing government spending will at least help reduce inflation pressure.
 
If DOGE manages to cut $1 trillion from the US budget, we do we think this will do for controlling inflation?

I think they really need to cut $2 trillion, and otherwise manage taxes and spending to balance the budget. The current national debt is huge at $36.5 trillion, but if it stops growing, and even starts to decline by $50 billion a year or something like that, I think interest rates would drop.

I'm not going to hold my breath, but I think slashing government spending will at least help reduce inflation pressure.
I think you're right that we need to cut $2T, except I also think we need to keep interest rates where they are. The 2009-2022 rates were too damn low -- it led to so much debt.

Sticking to both of these would be painful but I think ultimately responsible and far better for people.
 
There’s a number of shaving forums out there, I used to belong to some of them, but I don’t even remember them now I stopped checking
Serious question.... Shaving forum?

How much is there to talk about that the forum revolves around shaving?

I'd think 1 thread would cover it. How does a forum have enough content?
 
Serious question.... Shaving forum?

How much is there to talk about that the forum revolves around shaving?

I'd think 1 thread would cover it. How does a forum have enough content?

There were entire threads about old razors, about buying saving soap overseas to not give money to Gillette, blades,

It was called badger and Blade, I forget if it was based off of someone’s product or if it was just a general lifestyle forum but it looks like it’s still going

 
https://neofeudalreview.substack.com/p/sprinting-toward-2030s-i-own-nothing

Summary: Since 2020, the cost of new homeownership in the U.S. has risen by at least 20-30% annually. While official figures show modest overall inflation, the real price increases are far higher than that and felt most acutely in housing, with home prices climbing by 50% and mortgage payments more than doubling for new buyers due to soaring interest rates. This post explores the main factors driving this surge, including supply shortages, rising construction costs, and the impact of government policies.
 
https://neofeudalreview.substack.com/p/sprinting-toward-2030s-i-own-nothing

Summary: Since 2020, the cost of new homeownership in the U.S. has risen by at least 20-30% annually. While official figures show modest overall inflation, the real price increases are far higher than that and felt most acutely in housing, with home prices climbing by 50% and mortgage payments more than doubling for new buyers due to soaring interest rates. This post explores the main factors driving this surge, including supply shortages, rising construction costs, and the impact of government policies.
His biggest blindspot is not seeing what BTC is, or what might happen with it. He's talking about gold and silver? One of the weirdest things about the goldbugs or PM types is the total lack of understanding that silver was demonetized a LONG time ago, and the central bank history proves it. At least gold is held by CBs currently, but the funnier part is that if you understand all this, you'll also see that gold is being demonetized (of course, by BTC). I wonder how old NeoFeudal is.

One other thing that's weird is how people are more cart before horse when they consider what's going on, especially with housing or homes. "People aren't getting married because homes are too expensive". No, people aren't getting married because of intersex dynamics and generalized isolation, and lack of incentive for those who choose to marry (men). And if you take away why men work (pussy), why would they buy any number of things that create debt or larger headaches in life? Some of the service things that are talked about by the WEF aren't actually all that bad, and yes I also hate the WEF and don't trust it. But the thinking is mostly backwards here.
 
His biggest blindspot is not seeing what BTC is, or what might happen with it. He's talking about gold and silver? One of the weirdest things about the goldbugs or PM types is the total lack of understanding that silver was demonetized a LONG time ago, and the central bank history proves it. At least gold is held by CBs currently, but the funnier part is that if you understand all this, you'll also see that gold is being demonetized (of course, by BTC). I wonder how old NeoFeudal is.
I think the bloke is late Gen X or very early Millennial. Probably more Millennial considering the overall tone in writing style. But understand that he's not technically minded, so he will fail to understand general cryptocurrency software regardless.

One other thing that's weird is how people are more cart before horse when they consider what's going on, especially with housing or homes. "People aren't getting married because homes are too expensive". No, people aren't getting married because of intersex dynamics and generalized isolation, and lack of incentive for those who choose to marry (men). And if you take away why men work (pussy), why would they buy any number of things that create debt or larger headaches in life? Some of the service things that are talked about by the WEF aren't actually all that bad, and yes I also hate the WEF and don't trust it. But the thinking is mostly backwards here.
Exactly! Ironically, Aaron Clarey is only the economist actually explaining this instead scapegoating it on rubbish like everyone else. Sadly, the intersexual dynamics most likely will never improve considering how powerful women are in the current western world. The only way to get lads back to having skin in the western game is to either curb stomp women's liberation legally speaking (or through mass-propaganda) or easily import a multitude of foreign women that skews the sex ratio.
 
I don't understand why restaurants in the USA are so expensive when wages for restaurant employees are so much lower than a lot of other first world countries.
I think it's due to real estate. Same reason why daycares are so expensive, yet the employees are paid poorly. You also have some factors like insurance. The US is highly litigious so insurance is mandatory and expensive.

I think the bloke is late Gen X or very early Millennial. Probably more Millennial considering the overall tone in writing style. But understand that he's not technically minded, so he will fail to understand general cryptocurrency software regardless.


Exactly! Ironically, Aaron Clarey is only the economist actually explaining this instead scapegoating it on rubbish like everyone else. Sadly, the intersexual dynamics most likely will never improve considering how powerful women are in the current western world. The only way to get lads back to having skin in the western game is to either curb stomp women's liberation legally speaking (or through mass-propaganda) or easily import a multitude of foreign women that skews the sex ratio.
I'd be interested to see an in-depth discussion/analysis of this. I've contemplated it plenty but would be great to see data and discussion.
 
I'd be interested to see an in-depth discussion/analysis of this. I've contemplated it plenty but would be great to see data and discussion.
Aaron published a bunch books about it that contain some decent data and ways to interpret them. Half of his "career" nowadays is just commenting on sexual dynamics alone. With discussions, although they don't actively mention the words, you can already see the pathos live with both the Incel/Black Pill communities and Black Passport Bros where many of the men are either suicidal NEETs or disgruntled dudes who can't get decent western women even after they tried to max their value.
 
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