Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread

Additional footage released by CENTCOM and the IDF

From the comment section, F-5 , F-27 and possibly SU-25 targeted


Additional imagery on Iranian plane losses, satellite imagery from Shiraz AB. In the frames are two Su22s, 2 C130s and 1 Il76. During bombardments of Mehrabad Airport a Boeing 747 burned down.



 
Pakistan has hinted at activating the Pakistan- Saudi Defence Pact that was signed on September 17, 2025. There is talk on Chinese origin Pakistani AD systems being placed in Saudi Arabia, most notably the LY-80, Anza and FM-90 series.


Pakistani junta leader and de facto top dog Asim Munir is in Saudi Arabia to discuss the security situation in the Gulf. Pakistan recently signed a Defence Pact with Saudi Arabia and both sides have earlier implied that in the case of continued Iranian attacks the Pact could be activated.

The Saudis have been extremely patient with Iran and have consistently chosen restraintful language and approach, hoping to see this replicated- compare this to Azerbaijan's response. A more mild Iranian stance isn't happening though, the Iranians keep targeting the Kingdom's hydrocarbon facilities, just today another drone swarm targeted an oil field+ facility (Al Shaybah oil field) and the capital Riyaad. Activating the Pact would likely mean the Pakistani bolstering the Saudis defensive aerial capabilities, and possibly more.



 

Though Israeli and the U.S. are attacking together, their interests and activities in Iran and Iraq diverge in places.

  • "Israel is far more aggressive on this, both on the on the military side of it, but also in terms of pushing Iranian Kurds or encouraging Iranian Kurds to be part of this war," said the official, who added that he saw no evidence of U.S. efforts to arm or incite Kurds to attack Iran.

Would explain why it's pretty much only been Israeli media/figures reporting that the Kurd were about to begin an attack.
 
I wouldn't rule out boots on the ground. In fact, if this war drags on, I'd say it's practically a certainty. That doesn't mean we'll see an American invasion, however. Much more likely is the use of CIA operators and military special operations for limited tactical incursions, and the use of U.S. Army Special Forces (Green Berets) as "advisors" to organize and direct the operations of local militias. We could also see the employment of international mercenaries like we have in Ukraine. I don't think the American public have an appetite to tolerate much more than that, barring some sort of 9/11-level false flag (and even that might backfire at this point).
I don't think they care one whit what any American thinks of a ground invasion. They know we have no power to resist and they can arrange the incentives to facilitate.

The only limitation on their power is perception management and the uniparty's balancing act.

Thomas Massie needs more security since he's the outstanding voice in Congress questioning the presuppositions justifying war.
 

Debatable and flimsy claim as there was an Iranian replenishment ship tailing the frigate and the ship had just participated in live firing exercises. Either way that's the soy reply, reality is that the IRIS Deena was an enemy vessel and part of a military that engages in hostile acts against US civilian and military assets all around the Persian Gulf and beyond.

Furthermore this attempt to gain the moral high ground is bunk. The US only targets enemy military vessels, the Iranians on the other hand have been (successfully) taking potshots at a variety of civilian vessels for the last 7 days, sinking several and causing damage, death and massive secondary implications. In short the idea that in a war one is not allowed to target enemy vessels because they haven't shot at you yet nor have arrived at their field of operations yet is low T.
 
Debatable and flimsy claim as there was an Iranian replenishment ship tailing the frigate and the ship had just participated in live firing exercises. Either way that's the soy reply, reality is that the IRIS Deena was an enemy vessel and part of a military that engages in hostile acts against US civilian and military assets all around the Persian Gulf and beyond.

Furthermore this attempt to gain the moral high ground is bunk. The US only targets enemy military vessels, the Iranians on the other hand have been (successfully) taking potshots at a variety of civilian vessels for the last 7 days, sinking several and causing damage, death and massive secondary implications. In short the idea that in a war one is not allowed to target enemy vessels because they haven't shot at you yet nor have arrived at their field of operations yet is low T.

Show us the proof then, all we got is Israel bombing girls schools and hospitals and highways in Iran which resulted in loads of deaths.
 
That warship was going down regardless. It was sunk in a cowardly and perfidious way, sure. But that is how warfare goes.

Karl Dönitz, the head of the German navy in WWII, was actually cleared on the charges of war crimes relating to unrestricted sinking of vessels by his submarines. Although he was convicted for some other BS charges. He afterwards received letters from many Allied officers denouncing the unfairness of his trial.
 
