Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread

A breakdown of the US expeditionary group of three ships, USS Boxer, Portland, and Comstock. If the USS Boxer is taken out, the entire landing force could be wiped.




This 'we don't need the Strait of Hormuz' messaging from Trump is coming over as an attempt to get the Iranians to lower their guard there. An assault on Kharg will have no naval support and not achieve anything worthwhile. It has to be the Straight, if any action is to be launched.

 

The U.S. and Israel have intelligence that suggests Mojtaba remains alive — for example, evidence of Iranian officials trying to schedule in-person meetings with him (unsuccessfully, due to security concerns).

  • The mystery around Mojtaba has come up during several of President Trump's intelligence briefings. Trump's national security team is still working to assess who is actually in charge in Tehran, a U.S. official said.
  • "We have no evidence that he is really the one giving orders," a senior Israeli official told Axios of Mojtaba.
  • "It's beyond weird. We don't think the Iranians would have gone through all this trouble to choose a dead guy as the supreme leader, but at the same time, we have no proof that he is taking the helm," a U.S. official said.
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Reality check: Raz Zimmt, director of the Iran Program at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv, noted that there is no evidence Mojtaba is not functioning, even if his injury and security concerns make it difficult to fully exercise his authority.

  • "Under the current exceptional circumstances, one should not expect him to appear in public, and it is possible that his injury does not even allow him to release a recorded video in order not to expose to the public the severity of his condition," Zimmt said.
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IRGCC issued an evacuation order for Doha:

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IRGC:Urgent Warning and Evacuation OrderTo all residents and citizens in Doha, Qatar:This area has been used to host U.S. forces and interests, and its media platforms have been promoting violence against the Iranian people. As a result, it is now considered a legitimate target.Everyone is ordered to leave this area immediately.Repeated warnings have been issued to your leaders about the dangers of this path, yet they chose blind allegiance, making decisions imposed from outside rather than reflecting the will of their people. Their media outlets have continued to threaten and incite violence against our population.They bear full responsibility for all consequences.You have been warned.
 
magoo said:
Trump is a mercenary. Adelson paid the merch is money. And he reads what they wrote for him. And sells it to the american public. A deep dive into Trump donors would be more relevant than wasting time trying to understand him.

mellon family
Adelson
Musk
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He was literally created, his persona and all, by Roy Cohn. That is all you need to know about him.

Meanwhile, seems like Iran has depleted the air defense systems and are now teeing off.

 


A.I. Netanyahu:

"We are living a very difficult night in the war"

Israeli Kan TV military correspondent Itai Blumenthal stated: Many "Israelis" are wondering: what has changed? Why are we seeing incessant launches from Iran? The reason is crystal clear! It lies in the weather conditions in Iran itself. This is what allows them to launch a larger number of ballistic missiles. A senior Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) official confirmed these details.
 
It_Is_My_Time said:
LOL. Amazing what you can do, with severe limited resources and financial strains, when you simply don't allow weirdo third wolders to move to your country.
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Amazing what you can do without liberalism. Iran's social cohesion is not that great but still it's enough to take on world's biggest military power. A nation to have a chance of survival has to be built on religious values, regardless of what god they proclaim. Liberalism, individualism, secularism is rat poison.
 
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IRAN HAS 2 OPTIONS LEFT IN THIS WAR. BOTH ARE CATASTROPHIC.

Something shifted in the last few hours. Most people won't realize until it's too late.

Trump's team just leaked their peace terms to Axios.

After 3 weeks of war, Iran is now boxed into 2 choices. And every single one is a nightmare:

⚠️ OPTION 1: ACCEPT THE DEAL
→ Freeze the entire missile program for 5 years
→ Reopen the Strait of Hormuz — give up the only economic weapon left
→ Promise the war won't resume — with no enforcement mechanism
→ In year 6, America has recovered, Iran has no missiles, no leverage
→ Iran becomes permanently militarily inferior in its own neighborhood
→ New Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's legacy = surrendered what his father built

⚠️ OPTION 2: REJECT THE DEAL
→ War continues for weeks or months more
→ CENTCOM already hit 8,000+ targets — 130 ships — largest navy wipeout since WWII
→ Iran's military capabilities degrade further every week
→ 40,000 sailors remain stranded, global oil crisis deepens
→ 22 countries now aligned against Iran on Hormuz — pressure intensifies daily
→ Iran fires back — already hitting Diego Garcia, nuclear facility towns — but for how long?

Let that sink in.

There is no Option 3. There is no clean exit. There is no "we resist and survive intact."

The media is showing you "peace talks starting."

They're NOT showing you that every path forward for Iran leads to a worse Iran.

Here's the most devastating question nobody is asking:

Six days ago, Iran's FM Araghchi said on CBS: "We NEVER asked for a ceasefire or negotiation."

Six days ago, Trump REJECTED ceasefire talks from Middle Eastern allies.

Now suddenly there are "peace terms" being gamed out by Kushner and Witkoff.

What changed in 6 days that makes both sides now willing to talk?

This is the most dangerous negotiation Iran has faced since the JCPOA.

Bookmark this. Come back in 5 days.
 
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