Bitcoin and Crypto Thread

Hey guys here's the nupl for today's price action. Looks like we're facing some huge resistance and very understandably so at 100k which seems to match the top of march. Remember you should be selling some if not all at green-blue and buying on red-orange. Very simple isn't it?

View attachment 14720

Just my humble opinion seeing you guys keep arguing over the same thing over and over again. If maybe we should create a different thread for criticism of Bitcoin and Crypto currencies tech apart, so you can keep your heated discussion there, it's been going on for a long time and I used to come here for advice on how to navigate this crazy market, maybe we should just leave this one for Pro crypto guys and strategies on how to 10x - 100x our money every 4 years or so until the party it's over for good.

I strongly agree here. The arguing back and forth is tiresome.

I’m strictly looking at this thread to gain knowledge and use Bitcoin as part of a continued diversified wealth accumulation strategy.
 
Hey guys here's the nupl for today's price action. Looks like we're facing some huge resistance and very understandably so at 100k which seems to match the top of march. Remember you should be selling some if not all at green-blue and buying on red-orange. Very simple isn't it?

View attachment 14720

Just my humble opinion seeing you guys keep arguing over the same thing over and over again. If maybe we should create a different thread for criticism of Bitcoin and Crypto currencies tech apart, so you can keep your heated discussion there, it's been going on for a long time and I used to come here for advice on how to navigate this crazy market, maybe we should just leave this one for Pro crypto guys and strategies on how to 10x - 100x our money every 4 years or so until the party it's over for good. Take or sweep I'm just saying.

I suggested (and started) a separate BTC thread when the new forum went live, but the Mods disagreed and locked it.
 
There's not going to be a Bitcoin or crypto circle jerk thread here without fair criticism. If you need that sort of safe space to discuss your tokens, it can certainly be found elsewhere.

Remember you should be selling some if not all at green-blue and buying on red-orange. Very simple isn't it?

maybe we should just leave this one for Pro crypto guys and strategies on how to 10x - 100x our money every 4 years or so
Who exactly do you think you're selling to, if not other guys looking to 10x-100x their money? Are you familiar with the definition of a zero-sum game?
 
stop accusing everyone who disagrees with you of jew crap to knock them down, if anything you sound like a Jew because that's their tactics for anyone who disagrees with them.
Urkel brought that up long ago, I never did.
and jews get rich off of doing nothing but sitting on their fat asses,
see? Or you can just go look back at his former posts.
Why are you so concerned with generational wealth when you're going to die alone in Eastern Europe having never found an 18 year-old virgin who's father approves of a man 10 years his senior?
Great argument. I guess that'll make BTC lose value and adoption.
When you talk about completely doing away with fiat currency and replacing it with Bitcoin,
Add this to the list of things no one ever said. It's up to 7, or 8, maybe 9 at this point. I lost count.
 
This thread these days 🤣

Alright, let's get this straight, Bitcoin has clearly been co-opted at this point with legacy financial institutions committing Microsoft's embrace, extend, and extinguish with Bitcoin's ethos, pathos, and (sadly now even) logos. You can read this analogy here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embrace,_extend,_and_extinguish

In case we all forgot, Bitcoin was suppose to be digital CASH. The base layer runs instantaneously for p2p transactions. Now, every wanker is holding it as a quasi-religious, pseudo-collateral asset in custodial accounts while hoping it enriches them all the while not addressing its flaws like no privacy, small blocks that prevent fast transactions for cheap, mining centralization, and etc. If they do address them, it's not even in Bitcoin's code, rather another third-party software. If you think about it, Bitcoin has become the ultimate controlled-opposition to CBDCs.

Contrast this to a cryptocurrency like Monero. It has no legacy gobalhomo institution fondling it, very good privacy, instantaneous transactions that are cheap, can be mined on anything in a decentralized pool, and has a community that understand what it's trying to do and actively practicing it. Some original Bitcoin folks I know are now switching to Monero and quietly dumping their Bitcoin.

