Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread

From DC's perspective this is all about China, it's about countering an ascending and increasingly hostile peer competitor in the US' main theater of operation - aka the Indo-Pacific. The current trajectory there is one of Washington's dominance and lead eroding leading to a potential US defeat. And if the US folds in the Indo-Pacific it will be the end of the USD and US Empire.

Despite their many miscalculations and mistakes the Chinese do play the long game and have been semi-competent at it. Beijing's greatest strength is its authoritian One Party State type of rule, its gigantic manufacturing base and it's large populace. It's greatest weaknesses are its geo-strategic location, resource poor status and ambiguously its One Party State type of rule again.

The balance of power in the Indo-Pacific is upending fast. The Changs' manufacturing base is of such an enormous size that their military build up is directly threatening DC's escalatory and military dominance in the Indo-Pacific. Chinese hardware ranges from low- to medium quality yet this is ultimately irrelevant as their production numbers are so gigantic that they can simply out-produce the US in any type of prolonged direct or indirect conventional conflict. Keep in mind that most if not all of China's civilian production sites are dual use as well meaning that in the case of hot conflict the Chinese will turn up their manufacturing numbers even beyond current already impressive numbers.

All of the Trump Administration's foreign policy and many of its economic policy decisions circle back towards this pivot towards the Indo Pacific/ China. The war in Ukraine was low key dialed down and off-loaded on DC's previously freeloading European allies. Venezuela was flipped due to its role in China's oil security. The Panaman Canal was secured due to Beijing's interference and its potential for blocking. Cuba is in the process of being flipped due to its potential as a escalation equalizer in the event of a US move. The Mexican Cartels are in part a Chinese proxy due to the CCP's role in the fentanyl trade and moneylaundering through Chinese banks, Islamabad got the greenlight to F up Afghanistan due to covert talks on a Iranian-Chinese pipeline through Afghan territory etc. Likewise the tariff wars, rare earth policies, reshoring, increases in military budgets and economic decoupling are meant to weaken China and make the US more resilient.

Iran fits the mould as well. Iran is a vital chain in China's long term strategy to create secure and stable sanction proof hydrocarbon lifelines towards the Chinese mainland. Iran is China's biggest import partner and that number is likely even underestimated due to shenanigans to evade sanctions. China's oil question is also why the BRI exists, and why the Chinese have all but in name abandoned their non-interference policy in Myanmar - the junta is in cahoots with Beijing and Persian Gulf oil is projected to be offloaded in Myanmar ports to be funneled towards the Yunnan through pipeline.

China needs Iran's oil. Beijing really couldn't care less about either the Islamic Republic or the Jewish state, any talk on that is red meat for buckos. It really is all about Iranian oil and keeping Washington away from that oil. Likewise Beijing needs to Strait of Hormuz to remain open - you see the Chang juxtaposition and bind already appearing right there. If the US flips Iran thereby taking over the country's oil market it would mean a serious setback to China's long term strategies, possibly delaying any move on Taiwan for years. Likewise it's why the Trump Administration is acting on Iran, there must have been a sense of urgency.
Your lost is all in hidden script. Has to be highlighted to read... Can you please edit for normal color.
 
Speaking of China, I thought China was supposed to have been assisting Iran signficantly with equipment and also prociding intelligence for Iran to use for targeting vital US/Israeli resources. It seems like the result of all of this help has been taking out hotels and malls and airports in various Arab countries.

 
Speaking of China, I thought China was supposed to have been assisting Iran signficantly with equipment and also prociding intelligence for Iran to use for targeting vital US/Israeli resources. It seems like the result of all of this help has been taking out hotels and malls and airports in various Arab countries.


Well now... Just because you can build a gizmo doesn't mean gizmo works.

I was on a warship one time and it shot down an an incoming Houthi missle...first time it had ever been done for real.
 
And I'm not saying You can't have parallel interests, but what the Hell happened to White Man Civilized Diplomacy ?
Surely you're at least somewhat familiar with European history? "The White Man" spent most of the past two-thousand years slaughtering each other in wars, before perfecting their craft and conquering the world. Diplomacy is always downstream of military capability. If you aren't negotiating from a position of military strength, you can be sure you will end up on the losing end of the deal every time.
 
He has a history for reposting lots of slop without having the discernment to tell what is real or not so it's just a one time or uncommon mistake. Sarcasm is very appropriate and a needed corrective.
Correction I can agree with, but it should be administered honestly. Sarcasm is deceptive, even in jest. Outside of humour it shouldn't be used in my opinion, and the blindness of our brothers is no mere joke.

Now, speaking of blindness among our brothers, it seems God has opened quite a few eyes recently.

Strange, I was praying for that earlier... well more regarding my Dad than leftists in general though.

Christ is King!

 
Nothing To See Here GIF by Giphy QA
 
And I'm not saying You can't have parallel interests, but what the Hell happened to White Man Civilized Diplomacy ?
What do you mean?

Trump did some great Diplomacy.

He asked Russia to stop the war.

They refused.

Then he attacked three of America's enemies in three months, capturing or killing their nations leaders within a single night each time and avoiding any significant conflict.

Putin has now asked for peace talks with Ukraine.

I'm pretty sure that's the absolute picture of perfect diplomacy.
 
What do you mean?

Trump did some great Diplomacy.

He asked Russia to stop the war.

They refused.

Then he attacked three of America's enemies in three months, capturing or killing their nations leaders within a single night each time and avoiding any significant conflict.

Putin has now asked for peace talks with Ukraine.

I'm pretty sure that's the absolute picture of perfect diplomacy.
Now, white Ukrainian and Russian men will no longer die to make Jews rich.

If Blackrock and Vanguard doesn't get to keep their land in the deal afterwards, I'd consider it a total victory.
 
Pakistani Shia protestors stormed the US consulate in Karachi, breached the perimeter and set the guardhouse on fire. After they attempted reach the main consulate building at least 6-8 were shot and killed. The shooters are either Pakistani security forces or US guards.

In Baghdad large mobs are trying to reach the US Embassy as well. For now they are blocked from reaching the building by the Iraqi police, live fire is reported







 
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Lots of explosions at the moment.



Heard about 20 explosions in 30 minutes, only about 10 all day yesterday.

Was just wondering about the UAE issue, the haughty Gulf Arabs really didn't expect being dragged into the mudpit with the rest of their kin. Dubai is the second busiest airport in the world in terms of passengers, and they have several other big ones on top of that (Sharjah/ Abu Dhabi). Moreover the UAE has become a hub for tourism, business, moneylaundering, sports and whatnot. According to Google most flights are canceled, must be a big mess.

These people are spending the night in the parking lot why exactly, hotel bookings canceled? Russia, which has over 300k citizens in the UAE, has mentioned that tens of thousands of its citizens are stranded.



 
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