I'm not telling people to buy it since it is a very speculative asset. I have some that I bought years ago.
People always use this word, but the truth is that everyone "speculates" on every asset they purchase, what we're talking about is
time frame. For those who know BTC and its characteristics/history, buying it and holding for longer time periods (or ever) is
not speculation. Trading it, which means at time intervals much less than a year, of course is. Over the long term all it does is go up and to the right. There is no arguing this fact, which is why I continue to find it so bizarre that people keep using the term speculation. What they are really telling you is that they don't understand it, can't believe it, haven't studied it or its properties, or know about energy, networks, security and the double spend problem (digital scarcity).
Nobody can predict the price of Bitcoin. So when you hear somebody saying it is going up certain % in X timeframe, block that person because he/she is a moron.
In general, yes we can. It's just that it is range bound. What you're really saying, or should say, is that "no one can predict the price of BTC in short time periods, AGAIN and AGAIN." I'm not trying to be annoying, but people get lazy with language. One should be precise on important issues, and storing your money, or losing it to trading or debasement, is an important issue.
Is this the gist of it or am I retarded?
It's backed by energy and security, and is absolutely scarce. There's never been anything like it in human history. I won't call you names, but you should do more study of it, and there are many pages on threads here that describe it in detail. If you want a book to read, check out Ammous or Jeff Booth's book, if you want a quick read that will show you where all this is going.