See what I mean here:

 
There's not going to be a Bitcoin or crypto circle jerk thread here without fair criticism. If you need that sort of safe space to discuss your tokens, it can certainly be found elsewhere.
I don't want a safe space but just thought since Donald J. Trump had two threads, that makes it easier to navigate, I would actually love going to the criticism thread to challenge my views but in a more organized way.

Who exactly do you think you're selling to, if not other guys looking to 10x-100x their money? Are you familiar with the definition of a zero-sum game?

Judging by the BTC ETF inflows and On-chain analytics so far, probably mostly whales, Michael Saylor, Blackrock, institutions and Nation states, retail has not arrived in big numbers yet. Whether some irresponsible people decide to invest when the market is too hot, that's called the distribution phase, I don't have any control over that and it's up to them to have patience, DYOR and hold so we can hopefully support the adoption of Bitcoin in the future.

Now, I see where you're going and I remember one of your posts in the old forum about De-Fi being an absolute joke, and I get it that you think that's borderline morally inappropriate to invest in Crypto like we do. But you know, I think Crypto isn't purely a zero-sum game because it drives innovation in technology, financial inclusion, and decentralization, I live in a Country where holding USD safely is a privilege of very few people, and opening a bank account abroad is real hard and nearly impossible for some of us (Colombian passport). Even buying reasonable amounts of USD in a money exchange can be dangerous and inconvenient. I've saved my finances by holding Bitcoin cause inflation here is not like peanuts inflation in the U.S, here is well over 20% - 40%, I dare say some products and services have gone up 100% - 200% in price and wages are an absolute joke.

We also have a closeted Marxist-lenninist and best buddy of Maduro wanting to take over the printer to make Colombia Venezuela 2.0. So the risks of being in Trad-fi for me seem high. Most Colombians resort to sports betting because inflation is eating everyone's lunch, and that's worse if we're speaking about morality. Interest rates are above 12-15%. When you glorify fiat and the trad-fi economy you seem to refer about the Premium Fiat economy which is the U.S economy. But give that system to banana republics like mine and we end up exporting illegal immigrants instead of tech, goods and services. For me Bitcoin is superior to fiat in backwards Banana republics like mine and more convenient to save and store because we also have an oligopoly in the banking sector which is a joke.

I understand your criticism on how immoral it can be to try to unreasonable 10x-100x our money, but that's why I don't buy scams or memes. I just hold mostly Bitcoin and a handful of other blue chips which at least are trying to do something to change our crooked system. Whether those projects fail or not, I treat them like tech stock companies which huge upside potential. If no one buys when they go in a bear market they die, and CDBCs will be around the corner. Thanks, that's all have a great day.
 
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I believe, like with most things in life, balance is needed with most perspective and views.

Many Bitcoin 'Maxis' have essentially created their own religion (have seen images of people making BTC as the center of historical Christian imagery) and suffer from delusions of grandeur, insisting that one must hold on to the coin for an infinite period of time in order to obtain wealth. No wealth will be obtained unless one decides to sell. Period.
Now unless Bitcoin becomes a form of collateral or something else where they can leverage its value, it will be very difficult for these 'Maxis' to stop being poor unless they do in fact make a sale.
Life is not about avoid poverty and if you do hold wealth, use it for the betterment of society - as opposed to hoarding it further. Even if Bitcoin say replaces the USD, would all these digital millionaires sell? If you sell, you are entering the fiat system once again (which many refuse to do and vow to escape). The fiat system likely is not going anywhere - though it will change.

On the other hand, the graphs do not lie and Bitcoin as an investment and asset class is just too hard to ignore. Bitcoin can very well be the new digital gold and may become what real estate has now become for boomers, say 20-40 years from now. It (and many cryptocurrencies) have changed the lives of millions already. The technology is revolutionary (although still trackable in most cases) and does in fact put some power back in the hands of the masses. It would not be bad to add to one's portfolio as part of a diversification strategy and a potential store of value against the bottomless dollar.

