Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread

[Cooper]

Oil companies profits go up so do their share prices and dividends and so their shareholders will get richer and many of those shareholders are in the USA.

For the top 10% in the US own 90% of the US stock market, it will be a wash, or a net positive. For the rest, not so much, with higher costs for food, gas, utilities etc.

 

[Helmsman]

Japan has no Muslims but they probably hoping this resolves itself they dont want problems, I wonder what they gonna do if they start running out of oil though

Overseas deployments are incredibly unpopular in Japan ever since the end of WWII. Isolationism is in their political DNA. And the Japanese navy lacks the needed UNREP capacity to support a force that far from her shores. Probably buy from other sources at a higher price. Indonesia, the U.S.

EDIT: Iran allowed a Pakistani bound tanker to pass unmolested. Wonder if we could see oil pass through Pakistan similar to Russian oil through 3rd parties. Be a solution to East Asias supply crunch.

 

[Dusty]

How did Bibi make that coffee?

Hebrewed it.

Aloha!

 

[Wutang]

Tabloid NY Post says that US intelligence is claiming new aytalloah is a homo:

Exclusive | Trump briefed that Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is probably gay — and president has priceless reaction

The shocking claim was described to The Post by two intelligence community officials and a third person close to the Trump administration.

nypost.com

Trump was apparently loling hard when he heard the news

Trump couldn’t contain his surprise and laughed aloud when he was briefed on the intel, according to sources.

Others in the room also found it “hilarious” and joined the president’s reaction, while one senior intelligence official “has not stopped laughing about it for days,” said one person familiar with the briefing.

 

[Pravoslavac]

Even if claimed Satanyahoo comes out in public he's gonna be as convincing as this guy:

 

[magoo]

 

[Ember]

It would probably be not be all that far from this flustercluck.

 

[Get2choppaaa]

Oil companies doing well, consumers hurting, inflation in all downstream industries that use oil, such as airlines, fertilizers/agriculture, transport etc.

Note as well that oil companies profit centers are mostly offshore, a lot of their windfall will not register in US corporate taxes.

Not a difficult concept to grasp.

Yeah like their profit centers in Refining in the Gulf Coast

Upstream E&P in Permian?

Are you thinking of non-US oil companies maybe?

 

[TruckDriver9]

View attachment 28065

France — OFFICIALLY REJECTED. Will not send warships.

China — No response. Called it a "sovereign right."

United Kingdom — "Discussing options with allies." No commitment.

Japan — Silence. 70% of Japan's Middle East oil comes through Hormuz.

South Korea — No confirmation. Seoul caught between Washington and its own oil dependency.

Germany — No convoy support.

Norway — Rejected.

Qatar — Already STOPPED gas production. Declared force majeure. Their energy minister said "this will bring down economies of the world."

UAE — Gulf states "tried to stop this war because they knew the implications."

Iran — Still attacking ships. Still laying mines. Still blocking the strait.

Reading Macron's latest statement:

Translated

I have just spoken with Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian.

I called upon him to immediately put an end to the unacceptable attacks Iran is conducting against countries in the region—whether direct or carried out through proxies, such as in Lebanon and Iraq. I reminded him that France intervenes within a strictly defensive framework to protect its own interests and those of its regional partners, as well as to uphold freedom of navigation; furthermore, I emphasized that it is unacceptable for our country to be targeted.

The uncontrolled escalation we are currently witnessing is plunging the entire region into chaos—chaos that carries grave consequences, both today and for years to come. Populations across the region—in Iran as elsewhere—are the victims of this situation.

Only a new political and security framework can ensure peace and security for all. Such a framework must guarantee that Iran never acquires nuclear weapons, while simultaneously addressing the threats posed by its ballistic missile program and its regional and international destabilization activities.

Freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz must be restored as a matter of utmost urgency.

I also urged the Iranian President to allow Cécile Kohler and Jacques Paris to return safely to France without delay. Their ordeal has gone on for far too long; they belong back home, among their loved ones.

where he talks about "freedom of navigation" and "protection of own interests", I wouldn't rule out French involvement. There are 52 France-affiliated ships stuck in the Gulf right now, and France has already demonstrated willingness to protect its own shipping during the Red Sea crisis. France also has mutual defense pacts with GCC countries. And the French navy is out at sea in force. There are frigates in the Red Sea and off the coast of Cyprus. The "De Gaulle" carrier group just redeployed to the Eastern Mediterranean. And 2 Mistral-class amphibious assault ships, with frigate escorts, are nearby as well: "Tonnerre" in the Eastern Mediterranean, and "Dixmude" in the Indian Ocean.

 

[Giordano Bruno]

Israel says they hacked Iran's traffic cams and that's how they targeted their leaders.

What if the Palantir AI running the show decided Netanyahu was not meeting efficiency requirements and helped Iran find him through their hacked traffic camera operation?

Maybe Thiel is just tweaking the algo to dispose of people AI told him wouldn't play ball with his plans for future world domination?

This is really easy to counter.

Just have your secret service turn off traffic cameras everywhere near important leaders, and have "decoys" that turn off cameras in a similar movement pattern.

Body doubles would work as well.

Of course, it gets trickier once satellites can accurately recognise your face. I'm pretty sure they can already, but cloud cover is a funny protection there.

The other problem is that mobile phones constantly take pictures even when you aren't using them.

This can be proven using any infrared camera. So every mobile phone in the world could potentially feed your enemies intel.

Here's the YouTuber I learned about this from:

 

[GoodShepherd]

Honestly as long as he does not get seen by Iranian soldiers or police he will be okay. The average Iranian doesn’t have hostility towards American soldiers. In fact he could likely find some Iranians who would give him refuge in their homes.

Surely the Iranian military is gonna hear about this and try and find the man?

Overseas deployments are incredibly unpopular in Japan ever since the end of WWII. Isolationism is in their political DNA. And the Japanese navy lacks the needed UNREP capacity to support a force that far from her shores. Probably buy from other sources at a higher price. Indonesia, the U.S.

EDIT: Iran allowed a Pakistani bound tanker to pass unmolested. Wonder if we could see oil pass through Pakistan similar to Russian oil through 3rd parties. Be a solution to East Asias supply crunch.

Russia is much closer to Japan and would be the most ideal place for them to get their oil from, but they not allowed to do that, things can change though