Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread



Tehran objects to what it would consider a premature ceasefire out of fear that it would only give the US and Israel time to regroup, rearm, and then re-attack Iran. For the conflict to be ripe for a ceasefire, Tehran believes that enough cost must have been inflicted on the US, regional states, Israel, and on the global economy that all states conclude that starting the war was a mistake - and as a result, no state will seek to restart it.

Moreover, if the war ends now, Iran will be in a worse situation than it was before the start of the war. Much of its infrastructure has been destroyed, its missile capabilities have taken hits, its ability to export oil has been damaged, and most crucially, its prospects for sanctions relief have been obliterated. Indeed, who will and can help rebuild Iran under these circumstances?

This would leave Iran not only in a weakened position but also in a continuously weakening state. Which, in turn, would make another war of aggression by the US and Israel more, not less, likely, since it is Iran’s perceived weakness that prompted Trump and Israel to see an opportunity for war.
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As such, it appears likely that Iran will continue to target Israel, even if the US declares victory and withdraws its military. Even GCC states may continue to be targeted. And Tehran will very likely try to keep the Straits of Hormuz shut. (At least for now, there are no signs that Tehran has lost its ability to do these things).
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Pravoslavac said:
Absolutely and by any measure they shouldn't be there by their own volition. It's a bargain with the devil. It's not like they were conscripted (and even then I think you should refuse if you suspect you'd be used to anything other than protecting borders) like st. Paisios in a national war. No, they willingly decided to serve in a military with such heinous track record. And Gettochoper is a deluded mercenary whom I've blocked exactly because.
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You know better than the Bishops that allow their priests to seve as chaplains to serve in the US military?

Or is it only Russia that's kosher to have priests as chaplains?
 
Azerbaijan sends humanitarian aid to Iran.




Stress and dementia.





Senator Blumenthal: "We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran"

True, or hot air?

 


Urgent | Commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy: Claim of an oil tanker passing through the Strait of Hormuz escorted by the US military is false

 
John Bolton suggests that Trump is manipulating the markets. He's probably right.




CNN reports on the very heavy bombing of residential areas of Tehran.




Reuters: Up to 150 US troops wounded in the war.

 
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