First reports on the targeting of an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz by Iranian forces. Closing/throttling the Strait of Hormuz is Tehran's ace card and a nuclear tier weapon of its own. It seems they are edging towards making that call.
Iran-Israeli Conflict Thread
- Thread starter LaAguilaNegra
- Start date
Ah, the bold posturing about a furious response and death and destruction to Israel and the US. It's not like we haven't seen or heard that a million times before from these guys...
The whole thing is starting to seem like an orchestrated theatre. I'm starting to think Andrew Tate might be right about this one.
Everyone likes Hollywood right?
Side note - if all those Pakis are attacking the US consulate, then who is making cold calls to the elderly about computer viruses?
Your claims of 85%-90% missile interception rates by the Israelis are in fact a lot more absurd than anything Macgregor has ever said.
The real interception rate on Iran's more advanced missiles is closer to 15%-20%, from what I recall was the assessment of MIT prof Ted Postol. He is an expert on missile technology at MIT, and also happens to be Jewish, with close contacts and personal friendships with Israeli scientists and military tech experts in ballistics, so his info is based on the real and unfiltered feedback from Israeli sources on the ground. Postol is not politically biased in his technical assessments.
The quantity of missiles launched by Iran on Israel in the 12 day war was not anywhere near what would be required to "level Tel Aviv", however they did take out very important targets including, most notably, the Israeli campus for biological and bioweapons research, where several buildings were flattened. Those are physical assets that cannot be replaced, decades of research vaporized. The Iranians have demonstrated their ability to destroy heavily guarded targets in that and other strikes at sensitive military targets, including strikes at holy Jewish sites like the diamond trade center and the stock market...
This is the best rundown on current missile technology and the challenges of defending against them from prof. Postol, and on Iran's true capabilities:
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China has alternative sources of oil including Russia, and their demand for oil has already peaked as they are rapidly replacing their vehicle fleets with EVs. Even their boats will soon be replaced with electric engines, and in the 30s, thorium nuclear engines. The countries that are most exposed to Gulf oil being throttled in the longer term are Japan, S Korea, India and W Europe.
This war is about Greater Israel first and foremost. Levin, Graham, Rubio, Adelson, Singer et al aren't primarily concerned with China.
British bases on Cyprus being under attack would be a huge escalation.
Provided of course it isn't another (((false flag)))...
China giving the Iranians the precise intel on exactly where to strike, actually makes the most sense.
Tate might be onto something here.
So far I have seen 2 main things which are very different from the Iraq war in 2003.
1.
The explosions on impact are much smaller, and seem to do a lot less damage.
2.
There are very few news reporters on the ground filming raw footage. Even Al Jaazera is just showng us bogus "experts" giving throw away opinions for most of the day. There are almost no reporters going to impact sites and showing us what happened. Not even in the gulf states where it would be relatively easy to do so. Has any reporter gone to 5 star Fairmont hotel in Dubai and filmed the damage ? Or at Dubai airport ? Very strange.
They seem to get most of their footage from people posting stuff on the internet as well. I don't know if this is due to budget cutbacks or or just the modern way of reporting things...but it's a very strange way of covering these events.
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Actually, Keir Starmer just tweeted telling us that Great Britain had absolutely nothing to do with the war and was no help to America at all.
Kinda funny that.
British bases on Cyprus being under attack would be a huge escalation.
Provided of course it isn't another (((false flag)))...
It makes strategic sense for Iran to attack UK bases in Cyprus, this forces reallocating scarce air defense assets there, as opposed to concentrating US/NATO air defense on Israel and a handful of US bases.
This war is a war of attrition between Iran's missile stock and the US/Israel interceptor stock. Chances are it will end in a month or two as interceptor stock gets depleted.
I doubt there will be regime change in Iran, because the proportion of mullah supporters there to secular liberal greatly favors the former. People's perception of this is skewed by the fact that in the Iranian diaspora the latter outnumber the former by well over 10 to 1.