Africa Thread

Eric Prince's is asking the Pope to fund his PMC in deploying in Nigeria. Talk about the neverending slaughter of Christians in Nigeria (and elsewhere) is starting to go mainstream, Muslim Fulani herdsmen, radicalized Hausa villagers and a wide array of jihadists groups have been killing Nigerian Christians with impunity in much of the country, many Nigerians believe their own Northern Hausa-Fulani (Muslim) dominated central government is working in cahoots with the perps

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GOP Congressman Riley Moore wrote a letter in the issue to Marco Rubio, urging action on the matter. Numbers below are conservative, real casualty numbers are likely above 100 000.

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Pastor in Yobe province, sheer necessity because especially Sunday congregations are targeted. View attachment 24362

Reminder that the Pope has still not responded to Eric Prince's offer to send his PMC to Nigeria on the Vatican's dime, nor has the Pope specifically mentioned the suffering of Nigerian Christians at the hands of both regular Muslim pastoralist tribes and jihadists.

Nicki Minaj on the other hand has.

 

Trump was cooking again, he's got his eyes on Nigeria. Although I'd advise Donny to talk a bit less and act a bit more, first it was Greenland and Canada, then Venezuela and now it's suddenly Nigeria. The Venezuela thing is still in the cards yet everything else seems more about hot air and testing the waters than anything else.


The Changs have come out against DC's statement of intent, China has been investing a lot in Nigeria, Beijing is especially interested and involved in mineral and other raw resource extraction, often illegally too.



Word on the street is that illegal Chinese mining companies are working hand in glove with local governments, bandits and terror groups to weaken central authority and hence create more room for illicit business practices.





 
Twenty something have in the past week urged their citizens to immediately leave Mali, and a few of those have their started vacating their embassies+consulates in Mali. JNIM, which is an AQ affiliate, controls much of the country and has recently imposed a fuel blockade on the capital Bamako. Talk about an imminent collapse of the Malian central government is premature, yet overall the security situation has been one of steady decline. Security situation is similarly poor in Burkina Faso. Nigeria and Niger rank one step below that, and JNIM/ IS attacks have spread to Cameroon, Benin, Togo, Chad and Senegal.



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Trump was cooking again, he's got his eyes on Nigeria. Although I'd advise Donny to talk a bit less and act a bit more, first it was Greenland and Canada, then Venezuela and now it's suddenly Nigeria. The Venezuela thing is still in the cards yet everything else seems more about hot air and testing the waters than anything else.


The Changs have come out against DC's statement of intent, China has been investing a lot in Nigeria, Beijing is especially interested and involved in mineral and other raw resource extraction, often illegally too.



Word on the street is that illegal Chinese mining companies are working hand in glove with local governments, bandits and terror groups to weaken central authority and hence create more room for illicit business practices.






Security situation in Nigeria is worsening, especially in the North. It's a mix of communal violence, jihadism and organized crime aka 'banditry'. Much but not all of the violence is aimed at Nigerian Christians in the Northern provinces, primarily due to religion and primarily because Christians are a minority and considered 'Southerners', even if they belong to Northern tribes. They are vulnerable hence a prime target. The Nigerian military is dominated by Muslim Northerners, yet losing ground, and many of the jihadists, bandits and pastoralists/herdsman are armed to the teeth.

Trump Administration is preparing a heavy sanction packet and possible strikes to compel the Nigerian government to protect Christian communities. Allegedly people from within the US state apparatus have told Nigerian President Tinibu to sit still and not respond to Trump's earlier allegations and statements, Tinibu was told to wait it out until Trump's attention would switch elsewhere. That doesn't seem to have happened and plans are put forward, for now at least.