Pretty much. The whole idea of how there's a Russia/Iran/China alliance fighting Satan (funny thing for Christians to believe in this when one of these country is officially atheist and the other is a Islamic theocracy) is just another example of perpetually online people mistaking their fantasies on how things should be with what is actually happening on the ground.
The Dissident Right broke the last few strands last of connection to reality this past week, the possibility that the US is actually competent and the talked up thirdworld backwaters they've been huffing and puffing about are not is just too much for their resentful egos to take. Malign foreign paid propagandists who've got them on a slowdrip slop-IV have been gassing them up for years and now the poor sobs think the US has a weak military full of tranny pronoun soldiers and sinkable aircraft carriers.

It's gonna take some time before that propaganda high wears off but the pipeline and dynamics are always the same. It's become an online thirdworldist staple to ad infinitum bounce between feigned bravado on taking down the US, and then crying and playing victim when the US curbstomps 'their side' in return. This thread is not far from that inflection point either, right now it's still like watching one of those massive older projectors inverting observable reality aka putting everything on its head, soon it will be all about civilian deaths, human rights and Trump is Satan. It's gonna be a spectacle watching them snap back into reality, memories of the other thirdworldist geopolitical debacles still fresh up.
 
The Dissident Right broke the last few strands last of connection to reality this past week, the possibility that the US is actually competent and the talked up thirdworld backwaters they've been huffing and puffing about are not is just too much for their resentful egos to take. Malign foreign paid propagandists who've got them on a slowdrip slop-IV have been gassing them up for years and now the poor sobs think the US has a weak military full of tranny pronoun soldiers and sinkable aircraft carriers.

It's gonna take some time before that propaganda high wears off but the pipeline and dynamics are always the same. It's become an online thirdworldist staple to ad infinitum bounce between feigned bravado on taking down the US, and then crying and playing victim when the US curbstomps 'their side' in return. This thread is not far from that inflection point either, right now it's still like watching one of those massive older projectors inverting observable reality aka putting everything on its head, soon it will be all about civilian deaths, human rights and Trump is Satan. It's gonna be a spectacle watching them snap back into reality, memories of the other thirdworldist geopolitical debacles still fresh up.
Question for you. How long do you think this war will last for and what do you think the ultimate outcome will be? I know it’s hard to predict but what is your best guess?
 
U.S. Logistics company KBR struck by drones in Iraq.




U.S. 'Victoria Base' near Bagdad also struck.





Speculation based on Chinese satellite imagery that the Gerald R. Ford Carrier Group has begun transiting the Suez Canal towards the Red Sea.





Another report that the warning time for incoming missiles to Israel has significantly decreased due to the strikes against U.S. radar systems.





This war, at its outset, is allegedly the least popular war in U.S. history.

 
Dubai Airport was hit by two Iranian drones. Dubai Airport is the second biggest airport globally in terms of passengers. Operations at Dubai Airport have been temporarily suspended.



 
Iranian President Pezeshkian describes Netanyahu's three opposing narratives intended for different audiences.




Jet fuel has increased by 58% to $3.95/gallon since last Friday. United Airlines CEO, Scott Kirby, says that the increasing of air fares will "probably start quick".

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CENTCOM has allegedly been caught reusing footage of a strike.

 
A possible change in stance towards neighbouring countries from Iran, but it is unclear what exactly is meant by the statement. We will have to wait to see. It may only apply to Azerbaijan, Oman, Turkey.







 
Fox news: The third carrier will be the USS George H.W. Bush. It remains to be seen whether this will be in addition to the two already there, or as a rotation. I imagine they must be running low on munitions by now.




Muwaffaq As-Salti Airbase in Jordan: Destruction of the third AN/TPY-2 THAAD radar.




Israeli media reports the reduction in alert times.

 
The Center On Conscience & War has reported the phone 'ringing off the hook' with US soldiers seek to avoid being deployed in the Iran War. He says that 'a LOT more units have just been activated for deployment than the public knows about...'




An allegation that the US is likely evacuating / fleeing from Bahrain.




New narrative shift? Is the war now about getting the oil 'out of the hands of terrorists'?




Wreckage of a U.S. Reaper drone in Southern Iran.

 
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A list of 28 civilian sites allegedly hit in Iran.




WSJ reports that the shortage in American munitions is being caused by a bottleneck in the supply of RDX and HMX, the explosive compounds inside nearly all U.S. warheads and propellants.

 
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