Predictions for 2025

I have one good news prediction - at least 1 further European country gets a "far right" leader.

In several countries now the "far right" has been getting the largest number of votes but the regressive left mainstream parties have been resorting to tricks and nastiness to keep them in the opposition instead of the government. This tactic is starting to crack at the seams. France and Germany have had governments dissolve and Austria just had its chancellor resign. So there are 3 potential countries where the will of the people may actually come true. As for whether 1 of those happens in 2025 we can only hope.
 
stadtaffe said:
I have one good news prediction - at least 1 further European country gets a "far right" leader.

In several countries now the "far right" has been getting the largest number of votes but the regressive left mainstream parties have been resorting to tricks and nastiness to keep them in the opposition instead of the government. This tactic is starting to crack at the seams. France and Germany have had governments dissolve and Austria just had its chancellor resign. So there are 3 potential countries where the will of the people may actually come true. As for whether 1 of those happens in 2025 we can only hope.
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Remember how the Arab Spring uprising of many dictators was fueled by communications of the populist of those countries on Facebook and social media? Seems that this latest Western Society uprisings of the populists against the leftist ruling parties and world agenda is being fueled by communications and intel on X.
 




"So let's talk about the Arctic.

Russia is positioning the Northern Sea Route as a key global shipping lane, which it controls almost entirely. This route significantly shortens transit times between Europe and Asia. With improved infrastructure and receding ice, the NSR is superior to the Suez Canal - not only shorter (and therefore cheaper, and becoming cheaper with the infrastructure improvements), but also there are no queues, no tolls and no pirates or Houthis.

The melting ice also makes it easier to exploit natural resources in the Arctic circle, and they are estimated to be enormous: 15% of the world's undiscovered oil, 30% of the world's undiscovered natural gas (those numbers come from the US Geological Survey iirc). There are also other strategic resources such as rare earth elements.

Russia has been developing oil and natural gas reserves in the Russian parts of the Arctic, particularly in areas like the Yamal Peninsula and the Kara Sea. Diversifying energy export routes is CRITICAL for Russia moving towards the mid-21st century. Projects like the Yamal LNG and Arctic LNG 2 are absolutely crucial to Russian economic strategy, and these projects also involve partnership with China -- of course, Russia is China's only gateway to the Arctic, so they are highly interested in cooperation.

In recent years, Russia has reopened or a bunch of old Soviet scientific and military bases across the Arctic, particularly the Arctic Shamrock base on Alexandra Land. We're also testing many of our newest weaponry in the Arctic and even basing it there, such as the S-500 air defence system and various missiles (Bastion, Tsirkon). We are operating a respectable fleet of nuclear subs in the Arctic Ocean, too.

Currently, Russia has an edge over everyone else in the Arctic -- we own the largest portion of it, we operate the world's largest and most advanced fleet of icebreakers (including the INCREDIBLY cool nuclear-powered ones), we have been heavily investing in both military and civilian infrastructure in the region.

The Americans would obviously love to challenge Russia in the Arctic Circle. Oh, I forgot to mention -- the whole area is critical for all WW3 Armageddon planning, because the shortest flight path for ICBM exchanges also crosses the North Pole. The US don't want Russia to control an important global shipping lane, and they want those natural resources for themselves. They have been trying to invest in Alaskan infrastructure but efforts have been meh.

America is lagging behind when it comes to icebreakers and military capabilities in the area, though they have e.g. the "Arctic Edge" and "Cold Response" exercises.

It's clear that things like direct control over the Northwest Passage and being able to project naval power from Greenland would be highly desirable for the US in the long term. Allies and puppets are great but for "saving a floundering hegemony" and WW3 purposes direct control is always better.

In any case, the Arctic will be one of the most important strategic regions of the 21st century, and competition will be fierce. Also, we really should work on the Spitsbergen/Svalbard question..."
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Caduceus said:


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The US and Canada together would have 19 million square miles, the largest nation in the world, beating Russia with 17 million currently. I bet the 17 million figure does not include Crimea or the new Oblasts from Ukraine, but that can't be a very large additional area.

Add in Greenland, and the US would be over 21 million square miles, which is 36% of the land area on Earth!

The Mongol Empire maxxed out at 24 million square miles, so we wouldn't be the largest in history. We should take Antarctica as well and be the largest ever! It's our manifest destiny! MAGA!
 
Blade Runner said:
We might get Greenland, but the Canada thing ain't happening.
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No, I don't expect so either. It is an initial negotiating gambit. Canada is about ready to melt down with economic weakness and being swarmed over by invaders. This idea has more than a little substance to it, and it puts Trump's opposition on the back foot.