A few days ago over 300 Christian girls were kidnapped from a Christian boarding school in Niger State. This happened a few days after 50+ girls were kidnapped from Kebbi State. Today children were kidnapped in Nassarawa State. If not freed these girls will be distributed amongst jihadists fighters to serve as brides. Niger State is far from the traditionally hot jihadist area in North East Nigeria, meaning that the insurgency is spreading and central authority weakening elsewhere. Similarly several churches in the North have been attacked last week, the video below shows a church being under attack and the attackers eventually breaking in.







https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1991635167102787737
 
Security situation in Nigeria is worsening, especially in the North. It's a mix of communal violence, jihadism and organized crime aka 'banditry'. Much but not all of the violence is aimed at Nigerian Christians in the Northern provinces, primarily due to religion and primarily because Christians are a minority and considered 'Southerners', even if they belong to Northern tribes. They are vulnerable hence a prime target. The Nigerian military is dominated by Muslim Northerners, yet losing ground, and many of the jihadists, bandits and pastoralists/herdsman are armed to the teeth.

Trump Administration is preparing a heavy sanction packet and possible strikes to compel the Nigerian government to protect Christian communities. Allegedly people from within the US state apparatus have told Nigerian President Tinibu to sit still and not respond to Trump's earlier allegations and statements, Tinibu was told to wait it out until Trump's attention would switch elsewhere. That doesn't seem to have happened and plans are put forward, for now at least.

A few days ago over 300 Christian girls were kidnapped from a Christian boarding school in Niger State. This happened a few days after 50+ girls were kidnapped from Kebbi State. Today children were kidnapped in Nassarawa State. If not freed these girls will be distributed amongst jihadists fighters to serve as brides. Niger State is far from the traditionally hot jihadist area in North East Nigeria, meaning that the insurgency is spreading and central authority weakening elsewhere. Similarly several churches in the North have been attacked last week, the video below shows a church being under attack and the attackers eventually breaking in.








US Congressional representative Riley Moore is currently on a fact finding mission in Nigeria, results of this mission will likely influence the next steps. US surveillance has picked up quite a bit, ISR mostly focuses on the North East where the traditional 10-15 year old jihadist insurgency started, and not on the Middle Belt and North where currently most massacres of Christians are taking place. Word on the street is that Nigeria and the US have agreed on US UAV strikes in Nigeria, with US-Nigerian intelligence sharing to improve combat ability and effectiveness of Nigerian airstrikes. US will be based in Kainji AB in Niger State, latter is for now unconfirmed.




 
Talking about effective Nigerian airstrikes, the Nigerian airforce yesterday interfered under ECOWAS mandate in a coup attempt in neighboring Benin. Benin too is suffering from a growing jihadist insurgency in the North and a section of the military wanted to dispose the sitting President, coupists are likely close to the new Russian supported Mali-Burkina Faso-Niger-Guinea group. French ISR aircraft provided intel for the Nigerian jets, ECOWAS members will probably soon send troops to Benin to cement the current leaders hold.



 
Trump's Congo ceasefire deal is faltering, after a few months of relative calm the M23 has restarted offensives against government tied militias. Congolese President Tshishekedi has thanked Trump for his efforts but considers the ceasefire over. Not sure what this means for the mineral deals tied to the US' ceasefire mediation.







Map showing Tutsi militia M23, mainly supported by Tutsi led Rwanda. Also notice the presence of the Burundi, Rwandese and Ugandan military of Congolese soil

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Rwanda-Congo peace deal was signed on December 5 in Washington DC, in attendance were Congolese president Tshisekedi, Rwandan president Kagame, DJT and Marco Rubio. Festive atmosphere, flowery language, investment deals everywhere, mining rights for US companies in both Congo and Rwanda, etc.

Fast forward 72 hours and the Rwandan supported M23 launches it's biggest offensive in 2 years taking over the entire Burundi border area and several big cities. Burundi Army on the run (which had crossed into Congo as well to block the Kagame M23 Tutsi alliance), Congolese Army on the run, pro government Wazalendo militia on the run, Romanian mercenaries on the run.

Shittiest peace deal ever, seems like the Trump Administration is losing status. Having African dictators lie in a US Prez's face and subsequently dab on your must lauded peace deal is not a good sign. Fall out of Trump's weird zigger-lite and isolationism-lite shenanigans in Europe and beyond no doubt.







 
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