There are many reasons for and against and the truth is, we will likely never know for sure if Bitcoin is the ultimate escape or if it was invented by Government to usher in the new digital age.

Bitcoin though offers hope and that is what attracts so many to it, hope for a better world and better future. All that hope just needs to be redirected for a better world.

Yes, I don’t plan on earning money once I retire…I’m not saying I won’t, I just don’t plan on it. Loans.

Example: I have 2 BTC. Each is worth $10M. I take out a loan against 1 BTC at 10% LTV for $1M. Payments are going to be about $2k per month, so I put $100k in a bank account and now I have 4 years of payments ready to go. Maybe take $900k and buy more bitcoin. If Bitcoin drops 80%, my collateral is still worth double the loan value (not even including the 1 BTC I haven’t used). 4 years later, my coins are now $50M each (plus I’ve added nearly .1 BTC, so $105M) I take out a new loan for $5M, pay off old loan, rinse and repeat.

These would be the larger, long term loans - used to accumulate more BTC and pay for big expenses. What about monthly fiat bills? Use shorter term loans, like credit cards. Pay those off by peer to peer trading Bitcoin for fiat…no reporting, or capital gains tax. Once banks are allowed to use Bitcoin, possibly short term bank loans by month or by year, that can be rolled over much faster than long term multi year loans. That way, I don’t have to have any fiat balance, just have all savings in Bitcoin while continually rolling over new debt against it. To my knowledge such a product doesn’t exist, but there will be strong demand on both sides for it while fiat still exists.


I will have to look into this before I can give a reaponse, do you HAVE to own an entire Bitcoin though?
 
@GoodShepherd
The amount of Bitcoin doesn’t matter, you just need enough so that 5% or 10% is enough for your loan needs. As the value of bitcoin increases relative to fiat, getting a loan on .05 or 0.1 BTC would be more feasible.

Also, the smaller, shorter term loans that would enable “living on Bitcoin” with no income don’t exist yet. Right now, if you want to live on Bitcoin, you need an income stream to pay expenses (have no cash balance except at the end of the month to pay off credit cards, which are a 0% interest one month loan)

If you want to retire solely on Bitcoin, in the next 20 years my guess is a whole coin is a minimum, (or maybe even 2). But maybe that is too conservative (but better to have too much than too little.). With nation-state adoption seemingly imminent, maybe that time frame is 10 years, or maybe the amount of Bitcoin is 0.1, it’s hard to say. $10M bitcoin would mean it takes 10% of the value of all other monetary assets (money, bonds, stocks, real estate). I think that’s very likely in the next 20 years. (Hal Finney predicted this valuation back in 2010, when Bitcoin was $0.30)

The theoretical “top” in today’s money is $40M per coin. Thats if Bitcoin takes nearly half of the monetary premium of other monetized assets. I think this is likely in 50 years, possibly in my lifetime. Keep in mind real wealth (the “world’s pie” of goods) is always increasing, so in 2024 purchasing power, maybe that is $100M, or even $1B in todays purchasing power. Fiat will probably not exist, at least not as a unit of account, when we get to this point. The fiat price is just a way to visualize how much monetary energy 1 Bitcoin will have.

Instead of Bitcoin priced in USD, everything else will just be priced in Bitcoin. This gallon of gas is 4 sats, this house is selling for 500,000 sats. This jet is selling for 4 million sats….etc.

Example: 100 years ago, only the very rich could afford air travel. 50 years ago, you had to be fairly well off, but not wealthy. Now, even people that can’t afford a house can buy tickets on cheapo-air and take the kids to Florida.

Good and services get exponentially cheaper, over time. Printing money masks that, which is why most things get more expensive. But everything is always getting cheaper on a Bitcoin standard.
 