Trump has something in mind, and this idea of Canada as the 51st state is designed to soften them up. It's shifting the Overton window.

Also, it's amazing to think, but Greenland does seem to be in play, and it would be a historic expansion of the American territories. Maybe the audacity of going after Canada is designed simply to make Greenland look like a moderate fallback position in comparison.

I've seen people say we should incorporate Great Britain into the US as well. They could do worse given the way things are going over there.
 
Having US acquire Canada would mean a lot of electoral votes going to left leaning Presidential and Congressional candidates because their political culture has always been more left leaning/socialist despite the trucker rallies and such. Not sure Trump realizes that unless he doesn’t care about the future of the US, but just wants his legacy to look like a big shot conquerer. That’s my fear. Same with the physical wall. Sounds great to keep illegals out, but if things ever flip in the future, US really collapses and goes socialist/communist, now we are trapped similarly to East Berlin/ Germany.
 
Predictions:

2025

> Expect a swift end to the Russia/Ukraine war. I expect Russia will take as much land as it can, not to keep it, but to use as leverage in the peace talks.

I give it two to three months before the war ends, unless European countries send their own troops as some have claimed they will. While Britain is not very pro-war right now, some young men might see it as a preparation for dealing with the evil in their own countries.

Sadly 60% of the British public believe that Zelensky has done a good job. I imagine other parts of Europe are nearly as bad.

In that scenario the war would last longer, but I wouldn't expect it to escalate much if at all.

> Like in Argentina with Milei, Trumps policies will take a while to have effect, but a year, like with farming is probably enough. The price of eggs has already gone back down, I expect that while the stock market will do well, people will invest in gold and silver after the recent economic turmoil and knowing that in the case of things going bad it might be necessary. Silver and Gold is becoming more popular already, I expect that trend to hold.

Bitcoin and other crypto currencies might be affected by Quantum Computers, but they also might not be. I'm not familiar enough to make any predictions, in my experience trading Bitcoin, it was very volatile, unpredictable, and affected by factors that are hard to keep track of. I expect there might be some pushback against people pumping and dumping cryptocurrencies, or scamming people. Probably no regulation though.

I expect America will do quite well, but most European countries will fall behind. Constant immigration, leftwing policies and corruption destroy a nation from the inside out.

> Politically, I expect Twitter to continue to have a massive affect. We went from no free speech, to full free speech, to anything too far left or far right getting censored, to now where the Overton Window is shifting quickly rightwards at a steady pace. I haven't seen a leftwing post on Twitter in weeks now. That will spread to other platforms slowly, because most Right wing arguments are based in simple facts and evidence, while the left relies on obfuscation and hiding evidence by ignoring it.
 
As usual, most of us got it wrong (including myself) in our predictions made a year ago.
Of the 7 things I myself predicted for 2025, only 1 (the gold price going up) actually happened.
I could copy and paste my other 6 predictions onto 2026, as I still believe they will happen eventually, but that feels like cheating.

The year 2025 was (mostly) tranquil, so the only ones who got it right were @TruckDriver9 and @PurpleUrkel

TruckDriver9 said:
I feel that 2025 will be a nothingburger year - despite high expectations, no major changes will occur.
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PurpleUrkel said:
Nothing will happen.
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Thomas More said:
I will make a wishful prediction that investigators will bring a lot of corruption out into the open, such as the Epstein list, and along with this, the corrupt finances of all these uniparty congressmen and senatprs will be exposed. People of limited wealth get elected to congress and suddenly are worth tens of millions of dollars in a few years.

The people blocking the based agenda will hopefully have their financial corruption exposed and prosecuted. Then they can be replace with straight shooters. This is a critical part of draining the swamp, and I believe there is a strong effort building to do this.
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WELL!

This did not happen.
 
Caduceus said:
Here's some exact predictions for 2025 from me:

1.
There will be a lasting ceasefire in Ukraine but not a permanent peace. Proposals will be made to carve up Ukrainian territory giving western areas to Poland Hungary, and Romania for "temporary occupation and protection" which will in reality last decades, in exchange for Russia to take the Odessa area and eastern Moldova (Transnistria) leaving a much smaller, neutral, and demilitarised Ukraine in the middle as a buffer zone. Midget emperor (((Zelensky))) will go into exile...possibly to Israel or the USA.

