Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread

US Base at Erbil under attack.




The US attacked Iranian fresh water infrastructure. There is enormous scope for Iran to reply in kind. The Gulf states are far more dependent on desalination plants than Iran. Imagine Dubai with no fresh water.




US base in Bahrain again taking hits.

 
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I wish we had an Iranian or someone more informed on Iranian matters to explain Pezeshkian to me. People on X are lashing out at him for his recent statement, and this isn't new. I've heard people accuse him of subversion before.
 
Read_Lives_of_Saints said:
There's been a lot going on. Did the USA declare war on Iran or warn them prior to attacking as is customary?
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Trump tried to negotiate with them, and threatened to attack if they wouldn't go the way he was demanding.

I understand this wasn't according to the usual form of diplomatic language, but then they always call us the Great Satan, so it's not like they limit themselves to diplomatic niceties.

Trump didn't mince his words. They certainly were warned what he would do.
 
Ember said:
President Pezeshkian has got himself in hot water over his announcement this morning. He has allegedly been told to 'shut up until the war ends', as he 'does not think before he speaks'. There is an urgency to choose the next Supreme Leader.




Alleged drone launches towards Bahrain may confirm that Pezeshkian was only talking about Azerbaijan and Turkey in his statement that Trump has seized upon.




A theory as to what actually happened with Pezeshkian's statement.
TLDR: Pezeshkian's wording was confusing and should have been better. But it was regarding Azerbaijan, NOT the Persian Gulf states.

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Pezeshkian's remarks symbolize the deeper rifts within the Islamic Republic cadres, which are now bubbling up to the surface. Iran's ruling regime has always seen factionalism, as the current President of Iran Pezeshkian represents the Reformists, whereas the IRGC and some of the clergy belong to Hardline factions.

Pezeshkian's remarks are no coincidence, and his actions could easily have been framed as treason. Pezeshkian went over the heads of the Supreme Council and Acting Head of State (whoever that may be) to personally inform the world that attacks on Gulf States would stop. Obviously they didn't stop because he doesn't have a say in this matter, but his message rings loud and clear even though he has since withdrawn his statements: there are people within the Iranian government that don't support this and we are ready to deescalate and work with you guys.

Pezeshkian's act of defiance opens the door for a third option - besides regime change and a mow-the-grass type scenario. A regime restructuring. Think Venezuela and Delcy Rodriguez. Other potential assets for this takeover might be considered too (for instance Ahmedinejad, who hates Beijing and Moscow). The IR stays in place, for now at least, but Tehran will pivot towards Washington, and fall under the investment umbrella of the US. Obviously this scenario means that Washington will take control over Iran's oil infrastructure, with (limited) sanctions relief and an end to Tehran's nuclear program.



 
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Fuel Tanks at Kuwait International Airport were attacked.




Blazing oil seeping into the sewage and draining systems has set the streets on fire at the Rey oil storage near Tehran.




A tall building, perhaps a hotel, is on fire in Kuwait.





Pezeshkian has announced that the enemy misinterpreted his statements.





A claim that the Esfahan base, bombed by B-2's, is still operational and has launched missiles.





Trump is reportedly considering using US Special Forces to retrieve Uranium from the underground tunnels at Esfahan. Good luck with that! LOL What happens if Iran strikes these troops as they bring up uranium? A big radioactive mess, IMO.

 
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Ember said:
Iran has given Azerbaijan an ultimatum to expel Zionists from the country.

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This timeline doesn't really make much sense buddy. So according to narrative presented first the Iranians bombed Azerbaijan in an unprovoked manner (targeting airports, keep this in mind) immediately after which a damage control op was launched to pin this on 'external enemies' who committed a 'false flag to pull Azerbaijan into the war'. Following that top dog Iranian officials then tried to cosy up with Baku and play-act as if Iran and Azerbaijan'd always been besties and all the smoke was just media hype. And now sources presented are telling me that Iran is actively threatening Azerbaijan with war and destruction, putting out ultimatums to bully the Azeris into complying with Tehran's demands.

Here's an idea. The false flag allegations were bunk from the start and the Iranians are building up both plausible deniability and a strike narrative at the same time. Azerbaijan's a regionally important country not because it 'houses Zionists', but because it's a big part in 1. Israel's hydrocarbon infrastructure as the Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan pipeline handles most of the Tel Aviv's oil imports and 2. because Azerbaijan is currently the only corridor connecting direct air traffic from Europe to Asia (Gulf Region and Russia out already).

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LaAguilaNegra said:
This timeline doesn't really make much sense buddy. So according to narrative presented first the Iranians bombed Azerbaijan in an unprovoked manner (targeting airports, keep this in mind) immediately after which a damage control op was launched to pin this on 'external enemies' who committed a 'false flag to pull Azerbaijan into the war'. Following that top dog Iranian officials then tried to cosy up with Baku and play-act as if Iran and Azerbaijan'd always been besties and all the smoke was just media hype. And now sources presented are telling me that Iran is actively threatening Azerbaijan with war and destruction, putting out ultimatums to bully the Azeris into complying with Tehran's demands.

Here's an idea. The false flag allegations were bunk from the start and the Iranians are building up both plausible deniability and a strike narrative at the same time. Azerbaijan's a regionally important country not because it 'houses Zionists', but because it's a big part in 1. Israel's hydrocarbon infrastructure as the Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan pipeline handles most of the Tel Aviv's oil imports and 2. because Azerbaijan is currently the only corridor connecting direct air traffic from Europe to Asia (Gulf Region and Russia out already).

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You forgot to mention the Turkey link here... could you please elaborate?
 
Trump claims that Iran has surrendered.



Dementia setting in?




Here is the payback. Iran strikes a desalination plant in Bahrain.







It was only a matter of time....





Russian Ambassador to the UK: "We are not neutral, we support Iran"

 
The new Supreme Leader of Iran has been chosen, and will be announced shortly.




Iranian President Pezeshkian: "We are friends with the countries in the region; they are our brothers. As I said yesterday, we must work together, hand in hand, and not allow Israel and America to deceive us into standing against one another."





WSJ: Lindsey Graham has been coaching Netanyahu on how to lobby Trump for strikes on Iran.





President Lula of Brazil cancels his trip to Washington over the Iran war

 
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A Major at the US base in Kuwait has reportedly died of 'health problems', no doubt brought on by the arrival of an Iranian missile. 'Health problems' deaths are not counted by CENTCOM as KIA.




Another US soldier has died in a 'non-hostile incident' thereby avoiding the KIA figures.





The IRGC Navy has announced an attack on the Al-Udayri (Camp Buehring) helicopter base in Kuwait with drones and missiles.



 
NYT: A classified briefing this week to Congress by US officials estimated that Iran still retains up to 50% of its missile capabilities, and significantly more for drones.




Israeli missile defences are in places virtually non-existent




Additional footage of the burning Social Security Building in Kuwait.

 
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