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In case we all forgot, Bitcoin was suppose to be digital CASH. The base layer runs instantaneously for p2p transactions. Now, every wanker is holding it as a quasi-religious, pseudo-collateral asset in custodial accounts while hoping it enriches them all the while not addressing its flaws like no privacy, small blocks that prevent fast transactions for cheap, mining centralization, and etc. If they do address them, it's not even in Bitcoin's code, rather another third-party software. If you think about it, Bitcoin has become the ultimate controlled-opposition to CBDCs.
I've addressed all of those points in this thread already, probably 3x.
Contrast this to a cryptocurrency like Monero. It has no legacy gobalhomo institution fondling it, very good privacy, instantaneous transactions that are cheap, can be mined on anything in a decentralized pool, and has a community that understand what it's trying to do and actively practicing it. Some original Bitcoin folks I know are now switching to Monero and quietly dumping their Bitcoin.
Just go to Matthew Kratter's BTC university and learn something there, since none of you want to learn here.
 
I’m laughing, as I post this

“The report suggests that financial repression mechanisms, such as banning or taxing bitcoin, might be necessary for governments aiming to maintain fiscal sustainability through permanent primary deficits.”

 
The pain will continue until people learn. You are just a creditor to the bank….oops.

Never heard of yotta. After looking into it a bit it appears it was a fintech operation masquerading as a bank that promised customers increased returns through some sort of gambling/lottery system. Sounds absolutely ridiculous.
Investment firms are not lending MSTR money because they think it's an amazing company with a bright future, they're lending them money because it's basically a no-lose trade for them due to the nature of convertible notes on a company with a highly volatile stock price. They own an embedded call on the upside and short the stock on the downside.

A brief overview from Lazard:

Hedging convertible bonds can offer an additional source of return to investors. In a type of hedged convertible strategy known as convertible arbitrage, typically a long convertible bond position is paired with a short position in the equity of the same company. These position-level hedges are then actively traded, as the equity underlying the convertible rises and falls, in order to monetize market volatility.

The more frequent, and the larger, the moves in the underlying stock—that is, the more volatile it is—the greater the potential profit that a convertible arbitrage strategy can extract. This source of return, known as volatility yield, is unique to hedged convertibles. When combined with the traditional drivers of bond returns, coupons and bond accretion, volatility yield can drive the return potential on hedged convertible bonds significantly higher than that of US investment grade and even high yield corporate bonds./

Investment firms and Michael Saylor will both be fine when MSTR inevitably implodes. The ones getting screwed will be MSTR shareholders like this poor sap and BTC holders. The price action on Bitcoin will be catastrophic when MSTR is forced to liquidate its massive Bitcoin holdings to pay off its creditors, not to mention the psychological blow to the HODL nation that an MSTR/Saylor implosion would make.
chance vought said:
I’m laughing, as I post this

“The report suggests that financial repression mechanisms, such as banning or taxing bitcoin, might be necessary for governments aiming to maintain fiscal sustainability through permanent primary deficits.”
I assume you're laughing because you think governments won't be able to rein in Bitcoin at this point. In that case, I would say you lack both sufficient imagination and cynicism.
 
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Never heard of yotta. After looking into it a bit it appears it was a fintech operation masquerading as a bank that promised customers increased returns through some sort of gambling/lottery system. Sounds absolutely ridiculous.
probably right, play stupid games, win stupid prizes...where is the SEC/OCC state regulators?
Investment firms are not lending MSTR money because they think it's an amazing company with a bright future, they're lending them money because it's basically a no-lose trade for them due to the nature of convertible notes on a company with a highly volatile stock price. They own an embedded call on the upside and short the stock on the downside.

A brief overview from Lazard:
It doesn't matter WHY. The fact is they are getting ridiculously cheap loans - they are selling volatility to a market that is starving for it. I predict that MSTR could be one of the first bitcoin banks, or whatever that looks like, and one of the most valuable companies in the world.
Investment firms and Michael Saylor will both be fine when MSTR inevitably implodes. The ones getting screwed will be MSTR shareholders like this poor sap and BTC holders.
play stupid games...
The price action on Bitcoin will be catastrophic when MSTR is forced to liquidate its massive Bitcoin holdings to pay off its creditors, not to mention the psychological blow to the HODL nation that an MSTR/Saylor implosion would make.
OK, another bitcoin crash! Bitcoin is dead!!!! Maybe that will be death #478???
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I assume you're laughing because you think governments won't be able to rein in Bitcoin at this point. In that case, I would say you lack both sufficient imagination and cynicism.
 