2.
Trump will age more rapidly than in his last term and decline mentally though nowhere as badly as Biden or Mitch McConnell. He will have a lot of "senior moments". He will disappoint his followers in key issues like immigration/expelling criminal migrants, pardons, promised disclosures of old classified info, going after old enemies, and most all by cucking hard for Israel. As before, his strength will be in preventing foreign wars, having better relations with Russia and China, and improving the US economy. He may send a warship or two to the Panama Canal and Greenland to force them to obey his terms. Greenland becoming a US territory may actually happen.

3.
Euro currency will have another crisis, with some more countries either threatening to leave the EU or at least reverting back to their former national currencies. German economy may tank. EU may trial a digital currency to "save the economy". Also, the EU will try mass censorship of the internet through innocent sounding backdoors like making it obligatory to have a digital ID (or some other nonsense) when posting comments or original content online. Using a VPN when online will become more important.

4.
NATO remains a wild card, as it will either prepare for full blown war with Russia, or fall apart (or be reformed) if European countries can't spend more on defence as Trump wants. This will be linked to their economies and the state of the euro currency as predicted above.

5.
The UK will have a full blown financial crisis due to the labour party driving out all productive entrepreneurs with new retarded tax laws. UK Government will become even more dictatorial. Smart and rich people will leave by the thousands. Boiling tensions between native Brits and Muslims/criminal immigrants will get even worse and there may be violent clashes and revolts against the government. I predict 2025 will be just awful for the UK.

6.
China will not do anything too risky (like invade Taiwan) as long as Trump is in charge. Xi Jinping will start to look/act too old and out of touch, so there may be a power struggle behind the scenes for his succession, especially if the Chinese economy starts tanking hard. The Chinese economy will be one to watch in 2025, as it's on thin ice at the moment.

7.
Gold will go over 3000 USD per ounce in value.

.

That's all I got for now.
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These turned out to be highly accurate, many of them dead on, and several other reasonably in the ballpark.

Edit: I see you posted that you only got one. Here's how I read it:

1. Ukraine ceasefire or resolution of the conflict clearly has not happened, but Trump and Putin tried multiple times to achieve a ceasefire. I'd count this as a failed prediction.

2. I would say Trump's age is showing. He has disappointed his supporters on the issues you mentioned. You are basically right about his approach with Russia and China. He is nosing around Venezuela instead of Panama, but that's close enough for horseshoes and hand grenades. This was an accurate prediction.

3. I would say the Euro is in crisis and the German economy is tanking. The EU is releasing a digital currency, and the EU is attempting to censor the internet. This was an accurate prediction.

4. I would say you were right about what is happening with NATO, except that the situation didn't resolve one way or the other. However, the European parts of it are trying to gear up for full blown war with Russia, and the US reluctance to do this is leading to calls for the EU to move forward without them. To me, the Europeans moving forward without the US would count as the breakup of NATO. This was an accurate prediction.

5. I would count this prediction about the state of the UK as substantially accurate. In the ball park at least.

6. I would say this is exactly how things played out in China. A fully accurate prediction.

7. Gold is at $4350 right now. Prediction was accurate.
 
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Thomas More said:
These turned out to be highly accurate, many of them dead on, and several other reasonably in the ballpark.

Edit: I see you posted that you only got one. Here's how I read it:

1. Ukraine ceasefire or resolution of the conflict clearly has not happened, but Trump and Putin tried multiple times to achieve a ceasefire. I'd count this as a failed prediction.

2. I would say Trump's age is showing. He has disappointed his supporters on the issues you mentioned. You are basically right about his approach with Russia and China. He is nosing around Venezuela instead of Panama, but that's close enough for horseshoes and hand grenades. This was an accurate prediction.

3. I would say the Euro is in crisis and the German economy is tanking. The EU is releasing a digital currency, and the EU is attempting to censor the internet. This was an accurate prediction.

4. I would say you were right about what is happening with NATO, except that the situation didn't resolve one way or the other. However, the European parts of it are trying to gear up for full blown war with Russia, and the US reluctance to do this is leading to calls for the EU to move forward without them. To me, the Europeans moving forward without the US would count at the breakup of NATO. This was an accurate prediction.

5. I would count this prediction about the state of the UK as substantially accurate. In the ball park at least.

6. I would say this is exactly how things played out in China. A fully accurate prediction.

7. Gold is at $4350 right now. Prediction was accurate.
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Thank you for the vote of confidence and positive assessment.
Most of my predictions are events that may be occurring slowly over time rather than rapidly, so they simply may take a few more years for the details to become reality, but I don't want to take credit at this stage.
 
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