I strongly agree here. The arguing back and forth is tiresome.

I’m strictly looking at this thread to gain knowledge and use Bitcoin as part of a continued diversified wealth accumulation strategy.
I often come into this thread to search for info on why bitcoin just did what it did or whatever on any given day and all I find if the same guys just arguing the same points back and forward.

I can't work out if it's annoying or funny.
 
I often come into this thread to search for info on why bitcoin just did what it did or whatever on any given day and all I find if the same guys just arguing the same points back and forward.

I can't work out if it's annoying or funny.

What do you think @SkiPro ?

I’m just a tiny voice on the ocean.
I am not trying to get more fiat, I’m trying to get rid of it as fast as possible.
I want to defund the state and endless wars, as fast as possible. If I can reach 10 people in my lifetime with that message, and each in turn reaches 10, and so on, the days of bank/government counterfeiting are over; we strip away all power from banks, and the state.

We are winning everywhere that matters. Online, the lies die faster than the state can manufacture them. They are getting desperate, with moves like creating the DGB (ministry of truth), and the FBI blatantly violating the constitution as exposed in the Twitter files.

FBI, DoJ, legacy media fabrications, democrats and republicans, and 2 assassination attempts, all against Trump. I’m thinking he might be a threat to the established parasites.

Sorry no TA here. I’m staying for the revolution.
 
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The pain will continue until people learn. You are just a creditor to the bank….oops.

What's the point of the FDIC then? Why did they use "Yotta"? Greedy returns? LOL, that great fiat, as scorpion says, with centralization really paid here. JP Morgan Chase is the shadiest of the shady, but as the preferred US gov partner, you know they aren't going "under."
 
Investment firms and Michael Saylor will both be fine when MSTR inevitably implodes.

I assume you're laughing because you think governments won't be able to rein in Bitcoin at this point. In that case, I would say you lack both sufficient imagination and cynicism.

:ROFLMAO: Keep digging deeper.

You do know that the Bank of International Settlements "allows" BTC as a reserve asset as of 1 Jan 2025, don't you?

It doesn't take much to put two and two together.
 
What do you think @SkiPro ?

I’m just a tiny voice on the ocean.
I am not trying to get more fiat, I’m trying to get rid of it as fast as possible.
I want to defund the state and endless wars, as fast as possible. If I can reach 10 people in my lifetime with that message, and each in turn reaches 10, and so on, the days of bank/government counterfeiting are over; we strip away all power from banks, and the state.

We are winning everywhere that matters. Online, the lies die faster than the state can manufacture them. They are getting desperate, with moves like creating the DGB (ministry of truth), and the FBI blatantly violating the constitution as exposed in the Twitter files.

FBI, DoJ, legacy media fabrications, democrats and republicans, and 2 assassination attempts, all against Trump. I’m thinking he might be a threat to the established parasites.

Sorry no TA here. I’m staying for the revolution.
I am trying to diversify what cash I hold. I have bought some gold, some btc, some of it is in real cash in an envelope.

I have been very impressed by what the small amount of BTC I hold has done so far, I've tripled my money but it strikes me as just a game in the same way as stock market is. It only makes sense if you get out at the right time.

Time will tell, I certainly wouldn't be all in on it but I will increase the amount of money I have in it to play with.

Also, in the real mad max scenario of an EMP strike or nuclear war, your BTC is worthless. Guns and ammo will be the currency then. I have also diversified into that.

Ymmv

Now, can someone tell me why BTC went so crazy recently? Was it trump winning?
 
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